Fuzzy inference to assess manufacturing process capability with imprecise data

Process capability indices provide numerical measures on whether a process conforms to the defined manufacturing capability prerequisite. These have been successfully applied by companies to compete with and to lead high-profit markets by evaluating the quality and productivity performance. The loss-based process capability index C_pm, sometimes called the Taguchi index, was proposed to measure process capability, wherein the output process measurements are precise. In the present study, we develop a realistic approach that allows the consideration of imprecise output data resulting from the measurements of the products quality. A general method combining the vector of fuzzy numbers to produce the membership function of fuzzy estimator of Taguchi index is introduced for further testing process capability. With the sampling distribution for the precise estimation of C_pm, two useful fuzzy inference criteria, the critical value and the fuzzy P-value, are proposed to assess the manufacturing process capability based on C_pm. The presented methodology takes into the consideration of a certain degree of imprecision on the sample data and leads to the three-decision rule with the four quadrants decision-making plot. The fuzzy inference procedure presented to assess process capability is a natural generalization of the traditional test, when the data are precise the proposed test is reduced to a classical test with a binary decision.     

A linear regression model for imprecise response

A linear regression model with imprecise response and p real explanatory variables is analyzed. The imprecision of the response variable is functionally described by means of certain kinds of fuzzy sets, the LR fuzzy sets. The LR fuzzy random variables are introduced to model usual random experiments when the characteristic observed on each result can be described with fuzzy numbers of a particular class, determined by 3 random values: the center, the left spread and the right spread. In fact, these constitute a natural generalization of the interval data. To deal with the estimation problem the space of the LR fuzzy numbers is proved to be isometric to a closed and convex cone of R³ with respect to a generalization of the most used metric for LR fuzzy numbers. The expression of the estimators in terms of moments is established, their limit distribution and asymptotic properties are analyzed and applied to the determination of confidence regions and hypothesis testing procedures. The results are illustrated by means of some case-studies.     

The practical research on flood risk analysis based on IIOSM and fuzzy α-cut technique

Flood disasters are one of the most common and destructive natural hazards all over the world. In this paper, improved interior-outer-set model (IIOSM) based on information diffusion theory is introduced in detail to assess flood risk in an effort to obtain accurate analytical results that represent the actual situation. Then fuzzy α-cut technique is applied to calculate the fuzzy expected values under the possibility–probability distribution (PPD) calculated by IIOSM. Taking the value of α throughout the interval (0, 1], we correspondingly get access to the conservative risk value (R_C) and venture risk value (R_V). Selection of α, R_C and R_V is dependent on present technical conditions and risk preference of different people. To illustrate the procedure of IIOSM and fuzzy α-cut technique, we employ them respectively to analyze the flood risk in Sanshui District, located in the center of Guangdong province in China. The results, such as risk value estimations, as well as fuzzy expected values, i.e. R_C and R_V under the given α-cut level, can reflect the flood risk quite accurately. The outcomes of this research based on IIOSM and fuzzy α-cut technique offer new insights to carry out an efficient way for various flood protection strategies.     

Assessing process capability based on Bayesian approach with subsamples

Process capability indices (PCIs) have been widely used to measure the actual process information with respect to the manufacturing specifications, and become the common language for process quality between the customer and the supplier. Most of existing research works for capability testing are based on the traditional frequentist point of view and statistical properties of the estimated PCIs are derived based on the assumption of one single sample. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating and testing process capability using Bayesian approach based on subsamples collected over time from an in-control process. The posterior probability and the credible interval for the most popular index _Cpk$C_{\mathit{pk}}$ under a non-informative prior are derived. The manufacturers can use the presented approach to perform capability testing and determine whether their processes are capable of reproducing product items satisfying customers’ stringent quality requirements when a daily-based or weekly-based production control plan is implemented for monitoring process stability.     

Dynamic fuzzy reliability models of degraded hold-down structures for folded solar array

The hold-down structures are of considerable importance to the launch of solar array. Due to the difficulties in obtaining sufficient load specimen, it is imprecise to construct the stress as random variables. Therefore, dynamic fuzzy reliability models are developed in this paper, which resolve the problems in dealing with the interaction between the fuzzy stress process and the stochastic strength process. Even for a deterministic fuzzy stress process, the influences of material statistical properties on reliability can be affected by the level α of fuzzy stress. Meanwhile, the level α relates to investment in the collection of information about the fuzzy stress on hold-down bar. Hence, the models can be used for the economic analysis and optimal design of hold-down bar. Finally, key fuzzy parameters of stress, which have significant influences on both the reliability behavior and the effects of material statistical properties on reliability, are identified and some suggestions for the reliability enhancement of hold-down bar are provided in this paper.     

