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1.
众所周知,房地产业与银行业是高度相关的,如何确定银行业股票收益率对房地产业股票收益率的影响以及如何根据银行业股票收益率预测房地产业股票收益率的波动是非常重要的问题。本文首先使用Copula分位数回归建立了银行业股票收益率对房地产业股票收益率的回归模型,并且给出了Copula分位数回归基础上的CopuIa选择新标准,即分位数损失函数距离意义下的Copula函数选择准则,依据该准则我们选取Clayton Copula分位数回归模型刻画了低迷时期银行业股票收益率如何影响房地产业股票收益率,并据此对房地产业股票收益率的波动进行了预测  相似文献   

2.
层次分析法在选股决策中的应用   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
应用层次分析法建立了股票选择的数学模型,并选择了4只热门股票作为备选股票,从理论和实际两方面对模型的合理性进行了检验.  相似文献   

3.
股权分置改革试点G股的超常收益实证研究   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
本文采用事件研究法就股权分置试点改革过程中G股股票是否存在超常收益进行了实证分析。实证分析表明股改试点公司股票在试点公司完成股改后复牌当天确实存在着显著的正的超常收益,其中第一批试点公司G股股票的平均超常收益率高于第二批试点公司G股股票的平均超常收益率,深交所试点公司G股股票的平均超常收益率略高于上交所试点公司G股股票的平均超常收益率,中小企业板试点公司G股股票的平均超常收益率高于主板试点公司G股股票的平均超常收益率,高对价试点公司G股股票的平均超常收益率高于低对价试点公司G股股票的平均超常收益率。  相似文献   

4.
股票收盘价波动数学模型及其应用分析   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
本文以股票收盘价波动因素分析成熟的定性理论及证券操作经验为基础,建立股票收盘价的数学模型,并应用该模型对某种股票作了实证分析,阐述了该方法在实践中的意义。  相似文献   

5.
在实施ESO计划所需股票总数确定的前提下,根据每个受益人股票期权授予数量受多因素影响的特点,用群体决策方法进行了研究,确定了每个受益人所得股票期权的数量.  相似文献   

6.
股票分布模型的研究   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
根据股票的实际情况提出了一种股票价格分布的模型,给出了股票价格分布的一种确定方法.该模型能反映股票的整体性质,为今后从分布角度来研究股票的性质奠定了理论基础.  相似文献   

7.
寻找进入主升浪的股票对投资效益最大化意义重大.讨论并界定了股票最佳投资区域,借助于HWSME和模糊综合评判,建立了股票最佳投资区域起端的模糊综合评判方法,构建了评价指标体系和隶属函数.通过对中国股票市场部分股票进行了横向和纵向预测实验,结果证明了方法的有效性.对投资效益最大化提供了强有力的分析工具.  相似文献   

8.
《数理统计与管理》2014,(4):714-723
股票与债券、黄金间的动态关系研究对于投资组合的构建、金融市场监管和风险控制具有重要价值。本文在引入了相关性的资产组合功能定义后,利用DCC-MVGARCH模型,检验了2003-2010年期间我国股票与债券、黄金间的动态相关性。结果显示,股票和债券间的相关性具有动态时变特征,我国债券不但是股票的长期对冲保值资产也是2008年股市危机后期的避险资产;股票与黄金间的动态相关性较弱,更接近于显著的常正相关,这揭示出我国黄金仅为股票的长期多元化资产。总体而言,股票与债券、黄金间的相关系数相对较低,反映出市场分割特征依然明显。  相似文献   

9.
高雅  熊熊 《运筹与管理》2022,31(5):198-205
本文以融资买入和融券卖出为研究对象,分析了投资者主动发起的融资融券交易对股票回报、流动性和波动性的影响,给出了中国股票市场融资融券发展现状。研究发现,融资买入(融券卖出)对当日股票回报有显著为正(负)的影响,交易表现与政策制定动机——融资反映投资者看涨情绪、融券反映投资者看跌情绪一致。此外,融资买入(融券卖出)增加了(降低)股票流动性;融资买入(融券卖出)降低(增加)了股票波动性;融资融券对股票交易特征的影响有随时间逐渐改善的趋势。最后,本文发现融资融券对股票回报、流动性和波动性产生的影响与股票所在板块有关,随着中小板和创业板股票所占比重的增加,调整和优化融资融券对股票市场的影响仍然是监管者未来主要任务之一。  相似文献   

