条件分位数和条件密度的经验似然置信区间

本文首次把经验似然引入非参数回归模型，分别得到了条件分位数和条件密度的经验似然置信区间。     

相依序列密度函数的经验似然推断

本文利用了强平稳$m-$相依序列的特殊性质,讨论了$m-$相依序列密度函数的经验似然推断, 给出了似然比统计量的极限分布,可构造参数的经验似然置信区间. 并且通过模拟计算来说明有限样本下应用经验似然方法的合理性.     

广义Lorenz 曲线的非参数统计推断

本文讨论了广义Lorenz 曲线的经验似然统计推断. 在简单随机抽样、分层随机抽样和整群随机抽样下, 本文分别定义了广义Lorenz 坐标的pro le 经验似然比统计量, 得出这些经验似然比的极限分布为带系数的自由度为1 的χ² 分布. 对于整个Lorenz 曲线, 基于经验似然方法类似地得出相应的极限过程. 根据所得的经验似然理论, 本文给出了bootstrap 经验似然置信区间构造方法, 并通过数据模拟, 对新给出的广义Lorenz 坐标的bootstrap 经验似然置信区间与渐近正态置信区间以及bootstrap 置信区间等进行了对比研究. 对整个Lorenz 曲线, 基于经验似然方法对其置信域也进行了模拟研究. 最后我们将所推荐的置信区间应用到实例中.     

带跳扩散过程的经验似然推断

本文对带跳扩散过程的经验似然推断进行了讨论.基于经验似然方法,我们可以针对带跳扩散过程的各项系数构造置信区间.这种置信区间的性质比基于渐近正态性构造出来的置信区间要好.     

二阶扩散模型的经验似然推断

本文利用经验似然方法得到了二阶扩散模型的漂移系数和扩散系数的经验似然估计量, 并研究这些估计量的相合性和渐近正态性. 进一步在经验似然方法的基础上给出了漂移系数和扩散系数的非对称的置信区间, 并且在一定的条件下证明了调整的对数似然比是渐近卡方分布的.     

缺失数据下线性模型中反映变量均值的经验似然置信区间

在协变量和反映变量都缺失下,构造了线性模型中反映变量均值的经验似然置信区间,数据模拟表明调整的经验似然置信区间有较好的覆盖率和精度,进一步完善了缺失数据下对线性模型的研究.     

附加信息下的p分位数光滑经验似然置信区间

Chen和Hall在1993年使用光滑的经验似然方法建立了p分位数置信区间.本文在有部分附加信息的情况下使用了光滑的经验似然方法建立了p分位数的置信区间,从渐近功效函数方面对置信区间做了比较,后者优于前者.并且置信概率误差的阶为n-1,证明了本文所建立的置信区间是可以Bartlett修正的.     

截断情况下线性回归模型响应变量均值的经验似然

本文讨论了在带有截断情况的线性回归模型中 ,响应变量均值的估计问题 .将经验似然的方法应用到带有截断情况的回归模型中 ,在估计响应变量的均值时构造了调整的经验似然统计量 ,证明了在一定的条件下 ,该统计量渐近服从 χ2 分布 ,给出了均值的置信区间 ,并与正态下得到的结果进行了比较 ,模拟的结果说明了经验似然的优良性 .     

强混合样本下随机设计情形线性模型的经验似然推断

本文研究强混合样本下随机设计情形线性模型的经验似然推断,将分块技术应用到经验似然方法中,证明了线性模型的参数β的对数经验似然比统计量的渐近分布为卡方分布,由此构造了强混合样本下β的经验似然置信区间.在有限样本情况下给出数值模拟结果.     

强混合样本下非参数回归函数的经验似然推断

在回归变量和响应变量的观察值为强混合随机变量序列时,本文利用分组经验似然方法构造了非参数回归函数的经验似然置信区间,同时通过模拟研究了本文提出的方法的优良性.     

Coverage Accuracy of Confidence Intervals in Nonparametric Regression

Point-wise confidence intervals for a nonparametric regression function with random design points are considered. The confidence intervals are those based on the traditional normal approximation and the empirical likelihood. Their coverage accuracy is assessed by developing the Edgeworth expansions for the coverage probabilities. It is shown that the empirical likelihood confidence intervals are Bartlett correctable.     

Empirical likelihood confidence intervals for hazard and density functions under right censorship

In this paper, we use smoothed empirical likelihood methods to construct confidence intervals for hazard and density functions under right censorship. Some empirical log-likelihood ratios for the hazard and density functions are obtained and their asymptotic limits are derived. Approximate confidence intervals based on these methods are constructed. Simulation studies are used to compare the empirical likelihood methods and the normal approximation methods in terms of coverage accuracy. It is found that the empirical likelihood methods provide better inference.     

