Estimating the error distribution in nonparametric multiple regression with applications to model testing

In this paper we consider the estimation of the error distribution in a heteroscedastic nonparametric regression model with multivariate covariates. As estimator we consider the empirical distribution function of residuals, which are obtained from multivariate local polynomial fits of the regression and variance functions, respectively. Weak convergence of the empirical residual process to a Gaussian process is proved. We also consider various applications for testing model assumptions in nonparametric multiple regression. The model tests obtained are able to detect local alternatives that converge to zero at an n^−1/2-rate, independent of the covariate dimension. We consider in detail a test for additivity of the regression function.     

Estimation of the regression operator from functional fixed-design with correlated errors

We consider the estimation of the regression operator r in the functional model: Y=r(x)+ε, where the explanatory variable x is of functional fixed-design type, the response Y is a real random variable and the error process ε is a second order stationary process. We construct the kernel type estimate of r from functional data curves and correlated errors. Then we study their performances in terms of the mean square convergence and the convergence in probability. In particular, we consider the cases of short and long range error processes. When the errors are negatively correlated or come from a short memory process, the asymptotic normality of this estimate is derived. Finally, some simulation studies are conducted for a fractional autoregressive integrated moving average and for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck error processes.     

Optimal rates of convergence in the Weibull model based on kernel-type estimators

Let F be a distribution function in the maximal domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution such that −log(1−F(x))=x^1/θL(x) for a positive real number θ, called the Weibull tail index, and a slowly varying function L. It is well known that the estimators of θ have a very slow rate of convergence. We establish here a sharp optimality result in the minimax sense, that is when L is treated as an infinite dimensional nuisance parameter belonging to some functional class. We also establish the rate optimal asymptotic property of a data-driven choice of the sample fraction that is used for estimation.     

Second-order accuracy of depth-based bootstrap confidence regions

We consider the problem of setting bootstrap confidence regions for multivariate parameters based on data depth functions. We prove, under mild regularity conditions, that depth-based bootstrap confidence regions are second-order accurate in the sense that their coverage error is of order n⁻¹, given a random sample of size n. The results hold in general for depth functions of types A and D, which cover as special cases the Tukey depth, the majority depth, and the simplicial depth. A simulation study is also provided to investigate empirically the bootstrap confidence regions constructed using these three depth functions.     

Residual variance estimation using a nearest neighbor statistic

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating E[(Y−E[Y∣X])²] based on a finite sample of independent, but not necessarily identically distributed, random variables . We analyze the theoretical properties of a recently developed estimator. It is shown that the estimator has many theoretically interesting properties, while the practical implementation is simple.     

Superefficient estimation of the marginals by exploiting knowledge on the copula

We consider the problem of estimating the marginals in the case where there is knowledge on the copula. If the copula is smooth, it is known that it is possible to improve on the empirical distribution functions: optimal estimators still have a rate of convergence n^−1/2, but a smaller asymptotic variance. In this paper we show that for non-smooth copulas it is sometimes possible to construct superefficient estimators of the marginals: we construct both a copula and, exploiting the information our copula provides, estimators of the marginals with the rate of convergence logn/n.     

Berry-Esseen bounds for wavelet estimator in a regression model with linear process errors

In this paper, we derive the Berry-Esseen bounds of the wavelet estimator for a nonparametric regression model with linear process errors generated by φ-mixing sequences. As application, by the suitable choice of some constants, the convergence rate O(n^−1/6) of uniformly asymptotic normality of the wavelet estimator is obtained. Our results generalize some known results in the literature.     

Semi-varying coefficient models with a diverging number of components

Semiparametric models with both nonparametric and parametric components have become increasingly useful in many scientific fields, due to their appropriate representation of the trade-off between flexibility and efficiency of statistical models. In this paper we focus on semi-varying coefficient models (a.k.a. varying coefficient partially linear models) in a “large n, diverging p” situation, when both the number of parametric and nonparametric components diverges at appropriate rates, and we only consider the case p=o(n). Consistency of the estimator based on B-splines and asymptotic normality of the linear components are established under suitable assumptions. Interestingly (although not surprisingly) our analysis shows that the number of parametric components can diverge at a faster rate than the number of nonparametric components and the divergence rates of the number of the nonparametric components constrain the allowable divergence rates of the parametric components, which is a new phenomenon not established in the existing literature as far as we know. Finally, the finite sample behavior of the estimator is evaluated by some Monte Carlo studies.     

