Revised multi-choice goal programming

Chang [C.-T. Chang, Multi-choice goal programming, Omega, The Inter. J. Manage. Sci. 35 (2007) 389–396] has recently proposed a new method namely multi-choice goal programming (MCGP) for multi-objective decision problems. The multi-choice goal programming allows the decision maker to set multi-choice aspiration levels for each goal to avoid underestimation of the decision. However, to express the multi-choice aspiration levels, multiplicative terms of binary variables are involved in their model. This leads to difficult implementation and it is not easily understood by industrial participants. In this paper, we propose an alternative method to formulate the multi-choice aspiration levels with two contributions: (1) the alternative approach does not involve multiplicative terms of binary variables, this leads to more efficient use of MCGP and is easily understood by industrial participants, and (2) the alternative approach represents a linear form of MCGP which can easily be solved by common linear programming packages, not requiring the use of integer programming packages. In addition, a new concept of constrained MCGP is introduced for constructing the relationships between goals in this paper. Finally, to demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed method, an illustrate example is included.     

Fuzzy multi-choice goal programming

Goal programming as a well known technique has been widely used for solving multi objective decision making problems. However, in some practical cases, there may exist situations where the decision maker is interested in setting multi aspiration levels for objectives that may not be expressed in a precise manner. In this paper, a novel formulation of fuzzy multi-choice goal programming (FMCGP) is presented. The proposed approach not only improves the applicability of goal programming in real world situations but also provides useful insight about the solution of a new class of problems. To illustrate and clarify the proposed approach, a numerical example is presented.     

Multi-choice goal programming with utility functions

Goal programming (GP) has been, and still is, the most widely used technique for solving multiple-criteria decision problems and multiple-objective decision problems by finding a set of satisfying solutions. However, the major limitation of goal programming is that can only use aspiration levels with scalar value for solving multiple objective problems. In order to solve this problem multi-choice goal programming (MCGP) was proposed by Chang (2007a). Following the idea of MCGP this study proposes a new concept of level achieving in the utility functions to replace the aspiration level with scalar value in classical GP and MCGP for multiple objective problems. According to this idea, it is possible to use the skill of MCGP with utility functions to solve multi-objective problems. The major contribution of using the utility functions of MCGP is that they can be used as measuring instruments to help decision makers make the best/appropriate policy corresponding to their goals with the highest level of utility achieved. In addition, the above properties can improve the practical utility of MCGP in solving more real-world decision/management problems.     

The supplier selection problem of a manufacturing company using the weighted multi-choice goal programming and MINMAX multi-choice goal programming

This paper presents two methods of decision making, Weighted multi-choice goal programming (MCGP) and MINMAX MCGP. With the proposed Weighted MCGP method, decision makers can set different weights w_i for each goal with linguistic terms, such as high, average and low, which can be transformed into trapezoidal fuzzy numbers. Meanwhile, with the proposed MINMAX MCGP method, this study also let decision makers set the satisfaction membership function for each goal according to their preference in order to eliminate the effect of different scales in each goal.This paper also investigates the relationship between Weighted multi-choice goal programming and MINMAX multi-choice goal programming. According to the sensitivity analysis, decision makers can get the solution with the minimum aggregate deviation for all multiple goals from the Weighted multi-choice goal programming. Meanwhile, decision makers can get the solution with the most balanced solution between all multiple goals from the MINMAX multi-choice goal programming method. The weight variable is introduced to the above two methods to provide decision-makers with a mechanism to evaluate the discrepancy between the maximum aggregate achievement and the most balanced solution, enabling decision-makers to reach the preferable decision for their situation. A real-world problem of supplier selection by the purchasing and sales managers of a manufacturing company is used to illustrate the differing solutions given by the two models.     