On the tail index of a heavy tailed distribution

This paper proposes some new estimators for the tail index of a heavy tailed distribution when only a few largest values are observed within blocks. These estimators are proved to be asymptotically normal under suitable conditions, and their Edgeworth expansions are obtained. Empirical likelihood method is also employed to construct confidence intervals for the tail index. The comparison for the confidence intervals based on the normal approximation and the empirical likelihood method is made in terms of coverage probability and length of the confidence intervals. The simulation study shows that the empirical likelihood method outperforms the normal approximation method.     

Empirical likelihood for the contrast of two hazard functions with right censoring

In this paper, we consider the standard two-sample framework with right censoring. We construct useful confidence intervals for the ratio or difference of two hazard functions using smoothed empirical likelihood (EL) methods. The empirical log-likelihood ratio is derived and its asymptotic distribution is a standard chi-squared distribution. Bootstrap confidence bands are also proposed. Simulation studies show that the proposed EL confidence intervals have outperformed normal approximation methods in terms of coverage probability. It is concluded that the empirical likelihood methods provide better inference results.     

Confidence Intervals and Accuracy Estimation for Heavy-Tailed Generalized Pareto Distributions

The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is a two-parameter family of distributions which can be used to model exceedances over a threshold. We compare the empirical coverage of some standard bootstrap and likelihood-based confidence intervals for the parameters and upper p-quantiles of the GPD. Simulation results indicate that none of the bootstrap methods give satisfactory intervals for small sample sizes. By applying a general method of D. N. Lawley, correction factors for likelihood ratio statistics of parameters and quantiles of the GPD have been calculated. Simulations show that for small sample sizes accuracy of confidence intervals can be improved by incorporating the computed correction factors to the likelihood-based confidence intervals. While the modified likelihood method has better empirical coverage probability, the mean length of produced intervals are not longer than corresponding bootstrap confidence intervals. This article also investigates the performance of some bootstrap methods for estimation of accuracy measures of maximum likelihood estimators of parameters and quantiles of the GPD.     

Empirical likelihood-based inferences for the Lorenz curve

In this paper, we discuss empirical likelihood-based inferences for the Lorenz curve. The profile empirical likelihood ratio statistics for the Lorenz ordinate are defined under the simple random sampling and the stratified random sampling designs. It is shown that the limiting distributions of the profile empirical likelihood ratio statistics are scaled Chi-square distributions with one degree of freedom. We also derive the limiting processes of the associated empirical likelihood-based Lorenz processes. Hybrid bootstrap and empirical likelihood intervals for the Lorenz ordinate are proposed based on the newly developed empirical likelihood theory. Extensive simulation studies are conducted to compare the relative performances of various confidence intervals for Lorenz ordinates in terms of coverage probability and average interval length. The finite sample performances of the empirical likelihood-based confidence bands are also illustrated in simulation studies. Finally, a real example is used to illustrate the application of the recommended intervals.     

Inference for the Mean Difference in the Two-Sample Random Censorship Model

Inference for the mean difference in the two-sample random censorship model is an important problem in comparative survival and reliability test studies. This paper develops an adjusted empirical likelihood inference and a martingale-based bootstrap inference for the mean difference. A nonparametric version of Wilks' theorem for the adjusted empirical likelihood is derived, and the corresponding empirical likelihood confidence interval of the mean difference is constructed. Also, it is shown that the martingale-based bootstrap gives a correct first order asymptotic approximation of the corresponding estimator of the mean difference, which ensures that the martingale-based bootstrap confidence interval has asymptotically correct coverage probability. A simulation study is conducted to compare the adjusted empirical likelihood, the martingale-based bootstrap, and Efron's bootstrap in terms of coverage accuracies and average lengths of the confidence intervals. The simulation indicates that the proposed adjusted empirical likelihood and the martingale-based bootstrap confidence procedures are comparable, and both seem to outperform Efron's bootstrap procedure.     

Empirical likelihood for single-index models

The empirical likelihood method is especially useful for constructing confidence intervals or regions of the parameter of interest. This method has been extensively applied to linear regression and generalized linear regression models. In this paper, the empirical likelihood method for single-index regression models is studied. An estimated empirical log-likelihood approach to construct the confidence region of the regression parameter is developed. An adjusted empirical log-likelihood ratio is proved to be asymptotically standard chi-square. A simulation study indicates that compared with a normal approximation-based approach, the proposed method described herein works better in terms of coverage probabilities and areas (lengths) of confidence regions (intervals).     

Likelihood Based Confidence Intervals for the Tail Index

For the estimation of the tail index of a heavy tailed distribution, one of the well-known estimators is the Hill estimator (Hill, 1975). One obvious way to construct a confidence interval for the tail index is via the normal approximation of the Hill estimator. In this paper we apply both the empirical likelihood method and the parametric likelihood method to obtaining confidence intervals for the tail index. Our limited simulation study indicates that the normal approximation method is worse than the other two methods in terms of coverage probability, and the empirical likelihood method and the parametric likelihood method are comparable.