回归模型误差相关性的统一检验方法

提出了回归模型误差项关于实对称矩阵相关的概念，从而将探测误差项的各种相关性，诸如序列自相关、空间自相关以及趋势性等问题纳入统一的统计检验框架内．在线性回归模型下，提出了一种计算检验p-值的三阶矩χ^2逼近方法．与精确方法相比，该逼近方法不但显著地降低了计算量，而且模拟计算表明具有相当高的精度．     

部分线性模型基于参数信息的统计推断

针对部分线性模型提出了一种新的估计方法-Profile局部最小二乘估计,方法结合了非参数部分的参数信息.另外对于部分线性模型中非参数部分是否为某一参数函数的检验问题,基于比较原假设与备择假设下模型拟合的残差平方和的思想构造了检验统计量,并给出了计算检验p-值的精确方法和三阶矩χ2逼近方法.     

部分线性模型非参数分量的线性关系检验

对于部分线性模型中非参数部分是否为某一特定阶数(记为p)的多项式函数的检验问题,本文基于非参数函数在各点的p阶导函数估计值的样本方差构造了一个简单的检验统计量.给出了计算检验p-值的三阶矩χ2逼近方法.最后通过数值模拟验证了我们所提检验方法的有效性.     

指数族下参数双边检验的p-值

在单参数指数族下,对参数的双侧检验问题给出了一致最优检验或一致最优无偏检验的p-值;在多参数指数族下,对单个参数双侧检验问题给出了一致最优无偏检验的p-值.在正态总体下,给出了几个计算上述p-值的例子.     

非参数协方差分析基于变系数模型的统计推断

对于一类协方差分析模型,本文基于变系数模型的角度,提出了约束局部加权核估计方法,并构造了相应的检验统计量,给出了计算检验p-值的精确方法.最后通过数值模拟验证了所提检验方法的有效性.     

非参数固定效应Panel Data模型的统计推断

本文主要讨论了非参数固定效应Panel data模型的估计与检验问题,首先我们利用Profile最小二乘方法得到了固定效应与非参数部分的估计;接着基于比较原假设与备择假设下模型拟合的残差平方和的思想针对固定效应的检验问题构造了检验统计量,并给出了计算检验p-值的F分布逼近法。     

Panel模型中的精确检验和置信区间

利用广义p-值和广义置信区间的概念,研究了Panel模型中未知参数的检验和置信区间问题.对于回归系数,分别考虑了单个情形和多个线性无关情形下的检验和置信区间问题,得到了精确检验和置信区间.对于方差分量,研究了其任意线性组合的检验和置信区间问题,建立了精确检验和置信区间.基于广义p-值和广义置信区间,获取精确检验和置信区间的方法具有计算方便、易应用于小样本问题的特点.最后,分别从理论和数值上研究了这些精确检验和置信区间的统计性质.     

Lagrange插值和Hermite-Fejér插值在Wiener空间下的平均误差

在L_q-范数逼近的意义下,确定了基于Chebyshev多项式零点的Lagrange插值多项式列和Hermite-Fejér插值多项式列在Wiener空间下的p-平均误差的弱渐近阶.从我们的结果可以看出,当2≤q<∞,1≤p<∞时,基于第一类Chebyshev多项式零点的Lagrange插值多项式列和Hermite-Fejér插值多项式列的p-平均误差弱等价于相应的最佳逼近多项式列的p-平均误差.在信息基计算复杂性的意义下,如果可允许信息泛函为计算函数在固定点的值,那么当1≤p,q<∞时,基于第一类Chebyshev多项式零点的Lagrange插值多项式列和Hermite-Fejér插值多项式列在Wiener空间下的p-平均误差弱等价于相应的最小非自适应p-平均信息半径.     

正态总体均值与标准差比在序约束下的广p-值检验

本文利用广义p-值和U-I检验法研究了多个正态总体均值与标准差比在简单半序和树序约束下的检验问题．提出了广义检验变量,得到了多个正态总体均值与标准差比在简单半序和树序约束下检验问题的广义p-值．同时运用Monte Carlo方法给出了模拟结果．     

p-算子空间上的框架逼近和嵌入

介绍了p-算子空间上的p-完全有界框架概念.证明了可分p-算子空间X上存在p-完全有界框架当且仅当X满足p-完全有界逼近性质当且仅当X能够p-完全可补嵌入有p-完全有界基的p-算子空间.对于满足p-完全有界逼近性质的非可分的p-算子空间,还证明了其任意可分子空间均可以p-完全同构嵌入到有p-完全有界框架的p-算子空间.     

