共同基金和无风险资产投资的最优策略

利用均值-方差模型,分析了非线性交易成本下的共同基金与无风险资产投资组合的有效边界和在一般的效用函数下讨论了投资者的最优投资策略.     

基于生存概率的保险基金最优投资策略研究

利用破产理论和随机控制理论研究保险基金最优投资策略,建立生存概率最大化的目标函数,得到最优投资策略满足的随机微分方程;在初始金逼近0时得到保险基金的最优投资策略的显示解;采用递推算法,得到初始准备金为任意值时的最优投资策略.     

容许借贷的消费投资策略研究

考虑了容许借贷的消费投资决策问题,投资者选择债券和带有红利回报的风险股票,在效用最大化的标准下,研究了最优消费投资策略。最后就ＨＡＲＡ效用函数提供了最优策略。     

SAHARA效用函数下的保险人的最优投资策略（英文）

在本文中,我们考虑带有SAHARA效用函数的保险人的最优投资策略,目标是最大化其终端财富效用.这类效用函数拥有非单调的绝对风险厌恶,比CARA和CRRA效用函数更加灵活.在风险过程和股票过程分别由布朗运动和几何布朗运动刻画的情形下,我们采用鞅方法分别得到了临界值为常数和临界值动态服从一个明确过程的情况下的显示解.最后,我们证明最优投资策略是状态独立的.     

基于随机基准的最优投资组合选择问题研究

本文研究基于随机基准的最优投资组合选择问题. 假设投资者可以投资于一种无风险资产和一种风险股票,并且选择某一基准作为目标. 基准是随机的, 并且与风险股票相关. 投资者选择最优的投资组合策略使得终端期望绝对财富和基于基准的相对财富效用最大. 首先, 利用动态规划原理建立相应的HJB方程, 并在幂效用函数下,得到最优投资组合策略和值函数的显示表达式. 然后,分析相对业绩对投资者最优投资组合策略和值函数的影响. 最后, 通过数值计算给出了最优投资组合策略和效用损益与模型主要参数之间的关系.     

对冲通货膨胀风险的投资组合策略求解

通货膨胀是投资者进行资产配置时面临的主要问题,其不仅会影响投资者的投资决策,也会对其投资收益产生重要影响.文章在CRRA(constant relative risk aversion)假设下,效用函数同时考虑了投资者的消费和最终财富.在约束条件下,文章求解了一般均衡时的最优消费和最优财富,与此同时得出t时刻财富与消费的比值实际上是年金债券的结论,并在此基础上得出了一般情况下的投资组合策略.当存在通货膨胀时,文章利用指数债券对冲通货膨胀风险,求解出远期期望消费和远期期望财富,最终得到通货膨胀条件下的投资组合策略.     

基于加权效用和VaR-PI约束下DC型养老金计划的最优资产配置

本文从养老金计划参与人和基金经理的双重视角出发,以最大化双方加权的期望效用为目标,研究了在最低保障和VaR约束下,DC养老金计划的最优资产配置问题。假设养老金计划参与人和基金经理均是损失厌恶的,分别用两个S型的效用函数来刻画双方的损失厌恶行为。VaR约束和加权的效用函数使得本文所研究的优化问题成为一个复杂的非凹效用最大化问题。利用拉格朗日对偶理论和凹化方法求得了最优财富和最优投资组合的封闭解。数值结论表明当更为看重养老金计划参与人的利益时,基金经理会采取更为激进的投资策略,VaR约束可以改进对DC养老金计划的风险管理。     

跳-扩散风险模型的最优投资和再保险策略

本文对跳-扩散风险模型,在赔付进行比例再保险,以及盈余投资于无风险资产和风险资产的条件下,研究使得最终财富的指数期望效用最大的最优投资和比例再保险策略.得到最优投资策略和最优再保险策略,以及最大指数期望效用函数的显式表达式,发现最优策略和值函数都受到无风险利率的影响.最后通过数值计算,得到最优投资和比例再保险策略,以及值函数与模型各个参数之间的关系.     