Flexible modeling based on copulas in nonparametric median regression

Consider the model Y=m(X)+ε, where m(⋅)=med(Y|⋅) is unknown but smooth. It is often assumed that ε and X are independent. However, in practice this assumption is violated in many cases. In this paper we propose modeling the dependence between ε and X by means of a copula model, i.e. (ε,X)∼C_θ(F_ε(⋅),F_X(⋅)), where C_θ is a copula function depending on an unknown parameter θ, and F_ε and F_X are the marginals of ε and X. Since many parametric copula families contain the independent copula as a special case, the so-obtained regression model is more flexible than the ‘classical’ regression model.We estimate the parameter θ via a pseudo-likelihood method and prove the asymptotic normality of the estimator, based on delicate empirical process theory. We also study the estimation of the conditional distribution of Y given X. The procedure is illustrated by means of a simulation study, and the method is applied to data on food expenditures in households.     

Analysis of two-sample truncated data using generalized logistic models

Parallel to Cox's [JRSS B34 (1972) 187-230] proportional hazards model, generalized logistic models have been discussed by Anderson [Bull. Int. Statist. Inst. 48 (1979) 35-53] and others. The essential assumption is that the two densities ratio has a known parametric form. A nice property of this model is that it naturally relates to the logistic regression model for categorical data. In astronomic, demographic, epidemiological, and other studies the variable of interest is often truncated by an associated variable. This paper studies generalized logistic models for the two-sample truncated data problem, where the two lifetime densities ratio is assumed to have the form exp{α+φ(x;β)}. Here φ is a known function of x and β, and the baseline density is unspecified. We develop a semiparametric maximum likelihood method for the case where the two samples have a common truncation distribution. It is shown that inferences for β do not depend the nonparametric components. We also derive an iterative algorithm to maximize the semiparametric likelihood for the general case where different truncation distributions are allowed. We further discuss how to check goodness of fit of the generalized logistic model. The developed methods are illustrated and evaluated using both simulated and real data.     

Empirical likelihood for linear models under negatively associated errors

In this paper, we discuss the construction of the confidence intervals for the regression vector β in a linear model under negatively associated errors. It is shown that the blockwise empirical likelihood (EL) ratio statistic for β is asymptotically χ²-type distributed. The result is used to obtain an EL based confidence region for β.     

Statistical inference in a panel data semiparametric regression model with serially correlated errors

We consider a panel data semiparametric partially linear regression model with an unknown vector β of regression coefficients, an unknown nonparametric function g(·) for nonlinear component, and unobservable serially correlated errors. The correlated errors are modeled by a vector autoregressive process which involves a constant intraclass correlation. Applying the pilot estimators of β and g(·), we construct estimators of the autoregressive coefficients, the intraclass correlation and the error variance, and investigate their asymptotic properties. Fitting the error structure results in a new semiparametric two-step estimator of β, which is shown to be asymptotically more efficient than the usual semiparametric least squares estimator in terms of asymptotic covariance matrix. Asymptotic normality of this new estimator is established, and a consistent estimator of its asymptotic covariance matrix is presented. Furthermore, a corresponding estimator of g(·) is also provided. These results can be used to make asymptotically efficient statistical inference. Some simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performances of these proposed estimators.     

On Hadamard differentiability in k-sample semiparametric models—with applications to the assessment of structural relationships

Semiparametric models to describe the functional relationship between k groups of observations are broadly applied in statistical analysis, ranging from nonparametric ANOVA to proportional hazard (ph) rate models in survival analysis. In this paper we deal with the empirical assessment of the validity of such a model, which will be denoted as a “structural relationship model”. To this end Hadamard differentiability of a suitable goodness-of-fit measure in the k-sample case is proved. This yields asymptotic limit laws which are applied to construct tests for various semiparametric models, including the Cox ph model. Two types of asymptotics are obtained, first when the hypothesis of the semiparametric model under investigation holds true, and second for the case when a fixed alternative is present. The latter result can be used to validate the presence of a semiparametric model instead of simply checking the null hypothesis “the model holds true”. Finally, various bootstrap approximations are numerically investigated and a data example is analyzed.     

