A decision tool for optimal irrigated crop planning and water resources sustainability

In the present study, the conjunctive use policies of surface and ground water resources are developed for minimizing water shortage in an irrigation district subject to constraints on groundwater withdrawals and crop planning capacities. An integrated soil water balance algorithm is coupled to a non-linear optimization model in order to carry out water allocation planning in complex deficit agricultural water resources systems based on an economic efficiency criterion. Various options of conjunctive use water resources along with current and proposed cropping patterns have been explored by Koohdasht Irrigation District (KID), a semi-arid region in I.R. Iran. The analysis provides various scenarios, which can help managers in decision-making for the optimum allocation plans of water resources within the irrigation area. The results reveal that the proposed model, as a decision tool for optimal irrigated crop planning and water resources sustainability, may be used for maximizing the overall net benefits and global water productivity of an irrigation district considering an allowable annual recharge of groundwater. Findings indicate the importance of the conjunctive water management modeling, which can be easily implemented and would enhance the overall benefits from cropping activities in the study area.     

Inexact de Novo programming for water resources systems planning

This study presents an interval de Novo programming (IDNP) approach for the design of optimal water-resources-management systems under uncertainty. The model is derived by incorporating the existing interval programming and de Novo programming, allowing uncertainties represented as intervals within the optimization framework. The developed IDNP approach has the advantages in constructing optimal system design via an ideal system by introducing the flexibility toward the available resources in the system constraints. A simple numerical example is introduced to illustrate the IDNP approach. The IDNP is then applied to design an inexact optimal system with budget limit instead of finding the optimum in a given system with fixed resources in a water resources planning case. The results demonstrate that the developed method efficiently produces stable solutions under different objectives. Optimal supplies of good-quality water are obtained in considering different revenue targets of municipal–industrial–agricultural competition under a given budget.     

A multi-objective optimization approach for invasive species control

In this paper, we formulate and analyse a long-term multi-objective dynamic model for controlling invasive species. This optimization framework is then applied to the case of buffelgrass control in the Arizona desert. The proposed model simultaneously optimizes three objectives corresponding to three different valued and threatened resources including saguaros (a native cactus species), buildings and vegetation. The model is used to decide the optimal allocation of labour to these resources to control the population of the species in a multi-period planning horizon. The computational method to solve this problem is based on multi-objective integer programming.     

Simulation and optimization for crop water allocation based on crop water production functions and climate factor under uncertainty

In this paper, the uncertainty methods of interval and functional interval are introduced in the research of the uncertainty of crop water production function itself and optimal allocation of water resources in the irrigation area. The crop water production functions in the whole growth period under uncertainty and the optimal allocation of water resources model in the irrigation area under uncertainty are established, and the meteorological factor is considered in the model. It can promote the practical application of the uncertain methods, reflect the complexity and uncertainty of the actual situation, and provide more reliable scientific basis for using water resources economically, fully improving irrigation efficiency, and keeping the sustainable development of the irrigated area. This approach has important value on theoretical and practical for the optimal irrigation schedule, and has very broad prospects for research and development to other related agriculture water management.     

Stochastic multi-site supply chain planning in textile and apparel industry under demand and price uncertainties with risk aversion

A multi-product, multi-period, multi-site supply chain production and transportation planning problem, in the textile and apparel industry, under demand and price uncertainties is considered in this paper. The problem is formulated using a two-stage stochastic programming model taking into account the production amount, the inventory and backorder levels as well as the amounts of products to be transported between the different plants and customers in each period. Risk management is addressed by incorporating a risk measure into the stochastic programming model as a second objective function, which leads to a multi-objective optimization model. The objectives aim to simultaneously maximize the expected net profit and minimize the financial risk measured. Two risk measures are compared: the conditional-value-at-risk and the downside risk. As the considered objective functions conflict with each other’s, the problem solution is a front of Pareto optimal robust alternatives, which represents the trade-off among the different objective functions. A case study using real data from textile and apparel industry in Tunisia is presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model and the robustness of the obtained solutions.     

An inexact rough-interval fuzzy linear programming method for generating conjunctive water-allocation strategies to agricultural irrigation systems

An inexact rough-interval fuzzy linear programming (IRFLP) method is developed for agricultural irrigation systems to generate conjunctive water allocation strategies. The concept of “rough interval” is introduced in the modeling framework to represent dual-uncertain parameters. After the modeling formulation, an agricultural water allocation management system is provided to demonstrate the applicability of the developed method. The results show that reasonable solutions and allocation strategies are obtained. Based on the analysis of alternatives obtained from different scenarios, the significant impact of dual uncertainties existing in the system is specified. Comparisons between the results from IRFLP and interval-valued fuzzy linear programming are also conducted. The obtained rough-interval solutions correspond to the management strategies under both normal and special system conditions, and thus more conveniences would be provided for decision makers. Compared to the previous modeling efforts, the proposed IRFLP shows uniqueness in addressing the interaction between dual intervals of highly uncertain parameters, as well as their joint impact on the system.     