最优投资组合模型研究

本文研究了在完备金融市场上 ,投资者最优投资组合的随机模型。在模型参数为常系数 ,效用函数为 (0 ,T],B[0 ,T])上的有界可测函数的情形下 ,得出其最大效用值函数是随机控制问题对应的 HJB方程的平滑解 ;最优策略被证明是存在的 ,并用反馈形式给出了最优投资组合策略。     

固定支付下养老基金资产组合CEV模型及最优投资策略

在固定支付水平的条件之下,就养老基金资产组合问题建立常方差弹性(CEV)模型,应用随机控制原理求出了相应的非线性Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman偏微方程,再用Legendre变换将其转化为线性偏微方程,建立对偶问题.通过对偶问题的求解,从而求得原问题的精确解析解,确定风险资产和无风险资产的最优投资比例,实现了满足养老基金既定支出水平下总资产的对数效用最大化,从实际市场的角度改进发展了经典的Merton模型结果.     

随机利率及随机收益保证下的投资策略

考虑随机利率环境及随机收益保证下基金经理的投资组合问题.利用鞅方法,得到了最优投资策略的显性解.结论表明,最优投资策略包括三个部分:投机策略、利率套期保值策略以及随机收益保证的复制策略,且该最优策略等价于将一部分资金投资于确保终端时刻获得最低收益的基准组合,而剩余资金则依照无保证情况下的最优策略进行投资.     

Optimal investment strategies and risk-sharing arrangements for a hybrid pension plan

A continuous time stochastic model is used to study a hybrid pension plan, where both the contribution and benefit levels are adjusted depending on the performance of the plan, with risk sharing between different generations. The pension fund is invested in a risk-free asset and multiple risky assets. The objective is to seek an optimal investment strategy and optimal risk-sharing arrangements for plan trustees and participants so that this proposed hybrid pension system provides adequate and stable income to retirees while adjusting contributions effectively, as well as keeping its sustainability in the long run. These goals are achieved by minimizing the expected discount disutility of intermediate adjustment for both benefits and contributions and that of terminal wealth in finite time horizon. Using the stochastic optimal control approach, closed-form solutions are derived under quadratic loss function and exponential loss function. Numerical analysis is presented to illustrate the sensitivity of the optimal strategies to parameters of the financial market and how the optimal benefit changes with respect to different risk aversions. Through numerical analysis, we find that the optimal strategies do adjust the contributions and retirement benefits according to fund performance and model objectives so the intergenerational risk sharing seem effectively achieved for this collective hybrid pension plan.     

Exponential utility maximization for an insurer with time-inconsistent preferences

This paper studies the optimal consumption–investment–reinsurance problem for an insurer with a general discount function and exponential utility function in a non-Markovian model. The appreciation rate and volatility of the stock, the premium rate and volatility of the risk process of the insurer are assumed to be adapted stochastic processes, while the interest rate is assumed to be deterministic. The object is to maximize the utility of intertemporal consumption and terminal wealth. By the method of multi-person differential game, we show that the time-consistent equilibrium strategy and the corresponding equilibrium value function can be characterized by the unique solutions of a BSDE and an integral equation. Under appropriate conditions, we show that this integral equation admits a unique solution. Furthermore, we compare the time-consistent equilibrium strategies with the optimal strategy for exponential discount function, and with the strategies for naive insurers in two special cases.     

Optimal portfolio strategies benchmarking the stock market

The paper investigates the impact of adding a shortfall risk constraint to the problem of a portfolio manager who wishes to maximize his utility from the portfolios terminal wealth. Since portfolio managers are often evaluated relative to benchmarks which depend on the stock market we capture risk management considerations by allowing a prespecified risk of falling short such a benchmark. This risk is measured by the expected loss in utility. Using the Black–Scholes model of a complete financial market and applying martingale methods, explicit analytic expressions for the optimal terminal wealth and the optimal portfolio strategies are given. Numerical examples illustrate the analytic results.     

