Randomly weighted self-normalized Lévy processes

Let (_Ut,_Vt)$(U_t,V_t)$ be a bivariate Lévy process, where _Vt$V_t$ is a subordinator and _Ut$U_t$ is a Lévy process formed by randomly weighting each jump of _Vt$V_t$ by an independent random variable _Xt$X_t$ having cdf F$F$. We investigate the asymptotic distribution of the self-normalized Lévy process _Ut/_Vt$U_t/V_t$ at 0 and at ∞$\infty$. We show that all subsequential limits of this ratio at 0 (∞$\infty$) are continuous for any nondegenerate F$F$ with finite expectation if and only if _Vt$V_t$ belongs to the centered Feller class at 0 (∞$\infty$). We also characterize when _Ut/_Vt$U_t/V_t$ has a non-degenerate limit distribution at 0 and ∞$\infty$.     

Large deviations of infinite intersections of events in Gaussian processes

Consider events of the form {_Zs≥ζ(s),s∈S}$\{Z_s\ge \zeta \left(s\right),s\in S\}$, where Z$Z$ is a continuous Gaussian process with stationary increments, ζ$\zeta$ is a function that belongs to the reproducing kernel Hilbert space R$R$ of process Z$Z$, and S⊂R$S\subset \mathbb{R}$ is compact. The main problem considered in this paper is identifying the function β^∗∈R${\beta }^{\ast }\in R$ satisfying β^∗(s)≥ζ(s)${\beta }^{\ast }\left(s\right)\ge \zeta \left(s\right)$ on S$S$ and having minimal R$R$-norm. The smoothness (mean square differentiability) of Z$Z$ turns out to have a crucial impact on the structure of the solution. As examples, we obtain the explicit solutions when ζ(s)=s$\zeta \left(s\right)=s$ for s∈[0,1]$s\in [0,1]$ and Z$Z$ is either a fractional Brownian motion or an integrated Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process.     

Median,concentration and fluctuations for Lévy processes

We estimate a median of f(_Xt)$f\left(X_t\right)$ where f$f$ is a Lipschitz function, X$X$ is a Lévy process and t$t$ is an arbitrary time. This leads to concentration inequalities for f(_Xt)$f\left(X_t\right)$. In turn, corresponding fluctuation estimates are obtained under assumptions typically satisfied if the process has a regular behavior in small time and a, possibly different, regular behavior in large time.     

Asymptotic average shadowing property on compact metric spaces

We prove that if for a continuous map f$f$ on a compact metric space X$X$, the chain recurrent set, R(f)$R\left(f\right)$ has more than one chain component, then f$f$ does not satisfy the asymptotic average shadowing property. We also show that if a continuous map f$f$ on a compact metric space X$X$ has the asymptotic average shadowing property and if A$A$ is an attractor for f$f$, then A$A$ is the single attractor for f$f$ and we have A=R(f)$A=R\left(f\right)$. We also study diffeomorphisms with asymptotic average shadowing property and prove that if M$M$ is a compact manifold which is not finite with dimM=2$dimM=2$, then the C¹$C^1$ interior of the set of all C¹$C^1$ diffeomorphisms with the asymptotic average shadowing property is characterized by the set of Ω$\Omega$-stable diffeomorphisms.     

Invariance principles for generalized domains of semistable attraction

Let X,_X1,_X2,…$X,X_1,X_2,\dots$ be independent and identically distributed R^d${\mathbb{R}}^d$-valued random vectors and assume X$X$ belongs to the generalized domain of attraction of some operator semistable law without normal component. Then without changing its distribution, one can redefine the sequence on a new probability space such that the properly affine normalized partial sums converge in probability and consequently even in L^p$L^p$ (for some p>0$p>0$) to the corresponding operator semistable Lévy motion.     