Basin-wide cooperative water resources allocation

The Cooperative Water Allocation Model (CWAM) is designed within a general mathematical programming framework for modeling equitable and efficient water allocation among competing users at the basin level and applied to a large-scale water allocation problem in the South Saskatchewan River Basin located in southern Alberta, Canada. This comprehensive model consists of two main steps: initial water rights allocation and subsequent water and net benefits reallocation. Two mathematical programming approaches, called the priority-based maximal multiperiod network flow (PMMNF) method and the lexicographic minimax water shortage ratios (LMWSR) technique, are developed for use in the first step. Cooperative game theoretic approaches are utilized to investigate how the net benefits can be fairly reallocated to achieve optimal economic reallocation of water resources in the second step. The application of this methodology to the South Saskatchewan River Basin shows that CWAM can be utilized as a tool for promoting the understanding and cooperation of water users to achieve maximum welfare in a river basin and minimize the potential damage caused by water shortages, through water rights allocation, and water and net benefit transfers among water users under a regulated water market or administrative allocation mechanism.     

Compromise allocation in multivariate stratified sample surveys under two stage randomized response model

A general model for the randomized response (RR) method was introduced by Warner (J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 60:63–69, 1965) when a single-sensitive question is under study. However, since social surveys are often based on questionnaires containing more than one sensitive question, the analysis of multiple RR data is of considerable interest. In multivariate stratified surveys with multiple RR data the choice of optimum sample sizes from various strata may be viewed as a multiobjective nonlinear programming problem. The allocation thus obtained may be called a “compromise allocation” in sampling literature. This paper deals with the two-stage stratified Warner’s RR model applied to multiple sensitive questions. The problems of obtaining compromise allocations are formulated as multi-objective integer non linear programming problems with linear and quadratic cost functions as two separate problems. The solution to the formulated problems are achieved through goal programming technique. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the computational details.     

A dual-uncertainty-based chance-constrained model for municipal solid waste management

A double-sided dual-uncertainty-based chance-constrained programming (DDCCP) model was developed for supporting municipal solid waste management under uncertainty. The model was capable of tackling left-hand- and right-hand-side variables in constraints where those variables were affected by dual uncertainties (i.e. e.g. both fuzziness and randomness); and they were expressed as fuzzy random variables (FRVs). In this study, DDCCP model were formulated and solved based on stochastic and fuzzy chance-constrained programming techniques, leading to optimal solutions under different levels of constraints violation and satisfaction reliabilities. A long-term solid waste management problem was used to demonstrate the feasibility and applicability of DDCCP model. The obtained results indicated that DDCCP was effective in handling constraints with FRVs through satisfying them at a series of allowable levels, generating various solutions that facilitated evaluation of trade-offs between system economy and reliability. The proposed model could help decision makers establish cost-effective waste-flow allocation patterns under complex uncertainties, and gain in-depth insights into the municipal solid waste management system.     

Applying stochastic goal programming: A case study on water use planning

A decision support model to help public water agencies allocate surface water among farmers and authorize the use of groundwater for irrigation (especially in Mediterranean dry regions) is developed. This is a stochastic goal programming approach with two goals, the first concerning farm management while the other concerns environmental impact. Targets for both goals are established by the agency. This model yields three reduction factors to decide the different reductions in available surface water, standard groundwater and complementary groundwater that the agency should grant/authorize for irrigation, this depending on if it is a dry or wet year. In drought periods, the model recommends using more groundwater (in percentage) than in wet periods. A case study using year-to-year statistical information on available water over the period 1941–2005 is developed through numerical tables. A step-by-step computational process is presented in detail.     

城市公共设施事故应急资源配置优化模型

城市公共设施事故发生时,迅速调动应急资源,尽早展开救援,对促进社会发展和保持社会稳定具有重要意义。本文根据城市公共设施突发事故中资源配置问题的特点,运用多目标规划的思想,建立了应急资源配置的多目标规划模型,并通过实验模拟对模型进行了求解验证。此模型可以成功实现城市公共设施事故应急资源的有效配置,为相关部门的决策提供理论指导。     

Uncertainty and value of information when allocating resources within and between healthcare programmes

A two-stage stochastic mathematical programming formulation has been developed to optimally allocate resources within and between healthcare programmes when there is an exogenous budget and the parameters of the healthcare models are variable and uncertain. This formulation solves the optimal resource allocation problem and calculates the expected value of acquiring additional information to resolve the uncertainties within the allocation. It is shown that the proposed formulation has several advantages over the chance constrained and robust mathematical programming methods.     

An interval-parameter fuzzy two-stage stochastic program for water resources management under uncertainty

This study presents an interval-parameter fuzzy two-stage stochastic programming (IFTSP) method for the planning of water-resources-management systems under uncertainty. The model is derived by incorporating the concepts of interval-parameter and fuzzy programming techniques within a two-stage stochastic optimization framework. The approach has two major advantages in comparison to other optimization techniques. Firstly, the IFTSP method can incorporate pre-defined water policies directly into its optimization process and, secondly, it can readily integrate inherent system uncertainties expressed not only as possibility and probability distributions but also as discrete intervals directly into its solution procedure. The IFTSP process is applied to an earlier case study of regional water resources management and it is demonstrated how the method efficiently produces stable solutions together with different risk levels of violating pre-established allocation criteria. In addition, a variety of decision alternatives are generated under different combinations of water shortage.     

