带有非线性传染率的具有阶段结构的SI传染病模型

对带有非线性传染率的具有阶段结构的SI传染病模型进行了讨论,得到了传染病最终消除和成为地方病的条件.     

Global dynamics of a discretized SIRS epidemic model with time delay

We derive a discretized SIRS epidemic model with time delay by applying a nonstandard finite difference scheme. Sufficient conditions for the global dynamics of the solution are obtained by improvements in discretization and applying proofs for continuous epidemic models. These conditions for our discretized model are the same as for the original continuous model.     

PERSISTENCE AND EXTINCTION OF A STOCHASTIC SIS EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH DOUBLE EPIDEMIC HYPOTHESIS

In this paper, we aim at dynamical behaviors of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with double epidemic hypothesis. Sufficient conditions for the extinction and persistence in mean are derived via constructing suitable functions. We obtain a threshold of stochastic SIS epidemic model, which determines how the diseases spread when the white noises are small. Numerical simulations are used to illustrate the efficiency of the main results of this article.     

Dynamics of stochastic heroin epidemic model with L\""evy jumps

People have paid the surge of attention to the prevention and the control of the heroin epidemic for the number of drug addicts is increasing dramatically. In the study of the heroin epidemic, modeling is an important tool. So far many heroin epidemic models are often characterized by ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and many results about them have been obtained. But unfortunately, there is little literature of stochastic heroin epidemic model with jumps. Based on this point, this paper establishes a class of heroin epidemic models---stochastic heroin epidemic model with L\"evy jumps. Under some given conditions, the existence of the global positive solution of such model is first obtained. We then study the asymptotic behavior of this model by applying the Lyapunov technique.     

The Continuous Solutions of an Age-structured Host-Vector Epidemic Model

1.IntroductionAgehasbeenrecognizedasanimportantfactorinthedynamicsofepidemicprocessforalongperiod.Age-dependentmodelshavebeenanalyzedextensivelyandgreatattentionhasbeenpaidinconnectionwiththeanalysisofrealepidemics(Capasso[1J,El-DeMa[2j,Webb[3]).Inthispaperwestudyahost-vectorSISmodelwithagestructure.LetusconsiderthecasethatavectorisresPOnsibleforthespreadofthediseaseamongthehostpopulation.Thevectorpopulationsplayanimportantroleinsomeepidemicdiseases.Ca-passohaspresentedsomehost-vectorepi…     

ANALYSIS OF A SUSCEPTIBLE-EXPOSED-INFECTED EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH RANDOM PERTURBATION AND VARYING POPULATION SIZE

In this paper, we study a type of susceptible-exposed-infected (SEI) epidemic model with varying population size and introduce the random perturbation of the constant contact rate into the SEI epidemic model due to the universal existence of fluctuations. Under some moderate conditions, the density of the exposed and the infected individuals exponentially approaches zero almost surely are derived. Furthermore, the stochastic SEI epidemic model admits a stationary distribution around the endemic equilibrium, and the solution is ergodic. Some numerical simulations are carried out to demonstrate the efficiency of the main results.     

具有急慢性阶段的MSIS流行病模型阈值和稳定性结果

系统研究了具有急性和慢性两个阶段的MSIS流行病模型.由两节构成,第1节建立和研究了具有急慢性阶段的MSIS流行病模型;第2节在第1节的基础上建立和研究了具有慢性病病程的MSIS流行病模型.第1节的模型是四个常微分方程构成的方程组.第2节的模型既含有常微分方程,又含有偏微分方程.运用微分方程和积分方程中的理论和方法,得到了这两个模型再生数R0的表达式.证明了当R0<1时,无病平衡态是全局渐近稳定性,给出了各模型地方病平衡态的存在性和稳定性条件.     

Global exponential convergence of an epidemic model with time-varying delays

This paper is concerned with an epidemic model with time-varying delays which is defined on the nonnegative function space. Under proper conditions, some sufficient conditions are established to ensure that all solutions of the model converge exponentially to zero, which are new and complement of previously known results.     

Optimal control of the genital herpes epidemic

A spatial stochastic model to study the optimal control of the epidemic is introduced. The equilibrium states of the epidemic model are found. The stability and instability in linear approximation of this model are investigated. The optimal control of the unstable equilibrium states is studied. The control functions are obtained from the conditions that ensure the optimal stabilization of these states. Graphical and numerical simulation of the obtained results are presented.     

