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西安地裂缝的形成及活动主要受构造活动及人类活动因素影响, 而近来地裂缝的超常活动主要与过量抽取地下水引起的地面不均匀沉降有关。根据对抽水及地面荷载引起地层压密固结过程的分析、地下水位变化趋势的分析以及应用 Ver-hulst模型计算、预测结果, 西安地裂缝的强烈活动将有减缓或逐渐稳定的趋势。有关地裂缝活动的最新实际监测数据已显示出一些相应的征兆。  相似文献   

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回采工作面周期来压步距的灰色预测   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用灰色系统理论, 将回采工作面周期来压视为灾变, 仿线性GM(1, 1)预测模型建模机理, 本文建立了包括线性模型在内的统一非线性GM(1, 1)预报模型。利用非线性模型特例Verhulst模型和线性模型分别对两个不同矿山条件老顶周期来压步距进行预测, 结果表明, 不同的地质条件将适合不同的预测模型, 不能简单一概用线性模型进行预测。对于地质条件发生灾变的情形可建立激励预测模型对周期来压步距进行预测。  相似文献   

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In this paper we consider a nonlinear discrete-time control system with regular and chaotic dynamics forced by stochastic disturbances. The problem addressed is the design of the feedback regulator which stabilizes a limit cycle of the closed-loop deterministic system and synthesizes a required dispersion of random states for the corresponding stochastic system. To solve this problem, we propose a new method based on the stochastic sensitivity function technique. This function approximates a dispersion of random states distributed around deterministic cycle. Explicit formulas for the intercoupling between stochastic sensitivity function and considered system parameters are worked out. The problem of the design of the required stochastic sensitivity function for cycles by feedback regulators is solved. Coefficients of the feedback regulator are constructed and corresponding attainability sets are described. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated on the stochastic Verhulst model. It is shown that constructed regulators provide a low level of sensitivity and suppress chaotic oscillations.  相似文献   

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在对最优加权组合理论和高斯-牛顿法优化非线性模型参数的方法研究的基础上,依托于洒勒山滑坡的实际变形监测资料,建立了该滑坡变形预测的3个非线性预测模型:指数模型、Verhulst模型和灰色GM(1,1)模型;利用最优加权组合理论建立了洒勒山滑坡的最优加权组合预测模型,并运用高斯-牛顿法对各单一模型和组合模型的参数进行了优化。通过对比分析得出:组合模型的预测精度高于任何单一模型的预测精度;参数优化后各单一模型的预测精度都有不同程度的提高;参数优化后的组合模型预测精度是最高的。因此,综合运用最优组合理论和高斯-牛顿法处理滑坡预测预报模型,是提高滑坡预测预报精度的行之有效的方法。  相似文献   

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韩文娟  刘海 《力学与实践》2010,32(4):109-111
对《力学》中的物体自由度进行多方面分析,以深化教学、提高学生正 确分析物理问题的能力.使用实际教学分析的研究方法,在《力学》范围内讨论自由度与坐标、 自由与约束的关系并得以下结论: (1) 同一物体的自由度随其所在的``空间'不同而不同, 不因坐标系的选取不同而 异, 在同类参考系中不因参考系的动静而有别;(2)自由度遵循叠加原理. 讨论了质点系的总自由度及相关计算问题,并指出研究《力学》中自由度的意义.  相似文献   

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The present paper deals with development and design of new methods utilizing Wiedemann's effect for determination of state of strain in building structures. Wiedemann's effect and some features of torsional strain of magnetic field are the basis of new experimental method. Especially the point electromagnetic strain gages using the effect of pure torsion of electromagnetic field to enable universal examination. For strain-gage measurements, almost all physical quantities are used which can be related to the variation in length of the structures. From the electric strain measurements, the most commonly used methods are the measurements by resonance-wire strain gages or by electric-resistance strain gages. In this paper, electromagnetic strain gages are discussed using the Wiedemann effect, and the author describes some new measuring equipment and his own suggestions and methods based on an application of this effect.  相似文献   

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It is well known that the problem on nonseparating potential flow of an incompressible fluid about an array of profiles reduces to an integral equation for a certain real function, determined on the contours of the profiles of the array. As such a function one can take, as was done, for instance, in [1–5], the relative velocity of the fluid on the profiles of the array. For arrays of profiles of arbitrary shape it is necessary to solve the corresponding integral equation numerically. In the particular examples of the calculation of aerodynamic arrays that are available [1–3] the numerical methods used were based on the approximate evaluation of contour integrals by rectangle formulas. As investigations showed, sizeable errors arose thereby in the approximate solution obtained, these being especially significant in the case of curved profiles of relatively small bulk. In the present paper a method for the numerical solution of the integral equation obtained in [5] is proposed. The method is based on the replacement of a profile of the array with an inscribed N polygon, the length of whose sides is of the order N–1 and whose internal angles are close to . Convergence with increasing N of the numerical solution to an exact solution of the integral equations at the reference points is demonstrated. Examples of the calculation are given.Novosibirsk. Translated from Izvestiya Akademii Nauk SSSR. Mekhanika Zhidkosti i Gaza, No. 2, pp. 105–112, March–April, 1972.  相似文献   

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A flow of viscous compressible fluid in the neighborhood of the line of interaction of wall flows is considered. A method of calculating the line of interaction and the direction of the self-induced secondary flow is developed. Papers [1–3] are devoted to the simulation of a separation flow with singularities in the neighborhood of singular lines and points, where boundary-layer equations are invalid. However, the theories of local separation used at present have mainly been developed only for two-dimensional problems, while the models of viscous-inviscid interaction have restrictions in application for turbulent flows with developed separation. The interaction of three-dimensional wall turbulent flows is considered below. It is assumed that the thickness of the boundary layers and the scales of the interaction zones are small in comparison with the characteristic dimension of the system, while the line of discontinuity of the solutions of the three-dimensional boundary layer equations is the same as the line of interaction of the wall flows.Translated from Izvestiya Akademii Nauk SSSR, Mekhanika Zhidkosti i Gaza, No. 2, pp. 53–59, March–April, 1987.The author is grateful to G. Yu. Stepanov and V. N. Ershov for their interest in my work and their valuable remarks.  相似文献   

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