Stepwise BAN estimators for exponential families with multivariate normal applications

Consistent, asymptotically efficient and asymptotically normal stepwise estimators are given for a subclass of the uniparametric and multiparametric exponential families. The estimators are derived by using the Robbins-Monro stochastic approximation procedure with certain families of random variables arising from the normalized log-likelihood. Considered in detail are three multivariate normal examples where the maximum likelihood estimators are not tractable.     

Nonparametric estimation of the spectral measure,and associated dependence measures,for multivariate extreme values using a limiting conditional representation

The traditional approach to multivariate extreme values has been through the multivariate extreme value distribution G, characterised by its spectral measure H and associated Pickands’ dependence function A. More generally, for all asymptotically dependent variables, H determines the probability of all multivariate extreme events. When the variables are asymptotically dependent and under the assumption of unit Fréchet margins, several methods exist for the estimation of G, H and A which use variables with radial component exceeding some high threshold. For each of these characteristics, we propose new asymptotically consistent nonparametric estimators which arise from Heffernan and Tawn’s approach to multivariate extremes that conditions on variables with marginal values exceeding some high marginal threshold. The proposed estimators improve on existing estimators in three ways. First, under asymptotic dependence, they give self-consistent estimators of G, H and A; existing estimators are not self-consistent. Second, these existing estimators focus on the bivariate case, whereas our estimators extend easily to describe dependence in the multivariate case. Finally, for asymptotically independent cases, our estimators can model the level of asymptotic independence; whereas existing estimators for the spectral measure treat the variables as either being independent, or asymptotically dependent. For asymptotically dependent bivariate random variables, the new estimators are found to compare favourably with existing estimators, particularly for weak dependence. The method is illustrated with an application to finance data.     

Asymptotically optimal estimation in the linear regression problem in the case of violation of some classical assumptions

We consider the problem of estimating the unknown parameters of linear regression in the case when the variances of observations depend on the unknown parameters of the model. A two-step method is suggested for constructing asymptotically linear estimators. Some general sufficient conditions for the asymptotic normality of the estimators are found, and an explicit form is established of the best asymptotically linear estimators. The behavior of the estimators is studied in detail in the case when the parameter of the regression model is one-dimensional.     

Kernel density estimation for linear processes: Asymptotic normality and optimal bandwidth derivation

The problem of estimating the marginal density of a linear process by kernel methods is considered. Under general conditions, kernel density estimators are shown to be asymptotically normal. Their limiting covariance matrix is computed. We also find the optimal bandwidth in the sense that it asymptotically minimizes the mean square error of the estimators. The assumptions involved are easily verifiable.Supported in part by NSF grant DMS-9403718.     

Efficient Density Estimation for Ergodic Diffusion Processes

The problem of asymptotically efficient estimation of the density of invariant measure of a diffusion process is considered. The efficient estimator is defined with the help of the minimax lower bound on the risk of all estimators. We show that the local–time and kernel–type estimators are asymptotically efficient for the loss functions with polynomial majorants. The asymptotic behavior of a wide class of unbiased estimators with the same limit variances is also discussed. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

双奇次有限元的渐近准确误差估计

§1.引言 近年来自适应有限元方法无论在数学理论还是在实际应用方面都已得到迅速发展.I.Babuska 等首先提出了双线性单元(p=1)的h型自适应方法.此后作者与Babuska又发展了双二次单元(p=2)的h型自适应方法并进行了一系列数值计算.这些成果已被应用于美国马里兰大学的自适应有限元程序FEARS中.自适应方法的基础在于对有限元近似解作后验误差估计,这些估计应是便于计算的.作者在[5]中已对任     

Estimating hazard ratios in nested case-control studies by mantel-haenszel method

1. IntroductionConsider a follow-up study which is carried out to investigate the association betweenexposure variables and mortality rate in a cohort. In the case where the cohort is of 1argesise, the complete follow-up ndght be too expensive or difficult, and various nested samplingmethod8 have been suggested by Thomas[l], Prenti..[2] 5 Goldstein and Langholzl'] and otherauthors. Most of the authors employ Coxl4] regression mode1 for estimating the hazard ratio8of exposures.Now a well-reco…     

因变量缺失下线性变量含误差模型的估计

主要考虑线性模型在自变量测量含误差以及因变量缺失情况下的估计问题.对于模型中的回归系数,我们基于最小二乘方法提出了两类估计,其中一类估计只由完整观测数据构成,而另外一类估计利用的则是利用简单插补方法构造的完整数据.证明了这两类估计是渐近正态性的.     

QUANTILE ESTIMATION WITH AUXILIARY INFORMATION UNDER POSITIVELY ASSOCIATED SAMPLES

The empirical likelihood is used to propose a new class of quantile estimators in the presence of some auxiliary information under positively associated samples. It is shown that the proposed quantile estimators are asymptotically normally distributed with smaller asymptotic variances than those of the usual quantile estimators.     

