基于可信性理论的运输机会约束模型

基于可信性理论,将提出一类带有模糊参数的运输计划机会约束模型.然后,讨论可信性函数的逼近方法并且设计一个基于逼近方法、神经网络和遗传算法的启发式算法来求解这个模糊运输计划机会约束模型.最后,给出一个数值例子来表明所设计算法的实用性和有效性.     

带有模糊参数的农业生产计划模型

在现实的生产系统中, 由于材料价格, 产品价格, 市场需求以及劳动者能力等不确定因素的影响, 生产计划问题常常是一个不确定规划问题. 因此, 带有常系数的生产计划模型不能准确有效的描述生产决策环境. 基于可信性理论, 本文将提出一类新的带有模糊参数的生产计划模型. 然后, 我们讨论了可信性函数的逼近并且设计一个基于逼近方法、神经网络和遗传算法的启发式算法来求解这个模糊生产计划问题. 最后, 给出了一个数值例子来表明所设计算法的可行性和有效性.     

带有最小风险准则的两阶段模糊产销计划模型

基于两阶段模糊优化方法建立一类带有最小风险准则的模糊产销计划模型,并设计含有逼近方法和粒子群优化算法的混合算法对提出的模型进行求解。然后,给出一个实例表明模型和算法的有效性。     

两阶段模糊生产计划期望值模型

在现实的生产系统中,生产计划问题常常是-个确定的线性规划问题.但是,在许多的实际情况中,由于生产系统中不确定性因素的影响,带有常系数的线性规划模型不能合理地描述现实的决策环境.为了准确有效地描述生产决策环境,本文提出一类新的带有模糊参数的两阶段生产计划期望值模型并且讨论模型的一些基本性质.然后,讨论补偿函数的逼近并且设计-个基了:逼近方法、神经网络和遗传算法的启发式算法来求解这个两阶段模糊生产计划模型.最后,给出一个数值例子来表明所设计算法的可行性和有效性.     

基于可信性理论的生产计划期望值模型

基于可信性理论,提出一类新的模糊生产计划期望值模型.然后,讨论这个模糊生产计划模型的基本性质.最后,利用这个模糊模型的基本性质我们可以把模糊生产计划期望值模型转化为一个线性规划模型并且设计相应的算法求解模糊生产计划问题的一个数值例子.     

两阶段模糊运输期望值模型及其逼近方法

基于可信性理论和两阶段模糊优化方法,提出一类带有模糊参数的两阶段运输期望值模型.由于提出运输问题包含带有无限支撑的模糊变量系数,因此它是一个无限堆的优化问题.然后,讨论两阶段模糊运输期望值问题的逼近方法并且将逼近方法嵌套到遗传算法中产生一个基于遗传算法的逼近方法求解提出的两阶段模糊运输期望值问题.最后,给出一个数值例子...     

可信空间上最小风险原则下的两阶段供应链模型

主要讨论可信空间上最小风险原则下的两阶段供应链问题,即考虑在资本投入不超过给定费用值的情况下如何将投资者的风险降到最低。视供应链中的运输费用及顾客需求量为可信空间上的模糊变量,然后建立最小风险原则下的两阶段模糊供应链模型,并设计一种基于逼近方法的粒子群算法,最后通过数值试验验证算法的有效性。     

模糊批量生产计划问题的可信性规划模型与算法

描述模糊单位利润、模糊生产能力以及模糊需求下的批量生产计划,并应用可信性规划建立了模型.当模糊变量是梯形模糊数时,我们将模糊模型转化为确定意义下的模型.为了求解优化模型,我们设计了基于模糊模拟的遗传算法.最后,通过一个数值例子说明算法的有效性.     

可信性均值-绝对偏差投资组合优化

为了度量金融市场的不确定性,本文引入了模糊变量。假设资产收益率为模糊数,分别运用可信性均值和可信性绝对偏差度量投资组合的收益与风险。考虑到投资者偏好,分别提出了以收益最大化的均值-绝对偏差优化模型和以风险最小化的优化模型。基于可信性理论,将上述模型转化为线性规划问题,并运用旋转算法求解。通过实证研究,证明了该算法的有效性,并比较了两个模型在实际投资决策过程中的效率。结果表明,以收益最大化的均值-绝对偏差优化模型效率优于风险最小的优化模型。     

带有模糊参数的运输期望值模型

基于可信性理论,将提出一类带有模糊参数的运输期望值模型.然后,讨论模糊运输期望值模型的基本性质.最后,给出一个数值例子来表明所设计模型的实用性.     

