Multiple‐interval‐dependent robust stability analysis for uncertain stochastic neural networks with mixed‐delays

This article deals with the problem of robust stochastic asymptotic stability for a class of uncertain stochastic neural networks with distributed delay and multiple time‐varying delays. It is noted that the reciprocally convex approach has been intensively used in stability analysis for time‐delay systems in the past few years. We will extend the approach from deterministic time‐delay systems to stochastic time‐delay systems. And based on the new technique dealing with matrix cross‐product and multiple‐interval‐dependent Lyapunov–Krasovskii functional, some novel delay‐dependent stability criteria with less conservatism and less decision variables for the addressed system are derived in terms of linear matrix inequalities. At last, several numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness of the results. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 21: 147–162, 2015     

Performance Variability and Project Dynamics

We present a dynamical model of complex cooperative projects such as large engineering design or software development efforts, comprised of concurrent and interrelated tasks. The model contains a stochastic component to account for temporal fluctuations both in task performance and in the interactions between related tasks. We show that as the system size increases, so does the average completion time. Also, for fixed system size, the dynamics of individual project realizations can exhibit large deviations from the average when fluctuations increase past a threshold, causing long delays in completion times. These effects are in agreement with empirical observation. We also show that the negative effects of both large groups and long delays caused by fluctuations may be mitigated by arranging projects in a hierarchical or modular structure. Our model is applicable to any arrangement of interdependent tasks, providing an analytical prediction for the average completion time as well as a numerical threshold for the fluctuation strength beyond which long delays are likely. In conjunction with previous modeling techniques, it thus provides managers with a predictive tool to be used in the design of a project's architecture. Bernardo A. Huberman is a Senior HP Fellow and Director of the Information Dynamics Laboratory. He is also a Consulting Professor of Physics at Stanford University. For the past ten years he has concentrated on understanding distributed processes and on the design of mechanisms for information aggregation and the protection of privacy as well as market-based distributed resource allocation systems. Dennis Wilkinson is a recent graduate of Stanford University with a doctorate in Physics, and has accepted a position in the Department of Defense. His research interests include dynamics of social networks and other stochastic systems, information extraction from large, complex networks, and techniques in distributed computing.     

Exponential synchronization of complex dynamical networks with markovian jump parameters and stochastic delays and its application to multi-agent systems

This paper studies the synchronization problem of complex dynamical networks with stochastic delay which switches stochastically among several forms of time-varying delays. Both the discrete and distributed delays are considered, as well as the Markovian jump parameters. The occurrence probability distribution of the stochastic delay is assumed to be known in prior. By utilizing the Lyapunov–Krasovskii stability theory and stochastic analysis techniques, some sufficient exponential synchronization criteria are obtained, which depend not only on the size of delays, but also on the occurrence probability distribution of the stochastic delay. Moreover, the main results are successfully extended to multi-agent systems with stochastic delay. Several numerical examples are given to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed methods.     

Effects of random noise in a dynamical model of love

This paper aims to investigate the stochastic model of love and the effects of random noise. We first revisit the deterministic model of love and some basic properties are presented such as: symmetry, dissipation, fixed points (equilibrium), chaotic behaviors and chaotic attractors. Then we construct a stochastic love-triangle model with parametric random excitation due to the complexity and unpredictability of the psychological system, where the randomness is modeled as the standard Gaussian noise. Stochastic dynamics under different three cases of “Romeo’s romantic style”, are examined and two kinds of bifurcations versus the noise intensity parameter are observed by the criteria of changes of top Lyapunov exponent and shape of stationary probability density function (PDF) respectively. The phase portraits and time history are carried out to verify the proposed results, and the good agreement can be found. And also the dual roles of the random noise, namely suppressing and inducing chaos are revealed.     

Stochastic Epidemic SEIRS Models with a Constant Latency Period

In this paper, we consider the stability of a class of deterministic and stochastic SEIRS epidemic models with delay. Indeed, we assume that the transmission rate could be stochastic and the presence of a latency period of r consecutive days, where r is a fixed positive integer, in the “exposed” individuals class E. Studying the eigenvalues of the linearized system, we obtain conditions for the stability of the free disease equilibrium, in both the cases of the deterministic model with and without delay. In this latter case, we also get conditions for the stability of the coexistence equilibrium. In the stochastic case, we are able to derive a concentration result for the random fluctuations and then, using the Lyapunov method, to check that under suitable assumptions the free disease equilibrium is still stable.     

The stability of distributed neutral delay differential systems with Markovian switching

This paper is concerned with the stability analysis of neutral-type stochastic distributed delay differential systems described by Markovian switching. This system has some special kind of neutral behaviour with uncertain distributed time delays occurring in the state variables. Based on the Lyapunov function, novel methodologies for analyzing stability criteria, and the design of an uncertain distributed delay model are presented. The proposed method is an alternative way to study the robustness and stability of uncertain distributed delays with neutral systems. In order to demonstrate the applicability of the results, the investigation considers two specific examples.     

