一类随机不动点定理及其特例

在随机拓扑度的基础上进一步研究了随机不动点问题,得到了若干新的随机不动点定理.作为特例,也给出了相应的确定性算子的边界不动点定理.     

随机泛函分析中的锐角原理及应用(英文)

在随机泛函分析中证明了著名的锐角原理和随机一一映射定理,并且得到了若干新的结果．     

随机非线性凝聚算子方程的随机解

利用随机拓扑度理论研究随机非线性凝聚算子,在一定条件下得到随机算子方程A（w,x）=μx的随机解和随机算子不动点的存在性,所得结论减弱了已知文献中相应定理的条件．     

关于三值R0命题逻辑系统的若干注记

在三值R0命题逻辑系统中证明了随机真度的MP、HS和交推理规则;提出了随机开放度,指出随机开放度与随机发散度是从两个不同的角度刻画了理论的相容程度,并得出对同一个理论而言,二者取值相等的结论.     

R0型命题逻辑系统的随机化

利用赋值集的随机化方法,在R0型n值命题逻辑系统和R0型模糊命题逻辑系统中提出了公式的随机真度和随机距离的概念,建立了随机度量空间.指出当取均匀概率时,随机真度就转化为计量逻辑学中的真度,从而建立了更一般的随机逻辑度量空间.     

关于任意非负随机序列随机和的一类随机偏差定理

本文引入任意随机变量序列随机极限对数似然比概念,作为任意相依随机序列联合分布与其边缘乘积分布“不相似”性的一种度量,利用构造新的密度函数方法来建立几乎处处收敛的上鞅,在适当的条件下,给出了任意受控随机序列的一类随机偏差定理.     

随机结构空间理论初探

提出了随机结构空间的概念，引出了随机拓扑空间、随机度量空间、随机赋范空间、随机内积空间、随机关系等随机数学结构的概念，初步研究了随机度量空间、随机赋范空间、随机内积空间的基本构造以及与概率度量空间、概率赋范空间、概率内积空间的关系。     

随机度量理论及其应用在我国最近进展的综述

本旨在全面综述随机度量理论及其应用过去十年在我国发展过程中所获得的主要结果与思想方法,本由十节组成,第一节对我们工作的背景-概率度量空间与随机度量空间理论作一简单的介绍;第二节给出某些有关随机泛函分析及取值于抽象空间的可测函数的预备知识,第三节阐明随机泛函分析与原始随机度量理论（本称之为F-随机度量理论）的整体关系,主要结果是在随机元生成空间上给出自然且合理的随机度量与随机范数的构造,从而将随机元与随机算子理论的研究纳入随机度量理论框架,主要思想是将随机泛函分析视为随机度量空间体系上的分析学而统一地发展;从而形成了发展随机泛函分析的一个新的途径-空间随机化途径;除此之外,在本节我们也从随机过程理论的观点出发首次提出对应于随机度量理论原始版本的一种新的随机共轭空间理论（叫作F-随机共轭空间理论）,它的突出优点是能保持象随机过程的样本性质这样更精细的特性（本节由作的工作构成）,在第四节,基于作最近提出的随机度量理论的一个新的版本（本称之为E-随机度量理论）,从传统泛函分析的角度对过去已被发展起来的随机共轭空间理论（本称之为E-随机共轭空间理论）的基本结果进行系统整理并给以全新的处理（本节内容整体上由作最近的一篇论构成,也尤其提到朱林户等人的重要工作）,在本节我们也以相当的篇幅论述F-随机共轭空间理论与E-随机共轭空间理论的内在关系与本质差异,在下面紧跟的两节,致力于E-随机共轭空间理论深层次的结果,尤其突出了E-随机赋范模与传统的赋范空间、E-随机共轭空间与经典共轭空间之间的内在联系;在第五节给出了几类E-随机赋范模的E-随机共轭空间的表示定理（主要由作的工作,作与游兆水及林熙合作的工作,还有巩馥州与刘清荣合作的工作组成）,在六节给出完备E-随机赋范模为随机自反的特征化定理（主要由作及合作的工作组成）,尤其是第五及第六节中,我们给出随机度量理论在随机泛函分析及经典Banach空间中若干实质性的应用;第七节简要给出E-随机赋半范模及E-随机对偶系理论初步;第八节简单阐明随机度量理论与泛函分析的关系;第九节简单阐明了随机度量理论与概率度量空间理论的关系,最后在第十节结合随机度量理论,Banach空间理论及随机泛函分析对发展随机泛函分析的空间随机化途径的合理性与优越性作了进一步的分析。     