An approximation-based approach for fuzzy multi-period production planning problem with credibility objective

This paper develops a fuzzy multi-period production planning and sourcing problem with credibility objective, in which a manufacturer has a number of plants or subcontractors. According to the credibility service levels set by customers in advance, the manufacturer has to satisfy different product demands. In the proposed production problem, production cost, inventory cost and product demands are uncertain and characterized by fuzzy variables. The problem is to determine when and how many products are manufactured so as to maximize the credibility of the fuzzy costs not exceeding a given allowable invested capital, and this credibility can be regarded as the investment risk criteria in fuzzy decision systems. In the case when the fuzzy parameters are mutually independent gamma distributions, we can turn the service level constraints into their equivalent deterministic forms. However, in this situation the exact analytical expression for the credibility objective is unavailable, thus conventional optimization algorithms cannot be used to solve our production planning problems. To overcome this obstacle, we adopt an approximation scheme to compute the credibility objective, and deal with the convergence about the computational method. Furthermore, we develop two heuristic solution methods. The first is a combination of the approximation method and a particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm, and the second is a hybrid algorithm by integrating the approximation method, a neural network (NN), and the PSO algorithm. Finally, we consider one 6-product source, 6-period production planning problem, and compare the effectiveness of two algorithms via numerical experiments.     

Two-stage fuzzy production planning expected value model and its approximation method

This work develops a novel two-stage fuzzy optimization method for solving the multi-product multi-period (MPMP) production planning problem, in which the market demands and some of the inventory costs are assumed to be uncertainty and characterized by fuzzy variables with known possibility distributions. Some basic properties about the MPMP production planning problem are discussed. Since the fuzzy market demands and inventory costs usually have infinite supports, the proposed two-stage fuzzy MPMP production planning problem is an infinite-dimensional optimization problem that cannot be solved directly by conventional numerical solution methods. To overcome this difficulty, this paper adopts an approximation method (AM) to turn the original two-stage fuzzy MPMP production planning problem into a finite-dimensional optimization problem. The convergence about the AM is discussed to ensure the solution quality. After that, we design a heuristic algorithm, which combines the AM and simulated annealing (SA) algorithm, to solve the proposed two-stage fuzzy MPMP production planning problem. Finally, one real case study about a furniture manufacturing company is presented to illustrate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed modeling idea and designed algorithm.     

Modeling fuzzy multi-period production planning and sourcing problem with credibility service levels

A great deal of research has been done on production planning and sourcing problems, most of which concern deterministic or stochastic demand and cost situations and single period systems. In this paper, we consider a new class of multi-period production planning and sourcing problem with credibility service levels, in which a manufacturer has a number of plants and subcontractors and has to meet the product demand according to the credibility service levels set by its customers. In the proposed problem, demands and costs are uncertain and assumed to be fuzzy variables with known possibility distributions. The objective of the problem is to minimize the total expected cost, including the expected value of the sum of the inventory holding and production cost in the planning horizon. Because the proposed problem is too complex to apply conventional optimization algorithms, we suggest an approximation approach (AA) to evaluate the objective function. After that, two algorithms are designed to solve the proposed production planning problem. The first is a PSO algorithm combining the AA, and the second is a hybrid PSO algorithm integrating the AA, neural network (NN) and PSO. Finally, one numerical example is provided to compare the effectiveness of the proposed two algorithms.     

基于可信性理论的均值-熵-偏度投资组合模型及其算法求解

本文考虑到证券市场的投资者往往面临着随机和模糊两种不确定性的情形,在模糊随机环境下把证券的收益率视作三角模糊变量,在可信性理论基础上建立了带融资约束条件的均值-熵-偏度三目标投资组合决策模型,拓展了基于可信性理论的投资组合决策模型的研究内容,同时通过对约束条件处理方法,外部档案维护方法等关键算子的改良,提出了一种新的约束多目标粒子群算法。本文运用该算法对模型进行求解,把得到的最优解与传统的多目标粒子群算法得到的最优解进行对比,结果表明新算法得到的最优解的质量会显著地优于传统的多目标粒子群算法的最优解,从而验证了算法的有效性和准确性。该算法可以在三维空间中得到一个分布性和逼近性较好的Pareto最优曲面,满足投资者对不同目标的差异需求,为投资者提供合理的投资组合决策方案。     

Short-term liner ship fleet planning with container transshipment and uncertain container shipment demand

This paper proposes a short-term liner ship fleet planning problem by taking into account container transshipment and uncertain container shipment demand. Given a liner shipping service network comprising a number of ship routes, the problem is to determine the numbers and types of ships required in the fleet and assign each of these ships to a particular ship route to maximize the expected value of the total profit over a short-term planning horizon. These decisions have to be made prior to knowing the exact container shipment demand, which is affected by some unpredictable and uncontrollable factors. This paper thus formulates this realistic short-term planning problem as a two-stage stochastic integer programming model. A solution algorithm, integrating the sample average approximation with a dual decomposition and Lagrangian relaxation approach, is then proposed. Finally, a numerical example is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed model and solution algorithm.