基于时滞效应的随机微分投资与比例再保险博弈

金融市场不断发展,激烈的市场竞争使得相对绩效比较在保险机构的业绩评估中占据越来越重要的地位。考虑历史业绩对公司决策的影响,引入时滞效应,研究时滞效应对具有竞争关系公司之间最优投资策略和最优再保险策略的影响。运用随机最优控制和微分博弈理论,针对Cramér-Lundberg模型,得到了均衡投资和再保险策略,给出了值函数的显式解;然后进一步针对近似扩散过程,求得指数效用下均衡投资策略和比例再保险策略的显式表达。通过数值算例,分析了最优均衡策略随模型各重要参数的动态变化。结论显示：保险公司在决策时是否将时滞信息纳入考虑之中将大大影响其投资和再保险行为。保险公司考虑较早时间财富值越多,其投资再保险行为就表现得越趋向于保守和谨慎;与之相反,如果保险公司对行业间的竞争越看重,其投资再保险策略就越倾向于冒险和激进。     

Zero-Sum Stochastic Games with Partial Information

We study a zero-sum stochastic game on a Borel state space where the state of the game is not known to the players. Both players take their decisions based on an observation process. We transform this into an equivalent problem with complete information. Then, we establish the existence of a value and optimal strategies for both players.     

Stochastic Differential Games with Asymmetric Information

We investigate a two-player zero-sum stochastic differential game in which the players have an asymmetric information on the random payoff. We prove that the game has a value and characterize this value in terms of dual viscosity solutions of some second order Hamilton-Jacobi equation.     

Stochastic Games with Average Payoff Criterion

We study two-person stochastic games on a Polish state and compact action spaces and with average payoff criterion under a certain ergodicity condition. For the zero-sum game we establish the existence of a value and stationary optimal strategies for both players. For the nonzero-sum case the existence of Nash equilibrium in stationary strategies is established under certain separability conditions. Accepted 9 January 1997     

Hierarchical Stochastic Production Planning with Delay Interaction

This paper explores the problem of hierarchical stochastic production planning (HSPP) for flexible automated workshops (FAWs), each consisting of a number of flexible manufacturing systems (FMSs). The objective is to devise a production plan which tells each FMS how many parts to produce and when to produce them so as to simultaneously minimize the amount of work in progress, maximize the machine utilization, and satisfy demands for finished products over a finite horizon of N time periods. Here, the problem formulation includes not only uncertainty in demand, capacities, and material supply (which is standard in the literature), but also uncertainties in processing times, rework, and waste products. It considers also multiple products and multiple time periods. This is in contrast to most work which looks at either a single periods or at an infinite horizon. The delay interaction aspect arises from taking into account the transportation of parts between FMSs. Apparently, any job which requires processing on more than one FMS cannot be transported directly from one FMS to the next. Instead, a semifinished product completed in one period must be put into shop storage until some future time period at which it can be transported to the next FMS for further processing. Herein, a stochastic interaction/prediction algorithm is developed by using standard calculus of variations techniques. By means of the software package developed, many HSPP examples have been studied, showing that the algorithm is very effective.     

一类具有变时滞的随机logistic种群系统

主要是讨论了一类具有变时滞的随机logi8tic种群系统.首先探讨了系统全局正解的存在性;然后获得了系统弱持久性和灭绝性的充分条件,获得了种群系统弱持续生存与灭绝之间的临界值.     

Infinite-Horizon Stochastic Differential Games with Branching Payoffs

In this paper, we consider infinite-horizon stochastic differential games with an autonomous structure and steady branching payoffs. While the introduction of additional stochastic elements via branching payoffs offers a fruitful alternative to modeling game situations under uncertainty, the solution to such a problem is not known. A theorem on the characterization of a Nash equilibrium solution for this kind of games is presented. An application in renewable resource extraction is provided to illustrate the solution mechanism.     

Zero-Sum Stochastic Games with Partial Information and Average Payoff

We consider a discrete time partially observable zero-sum stochastic game with average payoff criterion. We study the game using an equivalent completely observable game. We show that the game has a value and also we present a pair of optimal strategies for both the players.     

Neutral Stochastic Differential Delay Equations with Markovian Switching

Abstract

Neutral stochastic differential delay equations (NSDDEs) have recently been studied intensively (see Kolmanovskii, V.B. and Nosov, V.R., Stability and Periodic Modes of Control Systems with Aftereffect; Nauka: Moscow, 1981 and Mao X., Stochastic Differential Equations and Their Applications; Horwood Pub.: Chichester, 1997). Given that many systems are often subject to component failures or repairs, changing subsystem interconnections and abrupt environmental disturbances etc., the structure and parameters of underlying NSDDEs may change abruptly. One way to model such abrupt changes is to use the continuous‐time Markov chains. As a result, the underlying NSDDEs become NSDDEs with Markovian switching which are hybrid systems. So far little is known about the NSDDEs with Markovian switching and the aim of this paper is to close this gap. In this paper we will not only establish a fundamental theory for such systems but also discuss some important properties of the solutions e.g. boundedness and stability.