Delay-dependent robust exponential state estimation of Markovian jumping fuzzy Hopfield neural networks with mixed random time-varying delays

This paper investigates delay-dependent robust exponential state estimation of Markovian jumping fuzzy neural networks with mixed random time-varying delay. In this paper, the Takagi–Sugeno (T–S) fuzzy model representation is extended to the robust exponential state estimation of Markovian jumping Hopfield neural networks with mixed random time-varying delays. Moreover probabilistic delay satisfies a certain probability-distribution. By introducing a stochastic variable with a Bernoulli distribution, the neural networks with random time delays is transformed into one with deterministic delays and stochastic parameters. The main purpose is to estimate the neuron states, through available output measurements such that for all admissible time delays, the dynamics of the estimation error is globally exponentially stable in the mean square. Based on the Lyapunov–Krasovskii functional and stochastic analysis approach, several delay-dependent robust state estimators for such T–S fuzzy Markovian jumping Hopfield neural networks can be achieved by solving a linear matrix inequality (LMI), which can be easily facilitated by using some standard numerical packages. The unknown gain matrix is determined by solving a delay-dependent LMI. Finally some numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

A graph‐theoretic approach to stability of neutral stochastic coupled oscillators network with time‐varying delayed coupling

In this paper, a graph‐theoretic approach for checking exponential stability of the system described by neutral stochastic coupled oscillators network with time‐varying delayed coupling is obtained. Based on graph theory and Lyapunov stability theory, delay‐dependent criteria are deduced to ensure moment exponential stability and almost sure exponential stability of the addressed system, respectively. These criteria can show how coupling topology, time delays, and stochastic perturbations affect exponential stability of such oscillators network. This method may also be applied to other neutral stochastic coupled systems with time delays. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to show the effectiveness of theoretical results. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

State estimation for Markovian jumping genetic regulatory networks with random delays

In this paper, the state estimation problem is investigated for stochastic genetic regulatory networks (GRNs) with random delays and Markovian jumping parameters. The delay considered is assumed to be satisfying a certain stochastic characteristic. Meantime, the delays of GRNs are described by a binary switching sequence satisfying a conditional probability distribution. The aim of this paper is to design a state estimator to estimate the true states of the considered GRNs through the available output measurements. By using Lyapunov functional and some stochastic analysis techniques, the stability criteria of the estimation error systems are obtained in the form of linear matrix inequalities under which the estimation error dynamics is globally asymptotically stable. Then, the explicit expression of the desired estimator is shown. Finally, a numerical example is presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed results.     

Stochastic stabilization of networked control systems with combined stochastic distributed processes

The stochastic stability problem of networked control systems (NCSs) with random time delays and packet dropouts is investigated in this paper. The mathematical NCS model is developed as a stochastic discrete‐time jump system with combined integrated stochastic parameters characterized by two identically independently distributed processes, which accommodate the abrupt variations of network uncertainties within an integrated frame. The effective instant is introduced to establish the relationship between the destabilizing transmission factors and stability of NCSs. The stabilizing state feedback controller gain that depends not only on the delay modes but also on the dropouts modes is obtained in terms of the linear matrix inequalities formulation via the Schur complement theory. A numerical example is given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Deterministic and stochastic analysis of a delayed allelopathic phytoplankton model within fluctuating environment

In this paper, we consider a two-dimensional model for two competitive phytoplankton species where one species is toxic phytoplankton and other is non-toxic species. The logistic growth of both the species follows the Hutchinson type growth law. First, we briefly discuss basic dynamical properties of non-delayed and delayed model system within deterministic environment. Next we formulate the stochastic delay differential equation model system to study the effect of environmental driving forces on the dynamical behavior. We calculate population fluctuation intensity (variance) for both species by Fourier transform method. Numerical simulations are carried out to substantiate the analytical findings. Significant results of our analytical findings and their interpretations from ecological point of view are provided in concluding section.     

随机时滞控制系统的均方BIBO稳定性

本文研究了具有时滞和非线性扰动的随机控制系统的均方有界输入-有界输出(BIBO)稳定.首先,探讨了具有离散时滞和非线性扰动的随机系统的均方BIBO稳定性问题,在此基础上,进一步研究带有离散时滞和分布时滞以及非线性扰动的随机系统的均方BIBO稳定性.通过设计合理的控制器,建立合适的Lyapunov泛函,结合Riccati矩阵方程,得到时滞依赖的均方BIBO稳定性条件.     

Approximate controllability of impulsive semilinear stochastic system with delay in state

Many practical systems in physical and biological sciences have impulsive dynamical behaviors during the evolution process that can be modeled by impulsive differential equations. This article studies the approximate controllability of impulsive semilinear stochastic system with delay in state in Hilbert spaces. Assuming the conditions for the approximate controllability of the corresponding deterministic linear system, we obtain the sufficient conditions for the approximate controllability of the impulsive semilinear stochastic system with delay in state. The results are obtained by using Banach fixed point theorem. Finally, two examples are given to illustrate the developed theory.     