Non-homogeneous random walks on a semi-infinite strip

We study the asymptotic behaviour of Markov chains (_Xn,_ηn)$(X_n,{\eta }_n)$ on _Z+×S${\mathbb{Z}}_{+}\times S$, where _Z+${\mathbb{Z}}_{+}$ is the non-negative integers and S$S$ is a finite set. Neither coordinate is assumed to be Markov. We assume a moments bound on the jumps of _Xn$X_n$, and that, roughly speaking, _ηn${\eta }_n$ is close to being Markov when _Xn$X_n$ is large. This departure from much of the literature, which assumes that _ηn${\eta }_n$ is itself a Markov chain, enables us to probe precisely the recurrence phase transitions by assuming asymptotically zero drift for _Xn$X_n$ given _ηn${\eta }_n$. We give a recurrence classification in terms of increment moment parameters for _Xn$X_n$ and the stationary distribution for the large- X$X$ limit of _ηn${\eta }_n$. In the null case we also provide a weak convergence result, which demonstrates a form of asymptotic independence between _Xn$X_n$ (rescaled) and _ηn${\eta }_n$. Our results can be seen as generalizations of Lamperti’s results for non-homogeneous random walks on _Z+${\mathbb{Z}}_{+}$ (the case where S$S$ is a singleton). Motivation arises from modulated queues or processes with hidden variables where _ηn${\eta }_n$ tracks an internal state of the system.     

Asymptotic distribution of the CLSE in a critical process with immigration

It is known that in the critical case the conditional least squares estimator (CLSE) of the offspring mean of a discrete time branching process with immigration is not asymptotically normal. If the offspring variance tends to zero, it is normal with normalization factor n^2/3$n^{2/3}$. We study a situation of its asymptotic normality in the case of non-degenerate offspring distribution for the process with time-dependent immigration, whose mean and variance vary regularly with non-negative exponents α$\alpha$ and β$\beta$, respectively. We prove that if β<1+2α$\beta <1+2\alpha$, the CLSE is asymptotically normal with two different normalization factors and if β>1+2α$\beta >1+2\alpha$, its limit distribution is not normal but can be expressed in terms of the distribution of certain functionals of the time-changed Wiener process. When β=1+2α$\beta =1+2\alpha$ the limit distribution depends on the behavior of the slowly varying parts of the mean and variance.     

The scaling limit of Poisson-driven order statistics with applications in geometric probability

Let _ηt${\eta }_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity t≥1$t\ge 1$ on some state space Y$\mathbb{Y}$ and let f$f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on Y^k${\mathbb{Y}}^k$ for some k≥1$k\ge 1$. Applying f$f$ to all k$k$-tuples of distinct points of _ηt${\eta }_t$ generates a point process _ξt${\xi }_t$ on the positive real half-axis. The scaling limit of _ξt${\xi }_t$ as t$t$ tends to infinity is shown to be a Poisson point process with explicitly known intensity measure. From this, a limit theorem for the m$m$-th smallest point of _ξt${\xi }_t$ is concluded. This is strengthened by providing a rate of convergence. The technical background includes Wiener–Itô chaos decompositions and the Malliavin calculus of variations on the Poisson space as well as the Chen–Stein method for Poisson approximation. The general result is accompanied by a number of examples from geometric probability and stochastic geometry, such as k$k$-flats, random polytopes, random geometric graphs and random simplices. They are obtained by combining the general limit theorem with tools from convex and integral geometry.     

A general expression for the distribution of the maximum of a Gaussian field and the approximation of the tail

We study the probability distribution F(u)$F\left(u\right)$ of the maximum of smooth Gaussian fields defined on compact subsets of R^d${\mathbb{R}}^d$ having some geometric regularity.     

On functional limits of short- and long-memory linear processes with GARCH(1,1) noises

This paper considers the short- and long-memory linear processes with GARCH (1,1) noises. The functional limit distributions of the partial sum and the sample autocovariances are derived when the tail index α$\alpha$ is in (0,2)$(0,2)$, equal to 2, and in (2,∞)$(2,\infty )$, respectively. The partial sum weakly converges to a functional of α$\alpha$-stable process when α<2$\alpha <2$ and converges to a functional of Brownian motion when α≥2$\alpha \ge 2$. When the process is of short-memory and α<4$\alpha <4$, the autocovariances converge to functionals of α/2$\alpha /2$-stable processes; and if α≥4$\alpha \ge 4$, they converge to functionals of Brownian motions. In contrast, when the process is of long-memory, depending on α$\alpha$ and β$\beta$ (the parameter that characterizes the long-memory), the autocovariances converge to either (i) functionals of α/2$\alpha /2$-stable processes; (ii) Rosenblatt processes (indexed by β$\beta$, 1/2<β<3/4$1/2<\beta <3/4$); or (iii) functionals of Brownian motions. The rates of convergence in these limits depend on both the tail index α$\alpha$ and whether or not the linear process is short- or long-memory. Our weak convergence is established on the space of càdlàg functions on [0,1]$[0,1]$ with either (i) the _J1$J_1$ or the _M1$M_1$ topology (Skorokhod, 1956); or (ii) the weaker form S$S$ topology (Jakubowski, 1997). Some statistical applications are also discussed.     

