军事设施建设项目管理综合集成研究

工程建设项目是军事设施建设的重要组分, 对我军建设发展具有深远影响。本文以我军军事设施建设项目管理集成为研究对象, 综合考虑项目成本、进度、质量和安全等参与要素的动态影响关系, 对项目生命周期全过程, 即规划统筹阶段、计划统控阶段、勘察设计阶段、施工建设阶段和跟踪管理阶段进行综合集成管理, 并提出当前可应用于军事设施建设项目综合集成管理的主要方法, 对军事建设项目管理过程进行了优化。     

建设项目投资风险指标及模糊综合度量的研究

风险管理是建设项目管理的一个非常重要的方面,而风险指标是反映建设项目风险状况进行风险分析的一个重要内容.许多的学者对风险指标做过研究,其中大部分涉及的是经济评价和财务评价指标,或者使用损失期望值和方差的代数运算作为指标.本文在分析及总结前人风险指标研究成果的基础上,提出建设项目成本、时间和财务三方面的有关风险指标,并给出各指标的说明和计算公式.为综合评价建设项目的风险,本文利用了效用理论的思想和模糊理论方法,并以实例说明此模糊综合评价的具体计算步骤.     

施工项目中设计风险元传递模型研究

针对设计变更对项目实施的影响,本文将影响施工项目的设计变更原因称为项目的设计风险元,基于广义项目风险元传递理论建立系统动力学模型,动态研究设计风险元传递过程。通过模型模拟分析不同时间、不同程度的设计风险元对项目工期和项目费用影响程度,当设计风险元发生后,设计审批及设计过程将影响项目工期;受施工工序影响设计风险元造成实际施工速度不饱和,使得施工效率低下形成窝工;由于设计风险元导致的返工造成施工项目的工期延误和成本超支。此模型为风险管理者或项目管理者在设计风险管理方面提供了有力依据。     

On the optimal management of project risk

The uncertainty of project networks has been mainly considered as the randomness of duration of the activities. However, another major problem for project managers is the uncertainty due to the randomness of the amount of resources required by each activity which can be expressed by the randomness of its cost. Such randomness can seriously affect the discounted cost of the project and it may be strongly correlated with the duration of the activity.In this paper, a model considering the randomness of both the cost and the duration of each activity is introduced and the problem of project scheduling is studied in terms of the project's discounted cost and of the risk of not meeting its completion time. The adoption of the earliest (latest) starting time for each activity decreases (increases) the risk of delays but increases (decreases) the discounted cost of the project. Therefore, an optimal compromise has to be achieved. This problem of optimization is studied in terms of the probability of the duration and of the discounted cost of the project falling outside the acceptable domain (Risk function) using the concept of float factor as major decision variable. This last concept is proposed to help the manager to synthetize the large number of the decision variables representing each schedule for the studied project. Numerical results are also presented for a specific project network.     

Sustainable workforce scheduling in construction program management

The multimode resource-constrained project scheduling problem (MRCPSP) deals with the scheduling of a set of projects with alternative requirements of renewable and non-renewable resources. Solutions to the MRCPSP usually consider objectives in terms of cost and time. However, social objectives related with the workforce may impact the performance of projects and affect program sustainability goals. To account for this new social input, this paper extends the MRCPSP and proposes a new multiobjective mixed-integer programming model. The proposed solution method uses an a priori lexicographic ordering of the objectives, followed by an ?-constraints approach. The model is illustrated with a case study of a construction program.     

求解CPM网络计划的最大网络时差

CPM网络计划的网络时差表示项目中各工序实际可使用的机动时间的总和(绝非理论上机动时间的简单加总),即CPM网络计划的总机动时间,它决定着在总工期不变的前提下,所有工序实际可以达到的最大工期的总和,与项目的成本管理和时间管理密切相关。网络时差是变量,取决于各工序的时间进度安排,说明可以通过调整工序的时间进度来决定该时差的取值,特别是其最大值,进而实现成本和时间优化。本文首先从新的角度分析了网络时差的含义;然后,在此基础上设计了求解最大网络时差的算法,其思路为,通过建立和分析最大网络时差模型,将其转化为特殊的“时间-费用权衡问题”,进而可运用Fulkerson算法等经典算法求解;最后,通过应用举例对该算法进行了演示。     

Project cost dynamics for development policy-making

Cost and time overruns have been a common characteristic of development projects in many countries. This paper presents a theory of cost and time overruns based on project cost structure. The cost of a development project consists of base cost and progress cost. Base cost keeps a project ready for physical progress. Progress cost creates real physical progress on the project. This cost structure has an important inherent dynamic characteristic with implications for the efficiency and effectiveness of project management. An imbalance between annual budget and ongoing projects results in an increasing inefficiency and ineffectiveness unrelated to the quality of management of individual projects. The policy governing the starting rate of the new projects becomes very important in improving project performances. The paper also suggests some policy recommendations for commencing new projects.     