Solving multi-level multi-objective linear programming problems through fuzzy goal programming approach

In this paper, two new algorithms are presented to solve multi-level multi-objective linear programming (ML-MOLP) problems through the fuzzy goal programming (FGP) approach. The membership functions for the defined fuzzy goals of all objective functions at all levels are developed in the model formulation of the problem; so also are the membership functions for vectors of fuzzy goals of the decision variables, controlled by decision makers at the top levels. Then the fuzzy goal programming approach is used to achieve the highest degree of each of the membership goals by minimizing their deviational variables and thereby obtain the most satisfactory solution for all decision makers.     

An interactive method for multiple-objective mathematical programming problems

An interactive method is developed for solving the general nonlinear multiple objective mathematical programming problems. The method asks the decision maker to provide partial information (local tradeoff ratios) about his utility (preference) function at each iteration. Using the information, the method generates an efficient solution and presents it to the decision maker. In so doing, the best compromise solution is sought in a finite number of iterations. This method differs from the existing feasible direction methods in that (i) it allows the decision maker to consider only efficient solutions throughout, (ii) the requirement of line search is optional, and (iii) it solves the problems with linear objective functions and linear utility function in one iteration. Using various problems selected from the literature, five line search variations of the method are tested and compared to one another. The nonexisting decision maker is simulated using three different recognition levels, and their impact on the method is also investigated.     

A simulation-based test of stochastic multicriteria acceptability analysis using achievement functions

Stochastic multicriteria acceptability analysis using achievement functions (SMAA-A) is a preference model for discrete-choice decision making that inverts the traditional goal programming process by asking what combinations of aspirations are necessary to make each alternative the preferred one, rather than what alternative is preferred given a set of aspirations. In this paper, we test the ability of the model to discern good-performing alternatives from poorly-performing ones using a simulation study. Simulation results show that a suitably detailed construction of the acceptability index is particularly important, and that the resulting model can be fruitfully applied in the selection of a shortlist of alternatives from a larger set with only very limited decision maker involvement.     

Aspiration level approach in stochastic MCDM problems

The paper considers a discrete stochastic multiple criteria decision making problem. This problem is defined by a finite set of actions A, a set of attributes X and a set of evaluations of actions with respect to attributes E. In stochastic case the evaluation of each action with respect to each attribute takes form of a probability distribution. Thus, the comparison of two actions leads to the comparison of two vectors of probability distributions. In the paper a new procedure for solving this problem is proposed. It is based on three concepts: stochastic dominance, interactive approach, and preference threshold. The idea of the procedure comes from the interactive multiple objective goal programming approach. The set of actions is progressively reduced as the decision maker specifies additional requirements. At the beginning the decision maker is asked to define preference threshold for each attribute. Next, at each iteration the decision maker is confronted with the set of considered actions. If the decision maker is able to make a final choice then the procedure ends, otherwise he/she is asked to specify aspiration level. A didactical example is presented to illustrate the proposed technique.     

Revised multi-choice goal programming for multi-period,multi-stage inventory controlled supply chain model with popup stores in Guerrilla marketing

In this paper, we consider a supply chain network design problem with popup stores which can be opened for a few weeks or months before closing seasonally in a marketplace. The proposed model is multi-period and multi-stage with multi-choice goals under inventory management constraints and formulated by 0–1 mixed integer linear programming. The design tasks of the problem involve the choice of the popup stores to be opened and the distribution network design to satisfy the demand with three multi-choice goals. The first goal is minimization of the sum of transportation costs in all stages; the second is to minimization of set up costs of popup stores; and the third goal is minimization of inventory holding and backordering costs. Revised multi-choice goal programming approach is applied to solve this mixed integer linear programming model. Also, we provide a real-world industrial case to demonstrate how the proposed model works.     

A data envelopment approach to decision analysis

A decision aid to assist the development of a linear valuation function for multiple attribute problems is proposed, based on a linear programming formulation using a constraint set structured in a similar manner to data envelopment analysis (DEA). Value functions which favour each decision option are calculated, and efficient, potentially optimal, options identified. These are used to help a decision maker progressively to articulate preferences, indicators of his/her values, in an interactive, structurally flexible manner. As preference indications are provided, candidate value functions and hitherto efficient options inconsistent with his/her declarations are eliminated, thus proceeding towards an explicit value function and, if needed a corresponding complete option order.     

