基于Beta分布形状的拟合优度检验

本文指出了拟合优度检验中选用经验频率公式时存在的误区,对顺序统计量失效概率分布进行了偏态和峰态分析,提出了一个基于Beta分布形状特征的经验分布函数,给出了精确值和近似值两种计算方法,在此基础上建立新的极值型检验统计量．利用Monte Carlo方法进行数值模拟,得到0．01、0．05、0．1显著度水平下检验统计量的临界值,并利用常用的分布模型进行检验功效比较,数值模拟结果表明基于分布形状的经验频率公式能更好地反映顺序统计量失效概率分布的集中趋势,证明了本文提出的两种检验统计量在中小样本条件下具有更优的检验功效．     

关于拟合优度检验的EDF统计量的若干评注(英语)

拟合优度检验是建立统计模型的一个重要手段,很多检验统计量用一个理想样本能达到它们自己的极值,但EDF统计量做不到,这无疑会影响检验的势。在本文中,我们将提出某些调整型EDF统计量,它们具有这些性质,并改进了EDF检验,蒙得卡罗模拟表明,调整型EDF统计量在很多场合要必EDF具有更高的势,特别对重尾的备选分布更是这样,我们还考察了检验的形态与它们的极值点之间的关系。     

Nonparametric tests based on N-distances

This paper is devoted to goodness-of-fit and homogeneity tests based on N-distances. The work is a continuation of our research started in [2]. The power of the proposed criteria is compared with classical tests using Monte Carlo simulations. Different alternatives both in one-and multidimensional cases are investigated. Applications of N-distance statistics for testing hypotheses of symmetry (univariate case) and independence (bivariate case) are provided.     

Nonparametric rank-based tests of bivariate extreme-value dependence

A new class of tests of extreme-value dependence for bivariate copulas is proposed. It is based on the process comparing the empirical copula with a natural nonparametric rank-based estimator of the unknown copula under extreme-value dependence. A multiplier technique is used to compute approximate p-values for several candidate test statistics. Extensive Monte Carlo experiments were carried out to compare the resulting procedures with the tests of extreme-value dependence recently studied in Ben Ghorbal et al. (2009) [1] and Kojadinovic and Yan (2010) [19]. The finite-sample performance study of the tests is complemented by local power calculations.     

Semiparametric quantile regression with random censoring

This paper considers estimation and inference in semiparametric quantile regression models when the response variable is subject to random censoring. The paper considers both the cases of independent and dependent censoring and proposes three iterative estimators based on inverse probability weighting, where the weights are estimated from the censoring distribution using the Kaplan–Meier, a fully parametric and the conditional Kaplan–Meier estimators. The paper proposes a computationally simple resampling technique that can be used to approximate the finite sample distribution of the parametric estimator. The paper also considers inference for both the parametric and nonparametric components of the quantile regression model. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed estimators and test statistics have good finite sample properties. Finally, the paper contains a real data application, which illustrates the usefulness of the proposed methods.

     

Two-sample inference for normal mean vectors based on monotone missing data

Inferential procedures for the difference between two multivariate normal mean vectors based on incomplete data matrices with different monotone patterns are developed. Assuming that the population covariance matrices are equal, a pivotal quantity, similar to the Hotelling T² statistic, is proposed, and its approximate distribution is derived. Hypothesis testing and confidence estimation of the difference between the mean vectors based on the approximate distribution are outlined. The validity of the approximation is investigated using Monte Carlo simulation. Monte Carlo studies indicate that the approximate method is very satisfactory even for small samples. A multiple comparison procedure is outlined and the proposed methods are illustrated using an example.     

A comparison of bootstrap and Monte-Carlo testing approaches to value-at-risk diagnosis

In this note we investigate a particular resampling scheme and Monte Carlo testing to determine critical values for two test statistics typically used for diagnosing value-at-risk models. In cases of small nominal coverage subjected to testing, the dynamic quantile test and a corresponding logit based likelihood ratio test suffer from poor convergence to the asymptotic limit distribution. In terms of empirical size both resampling and Monte Carlo approaches offer most accurate test features with the Monte Carlo technique achieving power gains if a misspecified value-at-risk model is subjected to testing.     

基于Copula的VsR度量与事后检验

估计VaR的传统方法有三种:协方差矩阵法、历史模拟法和蒙特仁洛模拟法。通常,文献中认为刚蒙特卡洛模拟法度量VaR有很多方面的优点。但是,本文通过实证检验发现,使用传统蒙特卡洛模拟法估计的VaR偏小,事后检验效果很不理想。本文引入Copula函数来改进传统的蒙特卡洛模拟法。Copula函数能将单个边际分布和多元联合分布联系起来,能处理非正态的边际分布,并且它度量的相关性不再局限于线性相关性。实证检验表明,基于Copula的蒙特卡罗模拟法可以更加准确地度量资产组合的VaR。     

Goodness-of-fit tests for multivariate Laplace distributions

Consistent goodness-of-fit tests are proposed for symmetric and asymmetric multivariate Laplace distributions of arbitrary dimension. The test statistics are formulated following the Fourier-type approach of measuring the weighted discrepancy between the empirical and the theoretical characteristic function, and result in computationally convenient representations. For testing the symmetric Laplace distribution, and in the particular case of a Gaussian weight function, a limit value of these test statistics is obtained when this weight function approaches a Dirac delta function. Interestingly, this limit value is related to a couple of well-known measures of multivariate skewness. A Monte Carlo study is conducted in order to compare the new procedures with standard tests based on the empirical distribution function. A real data application is also included.     

Some necessary uniform tests for spherical symmetry

While spherical distributions have been used in many statistical models for high-dimensional data analysis, there are few easily implemented statistics for testing spherical symmetry for the underlying distribution of high-dimensional data. Many existing statistics for this purpose were constructed by the theory of empirical processes and turn out to converge slowly to their limiting distributions. Some existing statistics for the same purpose were given in the form of high-dimensional integrals that are not easily evaluated in numerical computation. In this paper, we develop some necessary tests for spherical symmetry based on both univariate and multivariate uniform statistics. These statistics are easily evaluated numerically and have simple limiting distributions. A Monte Carlo study is carried out to demonstrate the performance of the statistics on controlling type I error rates and power.