An Activity-Based Costing decision model for life cycle assessment in green building projects

Carbon emissions are an increasingly important consideration in sustainable environmental development. In the green building industry, green construction cost controls and low-carbon construction methods are considered to be the key barriers encountered. Based on Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) policy, management of carbon emissions from green building projects contributes to the acquisition of accurate building cost information and to a reduction in the environmental impact of these projects. This study focuses on the CO₂ emission costs and low-carbon construction methods, and proposes a 0–1 mixed integer programming (0–1 MIP) decision model for integrated green building projects, using an Activity-Based Cost (ABC) and life cycle assessment (LCA) approach. The major contributions of this study are as follows: (1) the integrated model can help construction company managers to more accurately understand how to allocate resources and funding for energy saving activities to each green building through appropriate cost drivers; (2) this model provides a pre-construction decision-making tool which will assist management in bidding on environmentally-friendly construction projects; and (3) this study contributes to the innovation operation research (OR) literature, especially in regard to incorporating the life cycle assessment measurement into construction cost management by utilizing a mixed decision model for green building projects.     

Two Approaches to the Problem of Sharing Delay Costs in Joint Projects

This paper concentrates on cost sharing situations which arise when delayed joint projects involve joint delay costs. The problem here is to determine fair shares for each of the agents who contribute to the delay of the project such that the total delay cost is cleared. We focus on the evaluation of the responsibility of each agent in delaying the project based on the activity graph representation of the project and then on solving the important problem of the delay cost sharing among the agents involved. Two approaches, both rooted in cooperative game theory methods are presented as possible solutions. In the first approach delay cost sharing rules are introduced which are based on the delay of the project and on the individual delays of the agents who perform activities. This approach is inspired by the bankruptcy and taxation literature and leads to five rules: the (truncated) proportional rule, the (truncated) constrained equal reduction rule and the constrained equal contribution rule. By introducing two coalitional games related to delay cost sharing problems, which we call the pessimistic delay game and the optimistic delay game, also game theoretical solutions as the Shapley value, the nucleolus and the -value generate delay cost sharing rules. In the second approach the delays of the relevant paths in the activity graph together with the delay of the project play a role. A two-stage solution is proposed. The first stage can be seen as a game between paths, where the delay cost of the project has to be allocated to the paths. Here serial cost sharing methods play a role. In the second stage the allocated costs of each path are divided proportionally to the individual delays among the activities in the path.     

Dynamic priority rule-based forward-backward heuristic algorithm for resource levelling problem in construction project

Resource levelling aims at minimizing the fluctuation of resource usage, which is accomplished by shifting non-critical activities within their float according to some heuristic rules. Most of these rules adopted a unidirectional scheduling based on a static priority rule. In this paper, we propose a dynamic priority rule-based forward-backward heuristic algorithm (FBHA). The FBHA optimizes resource allocation by shifting non-critical activities within their forward free float (FFF), forward total float (FTF) and backward free float (BFF), successively. A project is divided into several phases during each forward/backward scheduling module. In each phase, the shifting sequence and days of non-critical activities depend on a dynamic priority rule set. The FBHA is integrated into the Microsoft Project 2007 commercial software package to improve the performance of the software and facilitate the project planners. One example is analysed to illustrate the iteration process of the proposed FBHA. Another example with multiple precedence constraints is used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed FBHA in complicated construction projects.     

New fuzzy models for time-cost trade-off problem

The time-cost trade-off problem is a specific type of the project scheduling problem which studies how to modify project activities so as to achieve the trade-off between the completion time and the project cost. In real projects, the trade-off between the project cost and the completion time, and the uncertainty of the environment are both considerable aspects for managers. In this paper, three new fuzzy time-cost trade-off models are proposed, in which credibility theory is applied to describe the uncertainty of activity duration times. A searching method by integrating fuzzy simulation and genetic algorithm is produced to search the quasi-optimal schedules under some decision-making criteria. The purpose of the paper is to reveal how to obtain the optimal balance of the completion time and the project cost in fuzzy environments.     

Activity consolidation to improve responsiveness

There is a long history of modeling projects to meet time and cost objectives. Most of these models look at adjusting the level of resources available to the project in order to crash the time required to complete certain activities. These models usually take the activities and the graph structure of the project as given and fixed, but in practice there is often significant discretion in how activities are defined. This is especially important when there are information flows and time delays associated with the hand-off between an activity and its successor. This paper models the choice of how to meet the time and cost objectives through combining multiple activities into one while maintaining the original activity precedence relationships. A mixed-integer linear programming model is developed for the problem, and an implicit enumeration and a tabu search heuristic are tested with a suite of problem examples.     