关于随机非线性算子的若干定理

本文利用随机拓扑度研究了随机凝聚算子的随机不动点定理和随机方程A(w,x)=μx的随机解,以及随机全连续算子的固有值和固有函数,得到若干新结果．     

三值R_0命题逻辑系统中理论的随机发散度

在三值R_0命题逻辑系统中,给出了随机相似度和随机逻辑伪距离的基本性质.然后在随机逻辑度量空间中提出了理论的随机发散度,指出全体原子公式之集在随机逻辑度量空间中未必是全发散的,其是否全发散取决于给定的随机数序的分布.     

Optimal investment problem with stochastic interest rate and stochastic volatility: Maximizing a power utility

In this paper, we assume that an investor can invest his/her wealth in a bond and a stock. In our wealth model, the stochastic interest rate is described by a Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) model, and the volatility of the stock is proportional to another CIR process. We obtain a closed‐form expression of the optimal policy that maximizes a power utility. Moreover, a verification theorem without the usual Lipschitz assumptions is proved, and the relationships between the optimal policy and various parameters are given. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

广义Black-Scholes模型期权定价新方法--保险精算方法

利用公平保费原则和价格过程的实际概率测度推广了Mogens Bladt和Tina Hviid Rydberg的结果．在无中间红利和有中间红利两种情况下，把Black-Scholes模型推广到无风险资产(债券或银行存款)具有时间相依的利率和风险资产(股票)也具有时间相依的连续复利预期收益率和波动率的情况，在此情况下获得了欧式期权的精确定价公式以及买权与卖权之间的平价关系．给出了风险资产(股票)具有随机连续复利预期收益率和随机波动率的广义Black-Scholes模型的期权定价的一般方法．利用保险精算方法给出了股票价格遵循广义Ornstein-Uhlenback过程模型的欧式期权的精确定价公式和买权和卖权之间的平价关系．     

Rare Shock,Two-Factor Stochastic Volatility and Currency Option Pricing

Abstract

In this paper, we develop an option valuation model where the dynamics of the spot foreign exchange rate is governed by a two-factor Markov-modulated jump-diffusion process. The short-term fluctuation of stochastic volatility is driven by a Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) process and the long-term variation of stochastic volatility is driven by a continuous-time Markov chain which can be interpreted as economy states. Rare events are governed by a compound Poisson process with log-normal jump amplitude and stochastic jump intensity is modulated by a common continuous-time Markov chain. Since the market is incomplete under regime-switching assumptions, we determine a risk-neutral martingale measure via the Esscher transform and then give a pricing formula of currency options. Numerical results are presented for investigating the impact of the long-term volatility and the annual jump intensity on option prices.     

Optimal management of DC pension plan in a stochastic interest rate and stochastic volatility framework

This paper investigates an optimal investment strategy of DC pension plan in a stochastic interest rate and stochastic volatility framework. We apply an affine model including the Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) model and the Vasicek mode to characterize the interest rate while the stock price is given by the Heston’s stochastic volatility (SV) model. The pension manager can invest in cash, bond and stock in the financial market. Thus, the wealth of the pension fund is influenced by the financial risks in the market and the stochastic contribution from the fund participant. The goal of the fund manager is, coping with the contribution rate, to maximize the expectation of the constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility of the terminal value of the pension fund over a guarantee which serves as an annuity after retirement. We first transform the problem into a single investment problem, then derive an explicit solution via the stochastic programming method. Finally, the numerical analysis is given to show the impact of financial parameters on the optimal strategies.     