Identification of Non-Varying Coefficients in Varying- Coefficient Models

A partially varying-coefficient model is one of the useful modelling tools. In this model, some coefficients of a linear model are kept to be constant whilst the others are allowed to vary with another factor. However, rarely can the analysts know a priori which coefficients can be assumed to be constant and which ones are varying with the given factor. Therefore, the identification problem of the constant coefficients should be solved before the partially varying-coefficient model is used to analyze a real-world data set. In this article, a simple test method is proposed to achieve this task, in which the test statistic is constructed as the sample variance of the estimates of each coefficient function in a well-known varying-coefficient model. Moreover two procedures, called F-approximation and three-moment X~2 approximation, are employed to derive the p-value of the test. Furthermore, some simulations are conducted to examine the performance of the test and the results are satisfactory.     

A Test for Additivity in Nonparametric Regression

A simple consistent test of additivity in a multiple nonparametric regression model is proposed, where data are observed on a lattice. The new test is based on an estimator of the L ²-distance between the (unknown) nonparametric regression function and its best approximation by an additive nonparametric regression model. The corresponding test-statistic is the difference of a classical ANOVA style statistic in a two-way layout with one observation per cell and a variance estimator in a homoscedastic nonparametric regression model. Under the null hypothesis of additivity asymptotic normality is established with a limiting variance which involves only the variance of the error of measurements. The results are extended to models with an approximate lattice structure, a heteroscedastic error structure and the finite sample behaviour of the proposed procedure is investigated by means of a simulation study.     

Testing model assumptions in functional regression models

In the functional regression model where the responses are curves, new tests for the functional form of the regression and the variance function are proposed, which are based on a stochastic process estimating L²-distances. Our approach avoids the explicit estimation of the functional regression and it is shown that normalized versions of the proposed test statistics converge weakly. The finite sample properties of the tests are illustrated by means of a small simulation study. It is also demonstrated that for small samples, bootstrap versions of the tests improve the quality of the approximation of the nominal level.     

Testing in linear composite quantile regression models

Composite quantile regression (CQR) can be more efficient and sometimes arbitrarily more efficient than least squares for non-normal random errors, and almost as efficient for normal random errors. Based on CQR, we propose a test method to deal with the testing problem of the parameter in the linear regression models. The critical values of the test statistic can be obtained by the random weighting method without estimating the nuisance parameters. A distinguished feature of the proposed method is that the approximation is valid even the null hypothesis is not true and power evaluation is possible under the local alternatives. Extensive simulations are reported, showing that the proposed method works well in practical settings. The proposed methods are also applied to a data set from a walking behavior survey.     

一种新的光滑支持向量机的构造及其应用

光滑支持向量机模型是一个无约束、可微的最优化模型,人们可应用快速的最优化方法求解,从而降低计算复杂性.在前人工作的基础上研究基于样条函数的光滑支持向量机,采用广义三弯矩方法构造出六次样条光滑函数,分析了其性能及与正号函数的逼近精度,实现了求解六次样条光滑支持向量机的算法,与其它光滑支持向量机进行了比较,取得了较好的结果.最后将其应用于心脏病模型诊断,实验结果显示具有较高的精确度.     

Copula函数的加权平均距离检验方法

针对无法从定性的角度选择最优Copula函数,本文从定量的角度给出Copula函数的一种加权平均距离检验方法,并给出该检验方法的拒绝域与检验p值,最后证明了此检验方法具有相合性,并给出检验统计量的渐近分布,从而说明此方法可以用于最优Copula函数的选择。     

Continuity Corrections for Discrete Distributions Under the Edgeworth Expansion

The approximation of discrete distributions by Edgeworth expansion series for continuity points of a discrete distribution F _n implies that if t is a support point of F _n, then the expansion should be performed at a continuity point . When a value is selected to improve the approximation of , and especially when a single term of the expansion is used, the selected is defined to be a continuity correction. This paper investigates the properties of the approximations based on several terms of the expansion, when is the value at which the infimum of a residual term is attained. Methods of selecting the estimation and the residual terms are investigated and the results are compared empirically for several discrete distributions. The results are also compared with the commonly used approximation based on the normal distribution with . Some numerical comparisons show that the developed procedure gives better approximations than those obtained under the standard continuity correction technique, whenever is close to 0 and 1. Thus, it is especially useful for p-value computations and for the evaluation of probabilities of rare events.