Bounds for some general sums of random variables

Rogers and Shi (1995) have used the technique of conditional expectations to derive approximations for the distribution of a sum of lognormals. In this paper we extend their results to more general sums of random variables. In particular we study sums of functions of dependent random variables that are multivariate normally distributed and also derive results for sums of functions of dependent random variables from the additive exponential dispersion family. The usefulness of our results for practical applications is also discussed.     

On a characterization theorem for locally compact abelian groups

The well-known Skitovich-Darmois theorem asserts that a Gaussian distribution is characterized by the independence of two linear forms of independent random variables. The similar result was proved by Heyde, where instead of the independence, the symmetry of the conditional distribution of one linear form given another was considered. In this article we prove that the Heyde theorem on a locally compact Abelian group X remains true if and only if X contains no elements of order two. We describe also all distributions on the two-dimensional torus which are characterized by the symmetry of the conditional distribution of one linear form given another. In so doing we assume that the coefficients of the forms are topological automorphisms of X and the characteristic functions of the considering random variables do not vanish.     

Tails of random sums of a heavy-tailed number of light-tailed terms

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the collective risk model, where the total claim size in a portfolio is the sum of a random number of claims. If the tail of the claim number is heavier than the tail of the claim sizes, then under certain conditions the tail of the total claim size does not change asymptotically if the individual claim sizes are replaced by their expectations. The conditions allow the claim number distribution to be of consistent variation or to be in the domain of attraction of a Gumbel distribution with a mean excess function that grows to infinity sufficiently fast. Moreover, the claim number is not necessarily required to be independent of the claim sizes.     

The distribution of partially exchangeable random variables

In this article, we derive the distribution of partially exchangeable binary random variables, generalizing the distribution of exchangeable binary random variables and hence the binomial distribution. The distribution can be viewed as a mixture of Markov chains. We introduce rectangular complete monotonicity and show that partial exchangebility can be characterized by rectangular complete monotonicity. The distribution aided with rectangular complete monotonicity can be used to analyze serially correlated data common in many areas of science.     

Circular law for random matrices with exchangeable entries

An exchangeable random matrix is a random matrix with distribution invariant under any permutation of the entries. For such random matrices, we show, as the dimension tends to infinity, that the empirical spectral distribution tends to the uniform law on the unit disc. This is an instance of the universality phenomenon known as the circular law, for a model of random matrices with dependent entries, rows, and columns. It is also a non‐Hermitian counterpart of a result of Chatterjee on the semi‐circular law for random Hermitian matrices with exchangeable entries. The proof relies in particular on a reduction to a simpler model given by a random shuffle of a rigid deterministic matrix, on hermitization, and also on combinatorial concentration of measure and combinatorial Central Limit Theorem. A crucial step is a polynomial bound on the smallest singular value of exchangeable random matrices, which may be of independent interest. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Random Struct. Alg., 48, 454–479, 2016     

Invariance and independence in multivariate distribution theory

Several general results are presented whereby various properties of independence or conditional independence between certain random variables may be deduced from the symmetries enjoyed by their joint distributions. These are applied to the distributions of sample correlation and canonical correlation coefficients when the underlying data-distribution has suitable orthogonal invariance. A typical result is that, for a random sample of observations on three independent normal variables, r₁₂, r₁₃, and r_23.1 are mutually independent.     

Positive dependence orderings and stopping times

We study the positive dependence of pairs of stochastic processes and examine its relation with the properties of certain stopping times. Some special cases, such as dependent random walks, Gaussian processes and exchangeable sequences of elliptically contoured random variables, are taken into account.     

任意B值随机变量序列关于条件期望的一类强极限定理

利用随机变量的截尾方法和条件三级数定理,研究任意B值随机变量序列的极限性质,得到了一类关于条件期望的强极限定理和鞅差序列收敛定理,推广了与此相应的一些结果和若干经典的强大数定律.     

An exponential inequality and strong limit theorems for conditional expectations

An exponential inequality for the tail of the conditional expectation of sums of centered independent random variables is obtained. This inequality is applied to prove analogues of the Law of the Iterated Logarithm and the Strong Law of Large Numbers for conditional expectations. As corollaries we obtain certain strong theorems for the generalized allocation scheme and for the nonuniformly distributed allocation scheme.     

On the exact distribution of linear combinations of order statistics from dependent random variables

We study the exact distribution of linear combinations of order statistics of arbitrary (absolutely continuous) dependent random variables. In particular, we examine the case where the random variables have a joint elliptically contoured distribution and the case where the random variables are exchangeable. We investigate also the particular L-statistics that simply yield a set of order statistics, and study their joint distribution. We present the application of our results to genetic selection problems, design of cellular phone receivers, and visual acuity. We give illustrative examples based on the multivariate normal and multivariate Student t distributions.     

The composition of Wiener functionals with non absolutely continuous Shifts

Summary In this paper we study some classes of Wiener functionals whose elements can be composed with a non-linear, non-absolutely continous transformation of the form of perturbation of identity in the direction of Cameron-Martin space. We show that under certain conditions the image of the Wiener measure under the above transformation induces a generalized Wiener functional on certain Sobolev spaces generalizing the Radon-Nikodym relation to non absolutely continuous transformations. A series representation for the generalized Radon-Nikodym derivative is presented and conditional expectations of some generalized random variables are considered.     

On a property of bivariate distributions

Shanbag gave a characterization of the exponential and geometric distribution in terms of conditional expectations. Recently, Kotlarski generalized his method to obtain some properties of univariate probability distributions through conditional expectations. A property of bivariate distributions is given here generalizing Kotlarski's result in the univariate case.     

