一类具有时滞的流行病模型分析

讨论了一类带有时滞的SE IS流行病模型,并讨论了阈值、平衡点和稳定性.模型是一个具有确定潜伏期的时滞微分方程模型,在这里我们得到了各类平衡点存在条件的阈值R0;当R0<1时,只有无病平衡点P0,且是全局渐近稳定的;当R0>1时,除无病平衡点外还存在唯一的地方病平衡点Pe,且该平衡点是绝对稳定的.     

具有饱和治疗的离散SEIS结核病模型的动力学性态

研究了一类具有饱和治疗的离散SEIS传染病模型的动力学性态.利用再生矩阵的方法定义了模型的基本再生数,直接计算得到了无病平衡点和地方病平衡点的存在性;利用线性化矩阵和Jury判据讨论了平衡点的稳定性;并讨论了模型可能发生的后向分支现象,也通过数值模拟展示了模型的动力学性态.     

森林病虫害模型的数值模拟

讨论森林病虫害的离散模型.根据森林病虫害传播的特征,针对各分块区域之间已感病树不互相转移的情况,建立差分方程模型;讨论系统的平衡点,并对无病平衡点和地方病平衡点进行稳定性分析,得到地方病平衡点稳定的充分条件;用Matlab进行多种情况的数值模拟,验证了理论结果.     

染病者有常数输入的传染病模型

讨论在隔离措施下易感者和染病者都有常数移民的传染病模型.给出了模型的地方病平衡点,证明了地方病平衡点的稳定性.     

具有时滞和阶段结构的生态-流行病模型的稳定性及其Hopf分支

本文研究一个食饵具有阶段结构和捕食者染病的捕食者-食饵模型的稳定性,并讨论了由疾病的潜伏期引起的时滞对种群动力学性态的影响.通过分析特征方程,运用Hurwitz判定定理,讨论了该模型的平凡平衡点、捕食者灭绝平衡点、无病平衡点及地方病平衡点的局部稳定性,并得到了地方病平衡点附近Hopf分支存在的充分条件;通过构造适当的Lyapunov泛函,运用La Sall不变集原理,得到了这些平衡点全局稳定的充分条件.     

具有垂直传染的年龄结构SEIR流行病模型的稳定性

本文讨论了一类具有垂直传染的年龄结构SEIR 流行病模型,运用有界线性算子半群理论证明了模型本身非负解的存在唯一性.运用微分方程及积分方程中的理论和方法, 研究了该模型平衡点的稳定性,得到了无病平衡点与地方病平衡点的稳定性条件.     

一类有迁移的SIS流行病模型

研究一类种群有迁移的流行病模型,得到了这类模型的基本再生数R0,证明了R0＜1无病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的,而当R0＞1时无病平衡点是不稳定的.进一步讨论了疾病持续存在与无病平衡点和地方病平衡点全局稳定的条件.     

具有营养循环和时滞的浮游生物系统的稳定性及Hopf分支

建立并研究了具有营养循环和时滞的浮游动植物模型,模型中描述浮游动植物间的相互作用函数是Holling-Ⅲ型功能反应函数.首先讨论了模型解的正性及有界性,然后分析了系统在无时滞和有时滞两种情况下边界平衡点和正平衡点的局部稳定性,并通过建立适当的Lyapunov函数,讨论了平衡点的全局稳定性.研究表明,随着时滞的增加,系统会出现Hopf分支.     

一类两菌株传染病模型的稳定性分析

建立和讨论一类具有比例接种疫苗丧失率的两菌株SIJVS传染病模型,给出了该模型基本再生数和侵入再生数的表达式,分析了无病平衡点、菌株占优平衡点、共存平衡点的存在性和稳定性.     

一类具有Allee效应的捕食系统的稳定性分析及模拟

建立了食饵具有Allee效应的捕食模型,讨论了系统的有界性和平衡点的存在性.并证明了平衡点的局部渐近稳定性,进而通过构造Lyapunov函数分析了正平衡点的全局渐近稳定性,利用数值模拟讨论了Allee效应对系统的影响:Allee效应是系统的不稳定因素.     

Über werteannahme bei einer klasse von optlmalpromemen

If the minimal value of the objective function is not attained for certain optimization problems of the approximation type then the corresponding dual problem is not stable. This fact is based on the instability of the perturbated not correct stated problems with initial and boundary value conditions. The attainment of the minimal value is characterized by a condition which follows from the theory of stability of optimization problems.     

Contextualism on a pragmatic,not a skeptical,footing

Contextualism is supposed to explain why the following argument for skepticism seems plausible: (1) I don’t know that I am not a bodiless brain-in-a-vat (BIV); (2) If I know I have hands, then I know I am not a bodiless BIV; (3) Therefore, I do not know I have hands. Keith DeRose claims that (1) and (2) are “initially plausible.” I claim that (1) is initially plausible only because of an implicit argument that stands behind it; it is not intuitively plausible. The argument DeRose offers is based on the requirement of sensitivity, that is, on the idea that if you know something then you would not believe it if it were false. I criticize the sensitivity requirement thereby undercutting its support for (1) and the skeptical data that contextualism is meant to explain. While skepticism is not a plausible ground for contextualism, I argue that certain pragmatic considerations are. It’s plausible to think that to know something more evidence is required when more is at stake. The best way to handle skepticism is to criticize the arguments for it. We should not adopt contextualism as a means of accommodating skepticism even if there are other pragmatic reasons for being a contextualist about knowledge.     