Applying fuzzy GERT with approximate fuzzy arithmetic based on the weakest t-norm operations to evaluate repairable reliability

In general, the fuzzy Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique (GERT) usually evaluates/analyzes variables with interval arithmetic (α-cut arithmetic) operations, especially those with complicated fuzzy systems. Thus the interval arithmetic operations may occur accumulating phenomenon of fuzziness in complicated systems, and the accumulating phenomenon of fuzziness may make decision-maker that cannot effectively evaluate problems/systems under vague environment. In order to overcome the accumulating phenomenon of fuzziness or credibly reduce fuzzy spreads, this study adopts approximate fuzzy arithmetic operations under the weakest t-norm arithmetic operations (T_ω) to evaluate fuzzy reliability models based on fuzzy GERT simulation technology. The approximate fuzzy arithmetic operations employ principle of interval arithmetic under the weakest t-norm arithmetic operations. Therefore, the novel fuzzy arithmetic operations may obtain fitter decision values, which have smaller fuzziness accumulating, under vague environment. In numerical examples the approximate fuzzy arithmetic operations has evidenced that it can successfully calculate results of fuzzy operations as interval arithmetic, and can more effectively reduce fuzzy spreads. In the real fuzzy repairable reliability model the performance also shows that the approximate fuzzy arithmetic operations successfully analyze the reliability problem and obtain more confident fuzzy results.     

Evaluating the lifetime performance index for the exponential lifetime products

Process capability indices (PCIs) are used to measure process potential and performance. Since the lifetime of products generally may possess an exponential, gamma or Weibull distribution, etc., so under a two-parameter exponential distribution, this study constructs a uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE) of the lifetime performance index based on the right type II censored sample. Then the UMVUE of the lifetime performance index is utilized to develop the new hypothesis testing procedure in the condition of known L. Finally, a practical example is illustrated to employ the testing procedure to determine whether the process is capable.     

Ranking alternatives using fuzzy numbers

We investigate the problem of employing expert opinion to rank alternatives across a set of criteria. The experts use fuzzy numbers to express their preferences and we employ fuzzy arithmetic to compute an issue's fuzzy ranking. This leads to a partition of the alternatives into sets H₁, H₂,… where H₁ contains the highest ranked issues, H₂ has all the second highest ranked alternatives, etc. The total ranking process is shown to possess a number of important properties. An example is presented to illustrate the method.     

A novel method for solving linear programming problems with symmetric trapezoidal fuzzy numbers

Linear programming (LP) is a widely used optimization method for solving real-life problems because of its efficiency. Although precise data are fundamentally indispensable in conventional LP problems, the observed values of the data in real-life problems are often imprecise. Fuzzy sets theory has been extensively used to represent imprecise data in LP by formalizing the inaccuracies inherent in human decision-making. The fuzzy LP (FLP) models in the literature generally either incorporate the imprecisions related to the coefficients of the objective function, the values of the right-hand-side, and/or the elements of the coefficient matrix. We propose a new method for solving FLP problems in which the coefficients of the objective function and the values of the right-hand-side are represented by symmetric trapezoidal fuzzy numbers while the elements of the coefficient matrix are represented by real numbers. We convert the FLP problem into an equivalent crisp LP problem and solve the crisp problem with the standard primal simplex method. We show that the method proposed in this study is simpler and computationally more efficient than two competing FLP methods commonly used in the literature.     

Computing latest starting times of activities in interval-valued networks with minimal time lags

This paper deals with problems of determining possible values of earliest and latest starting times of an activity in networks with minimal time lags and imprecise durations that are represented by means of interval or fuzzy numbers. Although minimal time lags are practical in different projects, former researchers have not considered these problems.After proposing propositions which reduce the search space, a novel polynomial algorithm is presented to compute intervals of possible values of latest starting times in interval-valued networks with minimal time lags. Then, the results are extended to networks with fuzzy durations.