Reliability and expectation bounds for coherent systems with exchangeable components

Sharp upper and lower bounds are obtained for the reliability functions and the expectations of lifetimes of coherent systems based on dependent exchangeable absolutely continuous components with a given marginal distribution function, by use of the concept of Samaniego's signature. We first show that the distribution of any coherent system based on exchangeable components with absolutely continuous joint distribution is a convex combination of distributions of order statistics (equivalent to the k-out-of-n systems) with the weights identical with the values of the Samaniego signature of the system. This extends the Samaniego representation valid for the case of independent and identically distributed components. Combining the representation with optimal bounds on linear combinations of distribution functions of order statistics from dependent identically distributed samples, we derive the corresponding reliability and expectation bounds, dependent on the signature of the system and marginal distribution of dependent components. We also present the sequences of exchangeable absolutely continuous joint distributions of components which attain the bounds in limit. As an application, we obtain the reliability bounds for all the coherent systems with three and four exchangeable components, expressed in terms of the parent marginal reliability function and specify the respective expectation bounds for exchangeable exponential components, comparing them with the lifetime expectations of systems with independent and identically distributed exponential components.     

Statistical modeling for discrete patterns in a sequence of exchangeable trials

This paper proposes a new method for constructing a sequence of infinitely exchangeable uniform random variables on the unit interval. For constructing the sequence, we utilize a Pólya urn partially. The resulting exchangeable sequence depends on the initial numbers of balls of the Pólya urn. We also derive the de Finetti measure for the exchangeable sequence. For an arbitrarily given one-dimensional distribution function, we generate sequences of exchangeable random variables with the one-dimensional marginal distribution by transforming the exchangeable uniform sequences with the inverse function of the distribution function. Among them we mainly investigate sequences of exchangeable discrete random variables. They differ from the well-known exchangeable sequence generated only by the Pólya urn scheme. Some examples are also given as applications of the results to exact distributions of some statistics based on sequences of exchangeable trials. Further, from the above exchangeable uniform sequence we construct partial or Markov exchangeable sequences. We also provide numerical examples of statistical inference based on the exchangeable and Markov exchangeable sequences.     

On a Characterization Theorem for Locally Compact Abelian Groups Containing an Element of Order 2

According to the well-known Heyde theorem the Gaussian distribution on the real line is characterized by the symmetry of the conditional distribution of one linear form of independent random variables given the other. We study analogues of this theorem for some locally compact Abelian groups X containing an element of order 2. We prove that if X contains an element of order 2, this leads to the fact that a wide class of non-Gaussian distributions on X is characterized by the symmetry of the conditional distribution of one linear form of independent random variables given the other. While coefficients of linear forms are topological automorphisms of a group.

     

Optimizing an objective function under a bivariate probability model

The motivation of this paper is to obtain an analytical closed form of a quadratic objective function arising from a stochastic decision process with bivariate exponential probability distribution functions that may be dependent. This method is applicable when results need to be offered in an analytical closed form without double integrals. However, the study only applies to cases where the correlation coefficient between the two variables is positive or null. A stochastic, stationary objective function, involving a single decision variable in a quadratic form is studied. We use a primitive of a bivariate exponential distribution as first expressed by Downton [Downton, F., 1970. Bivariate exponential distributions in reliability theory. Journal of Royal Statistical Society B 32, 408–417] and revisited in Iliopoulos [Iliopoulos, George., 2003. Estimation of parametric functions in Downton’s bivariate exponential distribution. Journal of statistical planning and inference 117, 169–184]. With this primitive, optimization of objective functions in Operations Research, supply chain management or any other setting involving two random variables, or calculations which involve evaluating conditional expectations of two joint random variables are direct. We believe the results can be extended to other cases where exponential bivariates are encountered in economic objective function evaluations. Computation algorithms are offered which substantially reduce computation time when solving numerical examples.     

Characterizations of discrete distributions by a conditional distribution and a regression function

Summary The bivariate distribution of (X, Y), whereX andY are non-negative integer-valued random variables, is characterized by the conditional distribution ofY givenX=x and a consistent regression function ofX onY. This is achieved when the conditional distribution is one of the distributions: a) binomial, Poisson, Pascal or b) a right translation of these. In a) the conditional distribution ofY is anx-fold convolution of another random variable independent ofX so thatY is a generalized distribution. A main feature of these characterizations is that their proof does not depent on the specific form of the regression function. It is also indicated how these results can be used for good-ness-of-fit purposes.     

Some partial orderings of exchangeable random variables by positive dependence

Some partial orderings of positively dependent exchangeable random variables are introduced. The interrelations among them, the inequalities which follow from them and two models which yield such partial orderings are then discussed. Particular examples include ordering multivariate normal, t, χ², Cauchy, exponential, binomial, Poisson, gamma and Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern random vectors. Applications to genetic selection and choice of sampling procedures are given.     

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Strong laws of large numbers play key role in nonadditive probability theory. Recently, there are many research papers about strong laws of large numbers for independently and identically distributed (or negatively dependent) random variables in the framework of nonadditive probabilities (or nonlinear expectations). This paper introduces a concept of weakly negatively dependent random variables and investigates the properties of such kind of random variables under a framework of nonadditive probabilities and sublinear expectations. A strong law of large numbers is also proved for weakly negatively dependent random variables under a kind of sublinear expectation as an application     

Second order tail asymptotics for the sum of dependent, tail-independent regularly varying risks

In this paper we consider dependent random variables with common regularly varying marginal distribution. Under the assumption that these random variables are tail-independent, it is well known that the tail of the sum behaves like in the independence case. Under some conditions on the marginal distributions and the dependence structure (including Gaussian copula’s and certain Archimedean copulas) we provide the second-order asymptotic behavior of the tail of the sum.