Exponential stability for markovian jumping stochastic BAM neural networks with mode‐dependent probabilistic time‐varying delays and impulse control

In this article, an exponential stability analysis of Markovian jumping stochastic bidirectional associative memory (BAM) neural networks with mode‐dependent probabilistic time‐varying delays and impulsive control is investigated. By establishment of a stochastic variable with Bernoulli distribution, the information of probabilistic time‐varying delay is considered and transformed into one with deterministic time‐varying delay and stochastic parameters. By fully taking the inherent characteristic of such kind of stochastic BAM neural networks into account, a novel Lyapunov‐Krasovskii functional is constructed with as many as possible positive definite matrices which depends on the system mode and a triple‐integral term is introduced for deriving the delay‐dependent stability conditions. Furthermore, mode‐dependent mean square exponential stability criteria are derived by constructing a new Lyapunov‐Krasovskii functional with modes in the integral terms and using some stochastic analysis techniques. The criteria are formulated in terms of a set of linear matrix inequalities, which can be checked efficiently by use of some standard numerical packages. Finally, numerical examples and its simulations are given to demonstrate the usefulness and effectiveness of the proposed results. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 20: 39–65, 2015     

Global attractivity in a population model with nonlinear death rate and distributed delays

We study the global attractivity of the unique positive equilibrium of a population model with distributed delays and nonlinear death rate. Both delay dependent and delay independent criteria are obtained which generalize, unify and improve known criteria. These results will be applied to some models with bounded and unbounded death functions.     

一类随机模型的最优捕获问题研究

在Volterra两种群竞争模型的基础上,构造了随机的具有捕获的两种群竞争模型,研究讨论了捕获对种群生长过程的影响和如何实现最优捕获等问题.从确定性模型入手,深入讨论随机竞争模型的收获最优问题.通过对捕获强度E和贴现率等的估计与讨论,计算出了最优捕获强度最优捕获量最优经济收益.     

Stochastic Kolmogorov-Type Population Dynamics with?Infinite Distributed Delays

This paper shows that different environmental noise structures have different effects on population systems. Under two classes of environmental noise perturbations, this paper establishes existence-and-uniqueness theorems of the global positive solution to the stochastic Kolmogorov-type system with infinite distributed delays. As the desired results to population dynamics, this paper also examines asymptotic boundedness, including the moment boundedness and the moment average boundedness in time. To illustrate our idea more clearly, we also discuss a scalar example with mixed delays and a n-dimensional stochastic Lotka-Volterra system with mixed delays.     

SUSTAINABLE YIELDS IN FISHERIES: UNCERTAINTY,RISK‐AVERSION,AND MEAN‐VARIANCE ANALYSIS

Abstract We consider a model of a fishery in which the dynamics of the unharvested fish population are given by the stochastic logistic growth equation Similar to the classical deterministic analogon, we assume that the fishery harvests the fish population following a constant effort strategy. In the first step, we derive the effort level that leads to maximum expected sustainable yield, which is understood as the expectation of the equilibrium distribution of the stochastic dynamics. This replaces the nonzero fixed point in the classical deterministic setup. In the second step, we assume that the fishery is risk averse and that there is a tradeoff between expected sustainable yield and uncertainty measured in terms of the variance of the equilibrium distribution. We derive the optimal constant effort harvesting strategy for this problem. In the final step, we consider an approach that we call the mean‐variance analysis to sustainable fisheries. Similar as in the now classical mean‐variance analysis in finance, going back to Markowitz [1952] , we study the problem of maximizing expected sustainable yields under variance constraints, and with this, minimizing the variance, e.g., risk, under guaranteed minimum expected sustainable yields. We derive explicit formulas for the optimal fishing effort in all four problems considered and study the effects of uncertainty, risk aversion, and mean reversion speed on fishing efforts.     

Information and system modelling

In this paper, we first give a clear mathematical definition of information. Then based on this definition of information we consider two routes of system modelling. One route is with stochastic information and the other route is with deterministic information. The route with stochastic information gives the usual information theory where information is carried by random variables or stochastic processes. With this route of stochastic information we can derive quantum mechanics. Then our new feature is the route with deterministic information. We show that with deterministic information we can establish deterministic quantum systems (which are quantum systems with no probability interpretation). From these deterministic quantum systems we can derive the three laws of thermodynamics and resolve the paradox between the second law of thermodynamics and the evolution phenomena of the world. We resolve this paradox by clarifying the relation between Shannon information entropy, Boltzmann entropy and the entropy for the second law. This clarification also solves the negative entropy problem of Schroedinger. These deterministic quantum systems which are established with deterministic information can be regarded as solutions to the the debate between Bohr and Einstein and the measurement problem of quantum mechanics because of their deterministic nature and their quantum structure.