具有急慢性阶段的SIS流行病模型的稳定性

本文系统研究了具有急性和慢性两个阶段的SIS流行病模型.由两节构成,第一节建立和研究了具有急性和慢性两个阶段的SIS流行病模型,该模型是由三个常微分方程构成的方程组;第二节在第一节的基础上建立和研究了具有慢性病病程的SIS流行病模型;该模型既含有常微分方程,又含有偏微分方程.假设所研究的国家或地区的总人口N(t)服从增长规律: N'(t)=A—μN(t),运用微分方程和积分方程中的理论和方法,得到了这两个模型再生数R0的表达式．证明了无病平衡态的全局渐近稳定性,给出了两模型地方病平衡态的存在性和稳定性条件．     

一类具有接种疫苗和再次感染的传染病模型分析

建立和研究了具有接种疫苗和再次感染的SEIRV传染病模型.给出了基本再生数的表达式,得到了模型存在后向分支的条件.     

具有常数迁入率和非线性传染率βI~pS~q的SI模型分析

对一种具有种群动力和非线性传染率的传染病模型进行了研究,建立了具有常数迁入率和非线性传染率βI~pS~q的SI模型.与以往的具有非线性传染率的传染病模型相比,这种模型引入了种群动力,也就是种群的总数不再为常数,因此,该类模型更精确地描述了传染病传播的规律.还讨论了模型的正不变集,运用微分方程稳定性理论分析了模型平衡点的存在性及稳定性,得出了疾病消除平衡点和地方病平衡点的全局渐进稳定的充分条件.进一步的,得出了在某些参数范围内会出现Hopf分支现象,并对上述模型进行了生物学讨论.     

Stability analysis of an epidemic model with diffusion and stochastic perturbation

In this paper, we investigate the stability of an epidemic model with diffusion and stochastic perturbation. We first show both the local and global stability of the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic epidemic model by analyzing corresponding characteristic equation and Lyapunov function. Second, for the corresponding reaction–diffusion epidemic model, we present the conditions of the globally asymptotical stability of the endemic equilibrium. And we carry out the analytical study for the stochastic model in details and find out the conditions for asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium in the mean sense. Furthermore, we perform a series of numerical simulations to illustrate our mathematical findings.     

Dynamics of a discretized SIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination and time delay

We derive a discretized SIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination and time delay from the original continuous model. The sufficient conditions for global attractivity of an infection-free periodic solution and permanence of our model are obtained. Improving discretization, our results are corresponding to those in the original continuous model.     

Dynamics of a discretized SIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination and time delay

We derive a discretized SIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination and time delay from the original continuous model. The sufficient conditions for global attractivity of an infection-free periodic solution and permanence of our model are obtained. Improving discretization, our results are corresponding to those in the original continuous model.     

具有常数输入的SEIR模型的稳定性分析

讨论了易感者类和潜伏者类均为常数输入,潜伏期、染病期和恢复期均具有传染力,且传染率为一般传染率的SEIR传染病模型.利用Hurwitz判据证明了地方病平衡点的局部渐近稳定性,进一步利用复合矩阵理论得到了地方病平衡点全局渐近稳定的充分条件.     

Asymptotic stability of a two-group stochastic SEIR model with infinite delays

A two-group stochastic SEIR epidemic model with infinite delays is proposed and investigated. Sufficient conditions for asymptotic stability are established. Some simulation figures are introduced to support the results.     

一类具有标准发生率的SIS传染病模型的全局稳定性

研究一类具有标准发生率的SIS传染病模型.应用微分方程定性理论,分别给出了保证该系统地方病平衡点、无病平衡点和总人口消亡平衡点全局渐近稳定的充分条件.     

A SIRS epidemic model with infection-age dependence

Based on J. Mena-Lorca and H.W. Hethcote's epidemic model, a SIRS epidemic model with infection-age-dependent infectivity and general nonlinear contact rate is formulated. Under general conditions, the unique existence of its global positive solutions is obtained. Moreover, under more general assumptions than the existing, the existence and asymptotical stability of its equilibria are discussed. In the end, the condition on the stability of endemic equilibrium is verified by a special model.     

Two profitless delays for an SEIRS epidemic disease model with vertical transmission and pulse vaccination

Since the investigation of impulsive delay differential equations is beginning, the literature on delay epidemic models with pulse vaccination is not extensive. In this paper, we propose a new SEIRS epidemic disease model with two profitless delays and vertical transmission, and analyze the dynamics behaviors of the model under pulse vaccination. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain a ‘infection-free’ periodic solution, further, show that the ‘infection-free’ periodic solution is globally attractive when some parameters of the model are under appropriate conditions. Using a new modeling method, we obtain sufficient condition for the permanence of the epidemic model with pulse vaccination. We show that time delays, pulse vaccination and vertical transmission can bring different effects on the dynamics behaviors of the model by numerical analysis. Our results also show the delays are “profitless”. In this paper, the main feature is to introduce two discrete time delays, vertical transmission and impulse into SEIRS epidemic model and to give pulse vaccination strategies.