An interactive satisficing method based on alternative tolerance for fuzzy multiple objective optimization

An interactive satisficing method based on alternative tolerance is proposed for fuzzy multiple objective optimization. The new tolerances of the dissatisficing objectives are generated using an auxiliary programming problem. According to the alternative tolerant limits, either the membership functions are changed, or the objective constraints are added. The lexicographic two-phase programming is implemented to find the final solution. The results of the dissatisficing objectives are iteratively improved. The presented method not only acquires the efficient or weak efficient solution of all the objectives, but also satisfies the progressive preference of decision maker. Numerical examples show its power.     

A group decision making model based on goal programming with fuzzy hierarchy: an application to regional forest planning

In this paper a multi-criteria group decision making model is presented in which there is a heterogeneity among the decision makers due to their different expertise and/or their different level of political control. The relative importance of the decision makers in the group is handled in a soft manner using fuzzy relations. We suppose that each decision maker has his/her preferred solution, obtained by applying any of the techniques of distance-based multi-objective programming [compromise, goal programming (GP), goal programming with fuzzy hierarchy, etc.]. These solutions are used as aspiration levels in a group GP model in which the differences between the unwanted deviations are interpreted in terms of the degree of achievement of the relative importance amongst the group members. In this way, a group GP model with fuzzy hierarchy (Group-GPFH) is constructed. The solution for this model is proposed as a collective decision. To show the applicability of our proposal, a regional forest planning problem is addressed. The objective is to determine tree species composition in order to improve the values achieved by Pan-European indicators for sustainable forest management. This problem involves stakeholders with competing interests and different preference schemes for the aforementioned indicators. The application of our proposal to this problem allows us to be able to comfortably address all these issues. The results obtained are consistent with the preferences of each stakeholder and their hierarchy within the group.     

A simple Tabu Search method to solve the mixed-integer linear bilevel programming problem

Multilevel programming is characterized as mathematical programming to solve decentralized planning problems. The models partition control over decision variables among ordered levels within a hierarchical planning structure of which the linear bilevel form is a special case of a multilevel programming problem. In a system with such a hierarchical structure, the high-level decision making situations generally require inclusion of zero-one variables representing ‘yes-no’ decisions. We provide a mixed-integer linear bilevel programming formulation in which zero-one decision variables are controlled by a high-level decision maker and real-value decision variables are controlled by a low-level decision maker. An algorithm based on the short term memory component of Tabu Search, called Simple Tabu Search, is developed to solve the problem, and two supplementary procedures are proposed that provide variations of the algorithm. Computational results disclose that our approach is effective in terms of both solution quality and efficiency.     

Probability maximization models for portfolio selection under ambiguity

This paper considers several probability maximization models for multi-scenario portfolio selection problems in the case that future returns in possible scenarios are multi-dimensional random variables. In order to consider occurrence probabilities and decision makers’ predictions with respect to all scenarios, a portfolio selection problem setting a weight with flexibility to each scenario is proposed. Furthermore, by introducing aspiration levels to occurrence probabilities or future target profit and maximizing the minimum aspiration level, a robust portfolio selection problem is considered. Since these problems are formulated as stochastic programming problems due to the inclusion of random variables, they are transformed into deterministic equivalent problems introducing chance constraints based on the stochastic programming approach. Then, using a relation between the variance and absolute deviation of random variables, our proposed models are transformed into linear programming problems and efficient solution methods are developed to obtain the global optimal solution. Furthermore, a numerical example of a portfolio selection problem is provided to compare our proposed models with the basic model.     

