A Partial Empirical Likelihood Based Score Test Under a Semiparametric Finite Mixture Model

We propose a score statistic to test the null hypothesis that the two-component density functions are equal under a semiparametric finite mixture model. The proposed score test is based on a partial empirical likelihood function under an I-sample semiparametric model. The proposed score statistic has an asymptotic chi-squared distribution under the null hypothesis and an asymptotic noncentral chi-squared distribution under local alternatives to the null hypothesis. Moreover, we show that the proposed score test is asymptotically equivalent to a partial empirical likelihood ratio test and a Wald test. We present some results on a simulation study.     

A test for elliptical symmetry

This paper presents a statistic for testing the hypothesis of elliptical symmetry. The statistic also provides a specialized test of multivariate normality. We obtain the asymptotic distribution of this statistic under the null hypothesis of multivariate normality, and give a bootstrapping procedure for approximating the null distribution of the statistic under an arbitrary elliptically symmetric distribution. We present simulation results to examine the accuracy of the asymptotic distribution and the performance of the bootstrapping procedure. Finally, for selected alternatives, we compare the power of our test statistic with that of recently proposed tests for elliptical symmetry given by Manzotti et al. [A statistic for testing the null hypothesis of elliptical symmetry, J. Multivariate Anal. 81 (2002) 274-285] and Schott [Testing for elliptical symmetry in covariance-matrix-based analyses, Statist. Probab. Lett. 60 (2002) 395-404], and with that of the well known tests for multivariate normality of Mardia [Measures of multivariate skewness and kurtosis with applications, Biometrika 57 (1970) 519-530] and Baringhaus and Henze [A consistent test for multivariate normality based on the empirical characteristic function, Metrika 35 (1988) 339-348].     

Smoothed nonparametric tests and approximations of <Emphasis Type="Italic">p</Emphasis>-values

We propose new smoothed sign and Wilcoxon’s signed rank tests that are based on kernel estimators of the underlying distribution function of the data. We discuss the approximations of the p-values and asymptotic properties of these tests. The new smoothed tests are equivalent to the ordinary sign and Wilcoxon’s tests in the sense of Pitman’s asymptotic relative efficiency, and the differences between the ordinary and new tests converge to zero in probability. Under the null hypothesis, the main terms of the asymptotic expectations and variances of the tests do not depend on the underlying distribution. Although the smoothed tests are not distribution-free, making use of the specific kernel enables us to obtain the Edgeworth expansions, being free of the underlying distribution.     

On consistent testing for serial correlation of unknown form in vector time series models

Multivariate autoregressive models with exogenous variables (VARX) are often used in econometric applications. Many properties of the basic statistics for this class of models rely on the assumption of independent errors. Using results of Hong (Econometrica 64 (1996) 837), we propose a new test statistic for checking the hypothesis of non-correlation or independence in the Gaussian case. The test statistic is obtained by comparing the spectral density of the errors under the null hypothesis of independence with a kernel-based spectral density estimator. The asymptotic distribution of the statistic is derived under the null hypothesis. This test generalizes the portmanteau test of Hosking (J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 75 (1980) 602). The consistency of the test is established for a general class of static regression models with autocorrelated errors. Its asymptotic slope is derived and the asymptotic relative efficiency within the class of possible kernels is also investigated. Finally, the level and power of the resulting tests are also studied by simulation.     

HAC estimation and strong linearity testing in weak ARMA models

In the framework of ARMA models, we consider testing the reliability of the standard asymptotic covariance matrix (ACM) of the least-squares estimator. The standard formula for this ACM is derived under the assumption that the errors are independent and identically distributed, and is in general invalid when the errors are only uncorrelated. The test statistic is based on the difference between a conventional estimator of the ACM of the least-squares estimator of the ARMA coefficients and its robust HAC-type version. The asymptotic distribution of the HAC estimator is established under the null hypothesis of independence, and under a large class of alternatives. The asymptotic distribution of the proposed statistic is shown to be a standard χ² under the null, and a noncentral χ² under the alternatives. The choice of the HAC estimator is discussed through asymptotic power comparisons. The finite sample properties of the test are analyzed via Monte Carlo simulation.     