通货膨胀率与股票收益率关系——基于门槛回归模型的再检验

自费雪效应(假说)提出以来,通货膨胀率与股票收益率之间的关系引发了大量的争论,但二者之间的关系并无定论。本文利用门槛回归模型对通货膨胀率和股票收益率之间的关系进行的再检验,我们的研究发现:总体上,通货膨胀率和股票收益率表现为负相关,并且具有显著的门槛效应,当通货膨胀率较低或处于通货紧缩时,股票收益率和通货膨胀率之间存在不显著的负相关关系,而当通货膨胀率较高时,则表现为显著的负相关关系,呈现出明显的非对称性的特征,股票并不是抵御通货膨胀风险理想的保值品。此外,我们还对黄金类股票和黄金现货也进行了检验,研究表明,黄金现货与通货膨胀关系不显著,而黄金股收益率与沪深股市指数类似,与通货膨胀率具有显著的负相关关系,均非理想的抵御通胀保值品。     

A summability for Meyer wavelets

The Gibbs’ phenomenon in the classical Fourier series is well-known. It is closely related with the kernel of the partial sum of the series. In fact, the Dirichlet kernel of the Fourier series is not positive. The poisson kernel of Cesaro summability is positive. As the consequence of the positiveness, the partial sum of Cesaro summability does not exhibit the Gibbs’ phenomenon. Most kernels associated with wavelet expansions are not positive. So wavelet series is not free from the Gibbs’ phenomenon. Because of the excessive oscillation of wavelets, we can not follow the techniques of the Fourier series to get rid of the unwanted quirk. Here we make a positive kernel for Meyer wavelets and as the result the associated summability method does not exhibit Gibbs’ phenomenon for the corresponding series.     

关于过程能力指数公式的几点辨析

文献[1-2]认为当过程能力指数为零时,合格率却不为零的情形不符合常理。因而对过程能力指数C_p及C_(pk)公式提出质疑。本文从多个角度辨析这种质疑是不成立的.     

Epistemic management in mathematics classroom interactions: Student claims of not knowing or not understanding

An important role of classroom interaction is the processes involved in knowing or coming to know. Following a conversation analytical approach, this study investigates how students’ claims of not knowing, not remembering or not understanding are handled by mathematics teachers in whole class interactions. The study draws on video recordings of 42 mathematics lessons from 8 secondary schools in England. It is argued that claims of not knowing and claims of not remembering perform different social actions and are consequently treated differently by teachers. Claims of not knowing can challenge the assumption that knowledge can be taken-as-shared in a way that claims of not remembering do not. This contributes to the research field of mathematics classroom interaction as it nuances the epistemic management within these interactions and how this can contribute to the norms around the negotiation of meaning.     

Non-divisible cycles on surfaces over local fields

In this paper, we are concerned with the reciprocity map of unramified class field theory for smooth projective surfaces over non-archimedean local fields which do not have potentially good reduction. We will construct two types of smooth projective surfaces whose reciprocity maps modulo positive integers are not injective. The first type is the case where the kernel of the reciprocity map is not divisible. The second is the case where the kernel of the reciprocity map is divisible, but where nevertheless the reciprocity map modulo some integer is not injective.     

INACCESSIBLE CONTINUOUSLY STABLE STRATEGIES

ABSTRACT. The evolutionary stability concepts continuously stable strategies (CSS) and evolutionarily stable neighborhood invader strategies (ESNIS) share two properties in common. First, they are both evolutionarily stable strategies (ESS). Secondly, given any strategy in the close neighborhood of the CSS or ESNIS, there are some strategies that are closer to the CSS or ESNIS that can invade it. An ESNIS is a CSS but the converse is not true in general. We examine evolutionary adaptive dynamics in the neighborhood of a CSS that is not an ESNIS. We show that if an evolutionary game possesses a CSS which is not an ESNIS, the succession of strategies mediated by natural selection become arbitrarily close to the CSS but the precise value of the CSS cannot be attained unless the CSS is the first strategy to invade into the environment and is henceforth never perturbed. Thus if evolution does not start with the CSS that is not an ESNIS, we will have a phenomenon of bounded evolutionary succession that does not come to an end. The analysis is applied to a class of monomorphic population evolutionary game models in which species ecological interaction is modeled by the Lotka‐Volterra equations.     

On balking from an empty queue

The intuition while observing the economy of queueing systems, is that one’s motivation to join the system, decreases with its level of congestion. Here we present a queueing model where sometimes the opposite is the case. The point of departure is the standard first-come first-served single server queue with Poisson arrivals. Customers commence service immediately if upon their arrival the server is idle. Otherwise, they are informed if the queue is empty or not. Then, they have to decide whether to join or not. We assume that the customers are homogeneous and when they consider whether to join or not, they assess their queueing costs against their reward due to service completion. As the whereabouts of customers interact, we look for the (possibly mixed) join/do not join Nash equilibrium strategy, a strategy that if adopted by all, then under the resulting steady-state conditions, no one has any incentive not to follow it oneself. We show that when the queue is empty then depending on the service distribution, both ‘avoid the crowd’ (ATC) and ‘follow the crowd’ (FTC) scenarios (as well as none-of-the-above) are possible. When the queue is not empty, the situation is always that of ATC. Also, we show that under Nash equilibrium it is possible (depending on the service distribution) that the joining probability when the queue is empty is smaller than it is when the queue is not empty. This research was supported by The Israel Science Foundation Grant No. 237/02.     

数学归纳法与匹亚诺公理

数学归纳法推理是典型的三段论，而不是完全归纳法，其基础是自然数列的性质，而不是逻辑公理，皮亚诺公理中的归纳法公理并不是一种证明方法，而是自然数集的一条不可缺少的根据性质。