A posteriori estimators for nonlinear elliptic partial differential equations

Many works have reported results concerning the mathematical analysis of the performance of a posteriori error estimators for the approximation error of finite element discrete solutions to linear elliptic partial differential equations. For each estimator there is a set of restrictions defined in such a way that the analysis of its performance is made possible. Usually, the available estimators may be classified into two types, i.e., the implicit estimators (based on the solution of a local problem) and the explicit estimators (based on some suitable norm of the residual in a dual space). Regarding the performance, an estimator is called asymptotically exact if it is a higher-order perturbation of a norm of the exact error. Nowadays, one may say that there is a larger understanding about the behavior of estimators for linear problems than for nonlinear problems. The situation is even worse when the nonlinearities involve the highest derivatives occurring in the PDE being considered (strongly nonlinear PDEs). In this work we establish conditions under which those estimators, originally developed for linear problems, may be used for strongly nonlinear problems, and how that could be done. We also show that, under some suitable hypothesis, the estimators will be asymptotically exact, whenever they are asymptotically exact for linear problems. Those results allow anyone to use the knowledge about estimators developed for linear problems in order to build new reliable and robust estimators for nonlinear problems.     

A class of estimators of the parameters in linear regression with censored data

This paper proposes a new class of estimators of parameters in linear regression model with censored data. It also contains sufficient conditions under which these estimators are strongly consistent and asymptotically normal.     

Method of Moments Estimators and Multi–step MLE for Poisson Processes

We introduce two types of estimators of the finite–dimensional parameters in the case of observations of inhomogeneous Poisson processes. These are the estimators of the method of moments and Multi–step MLE. It is shown that the estimators of the method of moments are consistent and asymptotically normal and the Multi–step MLE are consistent and asymptotically efficient. The construction of Multi–step MLE–process is done in two steps. First we construct a consistent estimator by the observations on some learning interval and then this estimator is used for construction of One–step and Two–step MLEs. The main advantage of the proposed approach is its computational simplicity.     

含附加信息时条件分位数的估计及其渐近性质

本文利用经验似然方法给出了含附加信息时条件分位数的一类新估计,在一定的正则条件下证明了估计的渐近正态性且渐近方差小于或等于通常的条件分位数核估计的渐近方差．     

One-step jackknife for M-estimators computed using Newton's method

To estimate the dispersion of an M-estimator computed using Newton's iterative method, the jackknife method usually requires to repeat the iterative process n times, where n is the sample size. To simplify the computation, one-step jackknife estimators, which require no iteration, are proposed in this paper. Asymptotic properties of the one-step jackknife estimators are obtained under some regularity conditions in the i.i.d. case and in a linear or nonlinear model. All the one-step jackknife estimators are shown to be asymptotically equivalent and they are also asymptotically equivalent to the original jackknife estimator. Hence one may use a dispersion estimator whose computation is the simplest. Finite sample properties of several one-step jackknife estimators are examined in a simulation study.The research was supported by Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada.     

Optimal convergence rates and asymptotic efficiency of point estimators under truncated distribution families

For regular and irregular truncated distribution families, the optimal convergence rates of consistent point estimators have been found and the corresponding asymptotic efficiencies established. Also, it has been justified that commonly used estimators are all efficient. The efficiencies here are compared to the efficiencies of asymptotically median unbiased estimators, providing a lot of counter estimator examples such that those estimators are efficient in the former sense, but not in the latter.     

Nonparametric maximum likelihood density estimation and simulation-based minimum distance estimators

Indirect inference estimators (i.e., simulation-based minimum distance estimators) in a parametric model that are based on auxiliary nonparametric maximum likelihood density estimators are shown to be asymptotically normal. If the parametricmodel is correctly specified, it is furthermore shown that the asymptotic variance-covariance matrix equals the inverse of the Fisher-information matrix. These results are based on uniform-in-parameters convergence rates and a uniform-inparameters Donsker-type theorem for nonparametric maximum likelihood density estimators.     

Efficient simulation-based minimum distance estimation and indirect inference

Given a random sample from a parametric model, we show how indirect inference estimators based on appropriate nonparametric density estimators (i.e., simulation-based minimum distance estimators) can be constructed that, under mild assumptions, are asymptotically normal with variance-covariance matrix equal to the Cramér-Rao bound.     

ψ-混合样本下含附加信息时条件分位数估计的渐近性质

本文利用经验似然方法构造了含附加信息时条件分位数的一类估计,并证明了估计的渐近正态性且渐近方差不大于通常核估计的渐近方差.     

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In this paper, we apply the empirical likelihood technique to propose a new class of M-estimators and quantile estimators in the presence of some auxiliary information under strong mixing samples. It is shown that the proposed M-estimators and quantile estimators are consistent and asymptotically normally distributed with smaller asymptotic variances than those of the usual M-estimators and quantile estimators.     

On sequential estimation for branching processes with immigration

Consider a Galton–Watson process with immigration. The limiting distributions of the nonsequential estimators of the offspring mean have been proved to be drastically different for the critical case and subcritical and supercritical cases. A sequential estimator, proposed by Sriram et al. (Ann. Statist. 19 (1991) 2232), was shown to be asymptotically normal for both the subcritical and critical cases. Based on a certain stopping rule, we construct a class of two-stage estimators for the offspring mean. These estimators are shown to be asymptotically normal for all the three cases. This gives, without assuming any prior knowledge, a unified estimation and inference procedure for the offspring mean.