Project-driven supply chains: integrating safety-stock and crashing decisions for recurrent projects

We study a new class of problems—recurrent projects with random material delays, at the interface between project and supply chain management. Recurrent projects are those similar in schedule and material requirements. We present the model of project-driven supply chain (PDSC) to jointly optimize the safety-stock decisions in material supply chains and the crashing decisions in projects. We prove certain convexity properties which allow us to characterize the optimal crashing policy. We study the interaction between supply chain inventory decisions and project crashing decisions, and demonstrate the impact of the PDSC model using examples based on real-world practice.     

一种计算工作时间参数新方法

为了编制和优化施工进度计划,计算构成施工项目的各项工作最早开始时间、最迟开始时间、最早完成时间、最迟完成时间、总时差和自由时差等时间参数十分重要.提出了一种计算工作时间参数新方法.该方法以工作完成时间为决策变量,通过建立和求解线性规划模型来得到各种工作时间参数.其建模思路清晰,不需绘制网络图,能用通用办公软件EXCEL求解.模拟计算表明,用该方法与用标准网络计划技术计算出的工作时间参数完全一致.     

Optimal segmentation of projects — Schedule and cost considerations

In certain types of projects, the same sequence of activities is performed throughout the various physical parts of the project (e.g., road construction). By dividing the project into segments and working in parallel, the duration of the project can be reduced, with a resulting increase in direct costs. In this paper we consider the problem of finding the optimal number of segments that minimizes total project cost, for linear cost and duration functions. We begin by formulating and solving a mathematical programming model for homogeneous projects, and, by using the concept of work contents, we extend the solution to non-homogeneous projects.     

重复性建设项目中确定关键路线的方法研究

本文提出了一种确定重复性建设项目关键路线的新方法。借助约束线,首先给出了工序间存在各种约束条件(时间和距离约束)下潜在关键点的确定方法;为处理大规模项目,进一步提出了与图示法相对应的数值算法。以此为基础,提出了确定关键工序和关键路线的具体步骤,并定义和分析了三种不同类型的关键工序。与现有的方法相比,本文提出的确定关键路线的方法更为准确,适用性更强,而且有利于调度优化目标的实现。     

基于层次分析和中介真值度量的工程质量模糊综合评判

随着建筑市场日益完善,建筑工程项目的质量越来越受到政府和业主的关注.通过专家打分,结合层次分析和中介真值度量的方法,对建成项目的质量进行模糊综合评判,并与传统模糊评价方法进行了比较分析.基于层次分析和中介真值度量的工程质量模糊评判方法,为工程项目质量的评判比较开辟了新的道路,为新时代工程项目后评价赋予了新的内涵.     

Criticality in Resource Constrained Networks

Project managers readily adopted the concept of the critical path as an aid to identifying those activities most worthy of their attention and possible action. However, current project management packages do not offer a useful measure of criticality in resource constrained projects. A revised method of calculating resource constrained float is presented, together with a discussion of its use in project management. While resource constrained criticality appears to be a practical and useful tool in the analysis of project networks, care is needed in its interpretation as any calculation of such float is conditional on the particular resource allocation employed. A number of other measures of an activity's importance in a network are described and compared in an application to an aircraft development. A quantitative comparison of the measures is developed based on a simulation of the process of management identifying the key activities and directing their control efforts. Resource constrained float appears to be a useful single measure of an activity's importance, encapsulating several useful pieces of management information. However, there are some circumstances in which other measures might be preferred.     

Finding the shortest path with honey-bee mating optimization algorithm in project management problems with constrained/unconstrained resources

Effective project management requires the development of a realistic plan and a clear communication of the plan from the beginning to the end of the project. The critical path method (CPM) of scheduling is the fundamental tool used to develop and interconnect project plans. Ensuring the integrity and transparency of those schedules is paramount for project success. The complex and discrete nature of the solution domain for such problems causes failing of traditional and gradient-based methods in finding the optimal or even feasible solution in some cases. The difficulties encountered in scheduling construction projects with resource constraints are highlighted by means of a simplified bridge construction problem and a basic masonry construction problem. The honey-bee mating optimization (HBMO) algorithm has been previously adopted to solve mathematical and engineering problems and has proven to be efficient for searching optimal solutions in large-problem domains. This paper presents the HBMO algorithm for scheduling projects with both constrained and unconstrained resources. Results show that the HBMO algorithm is applicable to projects with or without resource constraints. Furthermore, results obtained are promising and compare well with those of well-known heuristic approaches and gradient-based methods.     

Project scheduling under uncertainty and resource constraints

This paper proposes a method to improve the reliability of construction schedules by optimizing schedule robustness of construction projects. The schedule robustness is measured by a criterion evaluating the impact of deviations from the initial schedule on the makespan, which arise during the realization phase of a construction project. (© 2017 Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)