Multi-objective possibilistic model for portfolio selection with transaction cost

In this paper, we introduce the possibilistic mean value and variance of continuous distribution, rather than probability distributions. We propose a multi-objective Portfolio based model and added another entropy objective function to generate a well diversified asset portfolio within optimal asset allocation. For quantifying any potential return and risk, portfolio liquidity is taken into account and a multi-objective non-linear programming model for portfolio rebalancing with transaction cost is proposed. The models are illustrated with numerical examples.     

Hierarchical multi-objective decision systems for general resource allocation problems

We consider optimization methods for hierarchical power-decentralized systems composed of a coordinating central system and plural semi-autonomous local systems in the lower level, each of which possesses a decision making unit. Such a decentralized system where both central and local systems possess their own objective function and decision variables is a multi-objective system. The central system allocates resources so as to optimize its own objective, while the local systems optimize their own objectives using the given resources. The lower level composes a multi-objective programming problem, where local decision makers minimize a vector objective function in cooperation. Thus, the lower level generates a set of noninferior solutions, parametric with respect to the given resources. The central decision maker, then, parametric with respect to the given resources. The central decision maker, then, chooses an optimal resource allocation and the best corresponding noninferior solution from among a set of resource-parametric noninferior solutions. A computational method is obtained based on parametric nonlinear mathematical programming using directional derivatives. This paper is concerned with a combined theory for the multi-objective decision problem and the general resource allocation problem.The authors are indebted to Professor G. Leitmann for his valuable comments and suggestions.     

Choosing best alliance partners and allocating optimal alliance resources using the fuzzy multi-objective dummy programming model

Synergy effects are the motives to enter into strategic alliances; however due to lack of adequate preparation or planning, these alliances often fail. It is of no doubt that a successful strategic alliance depends on choosing the correct alliance partners and appropriate resource allocation. In this paper, the fuzzy multi-objective dummy programming model is proposed to overcome the above-mentioned problems. Two types of strategic alliances, joint ventures and mergers and acquisitions (M&A), are demonstrated to choose the best alliance partners and allocate the optimal alliance resources in a numerical example. Based on the results, our method can provide the optimal alliance cluster and satisfaction in strategic alliances.     

影子价格及其在资源配置中的应用研究

为了应用影子价格实现资源在全社会的最优配置,本文通过线性规划的对偶理论和非线性优化问题的Kuhn-Tucker条件揭示了影子价格的本质,在资源配置优化问题中线性规划模型中的影子价格就是其对偶问题的最优解,非线性规划模型中的影子价格就是与最优解相对应的拉格朗日乘数。根据松紧定理解释了资源影子价格与资源限量之间的关系,还对线性规划模型与非线性规划模型中影子价格的不同表现进行了分析。最后阐明了影子价格在资源配置中的应用。     

京津冀协同应对自然灾害应急资源配置优化研究

京津冀协同发展已成为国家战略。京津冀区县毗邻,在灾害分布上具有临近相似性和区域差异性的特点。本文从整合京津冀地区应急资源、协同应对突发事件的角度出发,提出了京津冀地区统筹规划下区域协同应对自然灾害的新模式。本文以京津冀地区应急物资保障的经济性和物资分配的公平性为目标,建立了多阶段、多灾种的京津冀协同应对自然灾害应急资源配置的多目标规划模型,在此基础上设计了一种多目标免疫算法。结合京津冀地区自然灾害发生的情景概率,验证了模型的科学性与算法的有效性,为京津冀地区乃至世界城市群协同应对应急资源的优化配置提供理论指导与科学的决策。     

Reliable design of a logistics network under uncertainty: A fuzzy possibilistic-queuing model

This paper proposes a bi-objective model for designing a reliable network of bi-directional facilities in logistics network under uncertainties. For this purpose, the model utilizes an effective reliability approach to find a robust logistics network design. The objectives of the model are to minimize the total costs and the expected transportation costs after failures of bi-directional facilities of the logistics network. To solve the model, a new solution approach is proposed by combining queuing theory, fuzzy possibilistic programming and fuzzy multi-objective programming. Finally, the computational experiments are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model and solution approach.     

A multi-level Taguchi-factorial two-stage stochastic programming approach for characterization of parameter uncertainties and their interactions: An application to water resources management

This paper presents a multi-level Taguchi-factorial two-stage stochastic programming (MTTSP) approach for supporting water resources management under parameter uncertainties and their interactions. MTTSP is capable of performing uncertainty analysis, policy analysis, factor screening, and interaction detection in a comprehensive and systematic way. A water resources management problem is used to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach. The results indicate that interval solutions can be generated for the objective function and decision variables, and a variety of decision alternatives can be obtained under different policy scenarios. The experimental data obtained from the Taguchi’s orthogonal array design are helpful in identifying the significant factors affecting the total net benefit. Then the findings from the multi-level factorial experiment reveal the latent interactions among those important factors and their curvature effects on the model response. Such a sequential strategy of experimental designs is useful in analyzing the interactions for a large number of factors in a computationally efficient manner.