Market calibration under a long memory stochastic volatility model

In this article, we study a long memory stochastic volatility model (LSV), under which stock prices follow a jump-diffusion stochastic process and its stochastic volatility is driven by a continuous-time fractional process that attains a long memory. LSV model should take into account most of the observed market aspects and unlike many other approaches, the volatility clustering phenomenon is captured explicitly by the long memory parameter. Moreover, this property has been reported in realized volatility time-series across different asset classes and time periods. In the first part of the article, we derive an alternative formula for pricing European securities. The formula enables us to effectively price European options and to calibrate the model to a given option market. In the second part of the article, we provide an empirical review of the model calibration. For this purpose, a set of traded FTSE 100 index call options is used and the long memory volatility model is compared to a popular pricing approach – the Heston model. To test stability of calibrated parameters and to verify calibration results from previous data set, we utilize multiple data sets from NYSE option market on Apple Inc. stock.     

PRICING EUROPEAN OPTION IN A DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL JUMP-DIFFUSION MODEL WITH TWO MARKET STRUCTURE RISKS AND ITS COMPARISONS

Using Fourier inversion transform, P.D.E. and Feynman-Kac formula, the closedform solution for price on European call option is given in a double exponential jump-diffusion model with two different market structure risks that there exist CIR stochastic volatility of stock return and Vasicek or CIR stochastic interest rate in the market. In the end, the result of the model in the paper is compared with those in other models, including BS model with numerical experiment. These results show that the double exponential jump-diffusion model with CIR-market structure risks is suitable for modelling the real-market changes and very useful.     

Optimal mean–variance investment and reinsurance problem for an insurer with stochastic volatility

This paper considers an optimal investment and reinsurance problem for an insurer under the mean–variance criterion. The stochastic volatility of the stock price is modeled by a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process. By applying a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) approach, we obtain a BSDE related to the underlying investment and reinsurance problem. Then solving the BSDE leads to closed-form expressions for both the efficient frontier and the efficient strategy. In the end, numerical examples are presented to analyze the economic behavior of the efficient frontier.     

Regime-switching stochastic volatility model: estimation and calibration to VIX options

We develop and implement a method for maximum likelihood estimation of a regime-switching stochastic volatility model. Our model uses a continuous time stochastic process for the stock dynamics with the instantaneous variance driven by a Cox–Ingersoll–Ross process and each parameter modulated by a hidden Markov chain. We propose an extension of the EM algorithm through the Baum–Welch implementation to estimate our model and filter the hidden state of the Markov chain while using the VIX index to invert the latent volatility state. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we test the convergence of our algorithm and compare it with an approximate likelihood procedure where the volatility state is replaced by the VIX index. We found that our method is more accurate than the approximate procedure. Then, we apply Fourier methods to derive a semi-analytical expression of S&P500 and VIX option prices, which we calibrate to market data. We show that the model is sufficiently rich to encapsulate important features of the joint dynamics of the stock and the volatility and to consistently fit option market prices.     

最小化破产概率的保险人鲁棒投资再保险策略研究

在模型不确定条件下,研究以破产概率最小化为目标的模糊厌恶型保险公司的最优投资再保险问题. 假设保险公司可投资于一种风险资产,也可购买比例再保险. 分别考虑风险资产的价格过程服从随机波动率模型和非随机波动率模型的两种情况,根据动态规划原理建立相应的HJB方程,得到保险公司的最优鲁棒投资再保险策略和价值函数的解析解. 最后,通过数值模拟分析了各模型参数对最优策略和价值函数的影响.     

Pricing currency options under two-factor Markov-modulated stochastic volatility models

This article investigates the valuation of currency options when the dynamic of the spot Foreign Exchange (FX) rate is governed by a two-factor Markov-modulated stochastic volatility model, with the first stochastic volatility component driven by a lognormal diffusion process and the second independent stochastic volatility component driven by a continuous-time finite-state Markov chain model. The states of the Markov chain can be interpreted as the states of an economy. We employ the regime-switching Esscher transform to determine a martingale pricing measure for valuing currency options under the incomplete market setting. We consider the valuation of the European-style and American-style currency options. In the case of American options, we provide a decomposition result for the American option price into the sum of its European counterpart and the early exercise premium. Numerical results are included.