Approaches to multistage one-shot decision making

In this research, multistage one-shot decision making under uncertainty is studied. In such a decision problem, a decision maker has one and only one chance to make a decision at each stage with possibilistic information. Based on the one-shot decision theory, approaches to multistage one-shot decision making are proposed. In the proposed approach, a decision maker chooses one state amongst all the states according to his/her attitude about satisfaction and possibility at each stage. The payoff at each stage is associated with the focus points at the succeeding stages. Based on the selected states (focus points), the sequence of optimal decisions is determined by dynamic programming. The proposed method is a fundamental alternative for multistage decision making under uncertainty because it is scenario-based instead of lottery-based as in the other existing methods. The one-shot optimal stopping problem is analyzed where a decision maker has only one chance to determine stopping or continuing at each stage. The theoretical results have been obtained.     

Valuating residential real estate using parametric programming

When the estimation of the single equation multiple linear regression model is looked upon as an optimization problem, we show how the principles and methods of optimization can assist the analyst in finding an attractive prediction model. We illustrate this with the estimation of a linear prediction model for valuating residential property using regression quantiles. We make use of the linear parametric programming formulation to obtain the family of regression quantile models associated with a data set. We use the principle of dominance to reduce the number of models for consideration in the search for the most preferred property valuation model (s). We also provide useful displays that assist the analyst and the decision maker in selecting the final model (s). The approach is an interface between data analysis and operations research.     

Enhanced interactive satisficing method via alternative tolerance for fuzzy goal programming with progressive preference

This paper proposes an enhanced interactive satisficing method via alternative tolerance for fuzzy goal programming with progressive preference. The alternative tolerances of the fuzzy objectives with three types of fuzzy relations are used to model progressive preference of decision maker. In order to improve the dissatisficing objectives, the relaxed satisficing objectives are sacrificed by modifying their tolerant limits. By means of attainable reference point, the auxiliary programming is designed to generate the tolerances of the dissatisficing objectives for ensuring feasibility. Correspondingly, the membership functions are updated or the objective constraints are added. The Max–Min goal programming model (or the revised one) and the test model of the M-Pareto optimality are solved lexicographically. By our method, the dissatisficing objectives are improved iteratively till the preferred result is acquired. Illustrative examples show its power.     

有限理性条件下考虑决策者动态期望的多属性决策方法

有限理性条件下针对带有决策者期望的多属性决策问题,提出一种基于累积前景理论的决策分析方法。在本文中,首先考虑了决策者的有限理性的心理行为特征,以决策者在不同时期对各属性的特定期望作为参照点,然后将具有正态分布信息形式的决策矩阵转化为相对于各参照点的益损决策矩阵,在此基础上,考虑决策者对待收益和损失的不同理性态度,依据累积前景理论计算各时期中每个方案的前景值,并计算关于整个时期的综合前景值,然后依据综合前景值的大小对所有方案进行排序。最后,通过一个算例说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

Priority based fuzzy goal programming technique to fractional fuzzy goals using dynamic programming

This paper describes the use of preemptive priority based fuzzy goal programming method to fuzzy multiobjective fractional decision making problems under the framework of multistage dynamic programming. In the proposed approach, the membership functions for the defined objective goals with fuzzy aspiration levels are determined first without linearizing the fractional objectives which may have linear or nonlinear forms. Then the problem is solved recursively for achievement of the highest membership value (unity) by using priority based goal programming methodology at each decision stages and thereby identifying the optimal decision in the present decision making arena. A numerical example is solved to represent potentiality of the proposed approach.     

The range of the efficient frontier in multiple objective linear programming

Because a rational decision maker should only select an efficient alternative in multiple criterion decision problems, the efficient frontier defined as the set of all efficient alternatives has become a central solution concept in multiple objective linear programming. Normally this set reduces the set of available alternatives of the underlying problem. There are several methods, mainly based on the simplex method, for computing the efficient frontier. This paper presents a quite different approach which uses a nonlinear parametric program, solved by Wolfe's algorithm, to determine the range of the efficient frontier.