Application of fast spherical Fourier transform to density estimation

This paper is on density estimation on the 2-sphere, S², using the orthogonal series estimator corresponding to spherical harmonics. In the standard approach of truncating the Fourier series of the empirical density, the Fourier transform is replaced with a version of the discrete fast spherical Fourier transform, as developed by Driscoll and Healy. The fast transform only applies to quantitative data on a regular grid. We will apply a kernel operator to the empirical density, to produce a function whose values at the vertices of such a grid will be the basis for the density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure also contains a deconvolution step, in order to reduce the bias introduced by the initial kernel operator. The main issue is to find necessary conditions on the involved discretization and the bandwidth of the kernel operator, to preserve the rate of convergence that can be achieved by the usual computationally intensive Fourier transform. Density estimation is considered in L²(S²) and more generally in Sobolev spaces H_v(S²), any v?0, with the regularity assumption that the probability density to be estimated belongs to H_s(S²) for some s>v. The proposed technique to estimate the Fourier transform of an unknown density keeps computing cost down to order O(n), where n denotes the sample size.     

Wavelet estimation of conditional density with truncated, censored and dependent data

In this paper we define a new nonlinear wavelet-based estimator of conditional density function for a random left truncation and right censoring model. We provide an asymptotic expression for the mean integrated squared error (MISE) of the estimator. It is assumed that the lifetime observations form a stationary α-mixing sequence. Unlike for kernel estimators, the MISE expression of the wavelet-based estimators is not affected by the presence of discontinuities in the curves. Also, asymptotic normality of the estimator is established.     

On a new multivariate two-sample test

In this paper we propose a new test for the multivariate two-sample problem. The test statistic is the difference of the sum of all the Euclidean interpoint distances between the random variables from the two different samples and one-half of the two corresponding sums of distances of the variables within the same sample. The asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic is derived using the projection method and shown to be the limit of the bootstrap distribution. A simulation study includes the comparison of univariate and multivariate normal distributions for location and dispersion alternatives. For normal location alternatives the new test is shown to have power similar to that of the t- and T²-Test.     

Nonconcave penalized inverse regression in single-index models with high dimensional predictors

In this paper we aim to estimate the direction in general single-index models and to select important variables simultaneously when a diverging number of predictors are involved in regressions. Towards this end, we propose the nonconcave penalized inverse regression method. Specifically, the resulting estimation with the SCAD penalty enjoys an oracle property in semi-parametric models even when the dimension, p_n, of predictors goes to infinity. Under regularity conditions we also achieve the asymptotic normality when the dimension of predictor vector goes to infinity at the rate of p_n=o(n^1/3) where n is sample size, which enables us to construct confidence interval/region for the estimated index. The asymptotic results are augmented by simulations, and illustrated by analysis of an air pollution dataset.     

Semiparametric inference for transformation models via empirical likelihood

Recent advances in the transformation model have made it possible to use this model for analyzing a variety of censored survival data. For inference on the regression parameters, there are semiparametric procedures based on the normal approximation. However, the accuracy of such procedures can be quite low when the censoring rate is heavy. In this paper, we apply an empirical likelihood ratio method and derive its limiting distribution via U-statistics. We obtain confidence regions for the regression parameters and compare the proposed method with the normal approximation based method in terms of coverage probability. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed empirical likelihood method overcomes the under-coverage problem substantially and outperforms the normal approximation based method. The proposed method is illustrated with a real data example. Finally, our method can be applied to general U-statistic type estimating equations.     

Single-index quantile regression

Nonparametric quantile regression with multivariate covariates is a difficult estimation problem due to the “curse of dimensionality”. To reduce the dimensionality while still retaining the flexibility of a nonparametric model, we propose modeling the conditional quantile by a single-index function , where a univariate link function g₀(⋅) is applied to a linear combination of covariates , often called the single-index. We introduce a practical algorithm where the unknown link function g₀(⋅) is estimated by local linear quantile regression and the parametric index is estimated through linear quantile regression. Large sample properties of estimators are studied, which facilitate further inference. Both the modeling and estimation approaches are demonstrated by simulation studies and real data applications.