10.
博彩型股票具有“高风险”和“高投机性”的特点。本文以博彩型股票为研究对象,检验证券分析师是否会显著下调博彩型股票的推荐评级。在此基础上,探讨了投资者对博彩型股票推荐评级做出的反应及评级后的超额收益率情况。结果表明:分析师更可能下调博彩型股票的评级,但在投资者情绪高涨时,下调的可能性有所减小;投资者对分析师的博彩型股票评级存在反应过度的情况。本文结论对于认识证券分析师在资本市场中的作用具有重要的参考价值。  相似文献   

11.
How much information does a small number of moments carry about the unknown distribution function? Is it possible to explicitly obtain from these moments some useful information, e.g., about the support, the modality, the general shape, or the tails of a distribution, without going into a detailed numerical solution of the moment problem? In this, previous and subsequent papers, clear and easy to implement answers will be given to some questions of this type. First, the question of how to distinguish between the main-mass interval and the tail regions, in the case we know only a number of moments of the target distribution function, will be addressed. The answer to this question is based on a version of the Chebyshev–Stieltjes–Markov inequality, which provides us with upper and lower, moment-based, bounds for the target distribution. Then, exploiting existing asymptotic results in the main-mass region, an explicit, moment-based approximation of the target probability density function is provided. Although the latter cannot be considered, in general, as a satisfactory solution, it can always serve as an initial approximation in any iterative scheme for the numerical solution of the moment problem. Numerical results illustrating all the theoretical statements are also presented.  相似文献   

12.
彭忠益  王艳 《运筹与管理》2020,29(7):144-155
定量的评判城市老旧居住小区整体交通环境质量并进而科学有效的提出老旧小区交通环境更新与改善措施,对城市老旧居住小区交通环境进行了调查,明确了老旧居住小区存在的突出交通问题,并提出了城市老旧居住小区交通环境评价的指标体系,包括行人跨路出行指数、无人行道路段长度占比、停车泊位供需比、路内非法停车占比、平均停车步行距离、泊位数量户数比、人均步行空间、无障碍通道、盲道设置比例、非机动车泊位供需比、地面停放车辆数小区面积比、外部穿行交通周转量小区面积比等。并给出了具体指标的计算方法与获得办法。以长沙市四个典型老旧居住小区为例,对评价方法进行了论证,并得到城市老旧居住小区存在的一般问题,包括人车混杂、人车交织现象严重,停车泊位短缺、车辆乱停乱放,交通设施、特别是弱势群体交通设施缺乏。给出的评价指标、评价方法与结论可为城市老旧小区改造更新,特别是其中很重要的交通环境更新提供决策依据。  相似文献   

13.
We consider a productive asset, called equipment or capital good, and we examine the properties of, as well as the interactions between, the operating policies, which are determined by its optimal utilization and maintenance, and the capital policy of scrapping, which defines the optimal time when the productive asset is retired from its current use. Starting with an abstract model and using the approach of optimal control, initially we characterize the various types of equipment by assigning to them a single total profit index, which indicates how the above policies affect the flow of operating revenues plus capital gains or losses. This index is a function of market-determined prices. So using it we then investigate how the operating and capital policies are influenced by the rate of discount, the price of new equipment, and the rise or fall of the price of new equipment relative to the value of its output. Among other interesting results, we find that the effects of these prices on the nature and interactions of optimal policies depend crucially on whether the equipment is of the usual profit making type, where output is the main source of revenue, or of the antique type, where the main source of revenue is capital gains.  相似文献   