Simulation of the continuous time random walk of the space-fractional diffusion equations

In this article, we discuss the solution of the space-fractional diffusion equation with and without central linear drift in the Fourier domain and show the strong connection between it and the α$\alpha$-stable Lévy distribution, 0<α<2$0<\alpha <2$. We use some relevant transformations of the independent variables x$x$ and t$t$, to find the solution of the space-fractional diffusion equation with central linear drift which is a special form of the space-fractional Fokker–Planck equation which is useful in studying the dynamic behaviour of stochastic differential equations driven by the non-Gaussian (Lévy) noises. We simulate the continuous time random walk of these models by using the Monte Carlo method.     

Joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of random-coefficient AR(1) processes

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of N$N$ independent copies of AR(1) process with random-coefficient a∈[0,1)$a\in [0,1)$ when N$N$ and time scale n$n$ increase at different rate. Assuming that a$a$ has a density, regularly varying at a=1$a=1$ with exponent −1<β<1$-1<\beta <1$, different joint limits of normalized aggregated partial sums are shown to exist when N^1/(1+β)/n$N^{1/(1+\beta )}/n$ tends to (i) ∞$\infty$, (ii) 0$0$, (iii) 0<μ<∞$0<\mu <\infty$. The limit process arising under (iii) admits a Poisson integral representation on (0,∞)×C(R)$(0,\infty )\times C\left(\mathbb{R}\right)$ and enjoys ‘intermediate’ properties between fractional Brownian motion limit in (i) and sub-Gaussian limit in (ii).     

Comparison inequalities on Wiener space

We define a covariance-type operator on Wiener space: for F$F$ and G$G$ two random variables in the Gross–Sobolev space D^1,2${\mathbb{D}}^{1,2}$ of random variables with a square-integrable Malliavin derivative, we let _ΓF,G?〈DF,−DL⁻¹G〉${\Gamma }_{F,G}?〈{DF,-DL}^{-1}G〉$, where D$D$ is the Malliavin derivative operator and L⁻¹$L^{-1}$ is the pseudo-inverse of the generator of the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck semigroup. We use Γ$\Gamma$ to extend the notion of covariance and canonical metric for vectors and random fields on Wiener space, and prove corresponding non-Gaussian comparison inequalities on Wiener space, which extend the Sudakov–Fernique result on comparison of expected suprema of Gaussian fields, and the Slepian inequality for functionals of Gaussian vectors. These results are proved using a so-called smart-path method on Wiener space, and are illustrated via various examples. We also illustrate the use of the same method by proving a Sherrington–Kirkpatrick universality result for spin systems in correlated and non-stationary non-Gaussian random media.     

Moderate deviations for a random walk in random scenery

We investigate the cumulative scenery process associated with random walks in independent, identically distributed random sceneries under the assumption that the scenery variables satisfy Cramér’s condition. We prove moderate deviation principles in dimensions d≥2$d\ge 2$, covering all those regimes where rate and speed do not depend on the actual distribution of the scenery. For the case d≥4$d\ge 4$ we even obtain precise asymptotics for the probability of a moderate deviation, extending a classical central limit theorem of Kesten and Spitzer. For d≥3$d\ge 3$, an important ingredient in the proofs are new concentration inequalities for self-intersection local times of random walks, which are of independent interest, whilst for d=2$d=2$ we use a recent moderate deviation result for self-intersection local times, which is due to Bass, Chen and Rosen.