通胀风险下基于HARA效用的DC型养老金计划

通货膨胀是养老基金管理过程中最直接最重要的影响因素之一.假设通胀风险由服从几何布朗运动的物价指数来度量,且瞬时期望通货膨胀率由Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程来驱动.金融市场由n+1种可连续交易的风险资产所构成,养老基金管理者期望研究和解决通胀风险环境下DC型养老基金在累积阶段的最优投资策略问题,以最大化终端真实财富过程的期望效用.双曲绝对风险厌恶(HARA)效用函数具有一般的效用框架,包含幂效用、指数效用和对数效用作为特例.假设投资者对风险的偏好程度满足HARA效用,运用随机最优控制理论和Legendre变换方法得到了最优投资策略的显式表达式.     

Optimal consumption and investment with insurer default risk

We solve the optimal consumption and investment problem in an incomplete market, where borrowing constraints and insurer default risk are considered jointly. We derive in closed-form the optimal consumption and investment strategies. We find two main results by quantitative analysis. As insurer default risk increases, the proportion of wealth invested in stocks could increase when wealth is small, and decrease when wealth is large. As risk aversion increases, the voluntary annuity demand could increase when insurer default risk is low, and decrease when this risk is high.     

基于Stein-Stein波动率和动态VaR约束下DC型养老基金的最优投资策略

研究了确定缴费型养老基金在退休前累积阶段的最优资产配置问题.假设养老基金管理者将养老基金投资于由一个无风险资产和一个价格过程满足Stein-Stein随机波动率模型的风险资产所构成的金融市场.利用随机最优控制方法,以最大化退休时刻养老基金账户相对财富的期望效用为目标,分别获得了无约束情形和受动态VaR (Value at Risk)约束情形下该养老基金的最优投资策略,并获得相应最优值函数的解析表达形式.最后通过数值算例对相关理论结果进行数值验证并考察了最优投资策略关于相关参数的敏感性.     

Stochastic optimal control of DC pension funds

In this paper, we study the portfolio problem of a pension fund manager who wants to maximize the expected utility of the terminal wealth in a complete financial market with the stochastic interest rate. Using the method of stochastic optimal control, we derive a non-linear second-order partial differential equation for the value function. As it is difficult to find a closed form solution, we transform the primary problem into a dual one by applying a Legendre transform and dual theory, and try to find an explicit solution for the optimal investment strategy under the logarithm utility function. Finally, a numerical simulation is presented to characterize the dynamic behavior of the optimal portfolio strategy.     

Optimal consumption and portfolio selection with quadratic utility and a subsistence consumption constraint

In this article, we analyze the optimal consumption and investment policy of an agent who has a quadratic felicity function and faces a subsistence consumption constraint. The agent's optimal investment in the risky asset increases linearly for low wealth levels. Risk taking continues to increase at a decreasing rate for wealth levels higher than subsistence wealth until it hits a maximum at a certain wealth level, and declines for wealth levels above this threshold. Further, the agent has a bliss level of consumption, since if an agent consumes more than this level she will suffer utility loss. Eventually her risk taking becomes zero at a wealth level which supports her bliss consumption.     

基于时滞效应的随机微分投资与比例再保险博弈

金融市场不断发展,激烈的市场竞争使得相对绩效比较在保险机构的业绩评估中占据越来越重要的地位。考虑历史业绩对公司决策的影响,引入时滞效应,研究时滞效应对具有竞争关系公司之间最优投资策略和最优再保险策略的影响。运用随机最优控制和微分博弈理论,针对Cramér-Lundberg模型,得到了均衡投资和再保险策略,给出了值函数的显式解;然后进一步针对近似扩散过程,求得指数效用下均衡投资策略和比例再保险策略的显式表达。通过数值算例,分析了最优均衡策略随模型各重要参数的动态变化。结论显示:保险公司在决策时是否将时滞信息纳入考虑之中将大大影响其投资和再保险行为。保险公司考虑较早时间财富值越多,其投资再保险行为就表现得越趋向于保守和谨慎;与之相反,如果保险公司对行业间的竞争越看重,其投资再保险策略就越倾向于冒险和激进。