Swing Analysis and Electoral Forecasting

This paper examines the procedure by which votes are converted into seats at U.K. General Elections. In particular it seeks to answer these questions.

1. i)
   What is the meaning of swing when more than two parties fight an election?
    
2. ii)
   How can the distribution of seats at an election be determined from a prediction of national swing?
    
3. iii)
   How can swing analysis be extended to help determine an electoral strategy for political parties?
    
4. iv)
   What explanation can be provided for the swing in Scotland?
    
5. v)
   What explanation can be provided for variations in the English swing?
    

     

More on stability of almost surjective <Emphasis Type="Italic">ε</Emphasis>-isometries of Banach spaces

Let X and Y be two Banach spaces, and f: X → Y be a standard ε-isometry for some ε ≥ 0. In this paper, by using a recent theorem established by Cheng et al. (2013–2015), we show a sufficient condition guaranteeing the following sharp stability inequality of f: There is a surjective linear operator T: Y → X of norm one so that

$$\left\| {Tf(x) - x} \right\| \leqslant 2\varepsilon , for all x \in X.$$

As its application, we prove the following statements are equivalent for a standard ε-isometry f: X → Y:

1. (i)
   lim inf _t→∞ dist(ty, f(X))/|t| < 1/2, for all y ∈ S _Y ;
    
2. (ii)
   \(\tau(f)\equiv sup_{y\epsilon S_{Y}}\) lim inf _t→∞dist(ty, f(X))/|t| = 0;
    
3. (iii)
   there is a surjective linear isometry U: X → Y so that

   $$\left\| {f(x) - Ux} \right\| \leqslant 2\varepsilon , for all x \in X.$$
    

This gives an affirmative answer to a question proposed by Vestfrid (2004, 2015).     

On semistable principal bundles over a complex projective manifold,II

Let (X, ω) be a compact connected Kähler manifold of complex dimension d and \({E_G\,\longrightarrow\,X}\) a holomorphic principal G–bundle, where G is a connected reductive linear algebraic group defined over \({\mathbb{C}}\). Let Z(G) denote the center of G. We prove that the following three statements are equivalent:

1. (1)
   There is a parabolic subgroup \({P\,\subset\,G}\) and a holomorphic reduction of structure group \({E_P\,\subset\,E_G}\) to P, such that the corresponding L(P)/Z(G)–bundle

   $E_{L(P)/Z(G)}\,:=\,E_P(L(P)/Z(G))\,\longrightarrow\,X$

   admits a unitary flat connection, where L(P) is the Levi quotient of P.
    
2. (2)
   The adjoint vector bundle ad(E _G ) is numerically flat.
    
3. (3)
   The principal G–bundle E _G is pseudostable, and

   $\int\limits_X c_2({\rm ad}(E_G))\omega^{d-2}\,=\,0.$
    

If X is a complex projective manifold, and ω represents a rational cohomology class, then the third statement is equivalent to the statement that E _G is semistable with c ₂(ad(E _G )) = 0.

     

The inside outside intersection problem for hexagon triple systems

We give a complete solution of the following two problems:

1. (1)
   For which (n, x) does there exist a pair of hexagon triple systems of order n having x inside triples in common?
    
2. (2)
   For which (n, x) does there exist a pair of hexagon triple systems having x outside triples in common?
    

     

Operational Research and Management

The purpose of this paper is to discuss and if possible to dispel the industrialist's misunderstanding of operational research. The author lists some of the varied ideas held by industrialists of operational research including several which are contradictory, as for example (a) That operational research is new and revolutionary; and (b) That operational research proves nothing new and has always been practised without being so named.A number of suggestions are then made and developed, which should lead to a better understanding. These include, clearer definitions of operational research and a better adaptation of the specialized literature to the needs of industrial management, with particular emphasis on the publication of real rather than synthetic case histories. Headings of sections are:

1. 1
   The attitude of industrialists.
    
2. 2
   The exact nature of operational research.
    
3. 3
   Problems, criteria, models.
    
4. 4
   The practice of operational research in business.