14.
Using the predicate language for ordered fields a class of problems referred to aslinear problems is defined. This class contains, for example, all systems of linear equations and inequalities, all linear programming problems, all integer programming problems with bounded variables, all linear complementarity problems, the testing of whether sets that are defined by linear inequalities are semilattices, all satisfiability problems in sentenial logic, the rank-computation of matrices, the computation of row-reduced echelon forms of matrices, and all quadratic programming problems with bounded variables. A single, one, algorithm, to which we refer as theUniversal Linear Machine, is described. It solves any instance of any linear problem. The Universal Linear Machine runs in two phases. Given a linear problem, in the first phase a Compiler running on a Turing Machine generates alinear algorithm for the problem. Then, given an instance of the linear problem, in the second phase the linear algorithm solves the particular instance of the linear problem. The linear algorithm is finite, deterministic, loopless and executes only the five ordered field operations — additions, multiplications, subtractions, divisions and comparisons. Conversely, we show that for each linear algorithm there is a linear problem which the linear algorithm solves uniquely. Finally, it is shown that with a linear algorithm for a linear problem, one can solve certain parametric instances of the linear problem.Research was supported in part by the National Science Foundation Grant DMS 92-07409, by the Department of Energy Grant DE-FG03-87-ER-25028, by the United States—Israel Binational Science Foundation Grant 90-00434 and by ONR Grant N00014-92-J1142.Corresponding author.  相似文献   

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为研究卷烟纸、成型纸、接装纸及嘴棒组合搭配对"中式卷烟"焦油量、烟气烟碱量、烟气水分、烟气一氧化碳量及过滤效率的影响,尝试采用L_(27)(3~(13))裂区正交设计方法对RR卷烟进行在线试验和取样.检测结果经过直观分析、方差分析及贡献率分析,结果表明:嘴棒长度、吸阻及接装纸透气度是影响试验指标的高度显著因素及重要因素.所以重点对嘴棒长度、吸阻及接装纸透气度进行调整和控制,可以很好地实现卷烟产品的质量控制,减少产品质量波动,降低产品成本.使用该方法可快捷、高效、经济、准确地寻找并确定卷烟材料多因素对卷烟主流烟气量及过滤效率的影响规律及卷烟产品的材料搭配优化方案.从而实现卷烟产品材料搭配精益化,满足烟草企业的实际需求.  相似文献   

18.
A generalization of both the hierarchical product and the Cartesian product of graphs is introduced and some of its properties are studied. We call it the generalized hierarchical product. In fact, the obtained graphs turn out to be subgraphs of the Cartesian product of the corresponding factors. Thus, some well-known properties of this product, such as a good connectivity, reduced mean distance, radius and diameter, simple routing algorithms and some optimal communication protocols, are inherited by the generalized hierarchical product. Besides some of these properties, in this paper we study the spectrum, the existence of Hamiltonian cycles, the chromatic number and index, and the connectivity of the generalized hierarchical product.  相似文献   

19.
将环境的波动性和度量噪音看作是影响绩效度量的两类不同的随机误差,在Linear-exponential-normal框架下,建立了以价值绩效度量和补偿绩效度量的线性组合为基础的收益激励模型,并分析了激励强度与绩效度量的一致性、敏感性和准确性之间的关系,以及环境波动性对上述关系的影响.研究发现,在确定性环境条件下,激励强度与绩效度量的"信号噪音比"成正比关系,但绩效度量的一致性的提高并不必然增加该度量指标在激励契约中的权重,而要视敏感性或噪音相对于一致性的变化幅度来定.特别地,在绩效度量的敏感性与一致性之间并不存在权衡取舍关系.研究还发现,波动性与激励强度之间存在负向关系,且波动性的存在降低了绩效度量的一致性和敏感性,但波动性对绩效度量的准确性的影响则呈非单调性变化.  相似文献   

20.
In this paper, we consider the effect of diffusion on the permanence and extinction of a non-autonomous nonlinear growth rate single-species dispersal model with time delays. Firstly, the sufficient conditions of the permanence and extinction of the species are established, which shows if the growth rate and dispersal coefficients is suitable, the species is permanent, on the contrary, it is extinction. Secondly, an interesting result is established, that is, if only the species in some patches even in one patch is permanent, then it is also permanent in other patches. Finally, some examples together with their numerical simulations show the feasibility of our main results.  相似文献   

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