Tests of fit for the Rayleigh distribution based on the empirical Laplace transform

In this paper a class of goodness-of-fit tests for the Rayleigh distribution is proposed. The tests are based on a weighted integral involving the empirical Laplace transform. The consistency of the tests as well as their asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis are investigated. As the decay of the weight function tends to infinity the test statistics approach limit values. In a particular case the resulting limit statistic is related to the first nonzero component of Neyman’s smooth test for this distribution. The new tests are compared with other omnibus tests for the Rayleigh distribution.     

Asymptotic properties of some goodness-of-fit tests based on the L 1-norm

Some goodness-of-fit tests based on the L ₁-norm are considered. The asymptotic distribution of each statistic under the null hypothesis is the distribution of the L ₁-norm of the standard Wiener process on [0,1]. The distribution function, the density function and a table of some percentage points of the distribution are given. A result for the asymptotic tail probability of the L ₁-norm of a Gaussian process is also obtained. The result is useful for giving the approximate Bahadur efficiency of the test statistics whose asymptotic distributions are represented as the L ₁-norms of Gaussian processes.     

Testing the equality of error distributions from k independent GARCH models

In this paper we study the problem of testing the null hypothesis that errors from $k$ independent parametrically specified generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models have the same distribution versus a general alternative. First we establish the asymptotic validity of a class of linear test statistics derived from the $k$ residual-based empirical distribution functions. A distinctive feature is that the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics involves terms depending on the distributions of errors and the parameters of the models, and weight functions providing the flexibility to choose scores for investigating power performance. A Monte Carlo study assesses the asymptotic performance in terms of empirical size and power of the three-sample test based on the Wilcoxon and Van der Waerden score generating functions in finite samples. The results demonstrate that the two proposed tests have overall reasonable size and their power is particularly high when the assumption of Gaussian errors is violated. As an illustrative example, the tests are applied to daily individual stock returns of the New York Stock Exchange data.     

Asymptotic expansion of the null distribution of test statistic for linear hypothesis in nonnormal linear model

This paper is concerned with the null distribution of test statistic T for testing a linear hypothesis in a linear model without assuming normal errors. The test statistic includes typical ANOVA test statistics. It is known that the null distribution of T converges to χ² when the sample size n is large under an adequate condition of the design matrix. We extend this result by obtaining an asymptotic expansion under general condition. Next, asymptotic expansions of one- and two-way test statistics are obtained by using this general one. Numerical accuracies are studied for some approximations of percent points and actual test sizes of T for two-way ANOVA test case based on the limiting distribution and an asymptotic expansion.     

The local power of the gradient test

The asymptotic expansion of the distribution of the gradient test statistic is derived for a composite hypothesis under a sequence of Pitman alternative hypotheses converging to the null hypothesis at rate n ^−1/2, n being the sample size. Comparisons of the local powers of the gradient, likelihood ratio, Wald and score tests reveal no uniform superiority property. The power performance of all four criteria in one-parameter exponential family is examined.     

Inference for earthquake models: A self-correcting model

Questions of asymptotic inference are discussed for a point process model in which the conditional intensity function increases monotonically between events and drops by determined (nonrandom) amounts after each event. Parameter estimates are shown to be consistent and, except under the null hypothesis of a Poisson process, normally distributed. Under the null hypothesis, however, the Hessian matrix is not asymptotically constant, and the limiting distribution of the likelihood ratio statistics is not χ², but has a form related to that of the Cramer-von Mises ω² statistic for the test of goodness of fit.     

On nonparametric tests for symmetry

Summary This paper is concerned with an extension of the problem of testing symmetry about zero of a distribution function. In order to obtain the asymptotic null distribution of test statistics for the problem, a limit theorem is proved, which indeed plays an essential role in the asymptotic theory of testing, problem for symmetry. The Institute of Statistical Mathematics     

Symmetrized approximate score rank tests for the two-sample case

Rank test statistics for the two-sample problem are based on the sum of the rank scores from either sample. However, a critical difference can occur when approximate scores are used since the sum of the rank scores from sample 1 is not equal to minus the sum of the rank scores from sample 2. By centering and scaling as described in Hajek and Sidak (1967, Theory of Rank Tests, Academic Press, New York) for the uncensored data case the statistics computed from each sample become identical. However such symmetrized approximate scores rank statistics have not been proposed in the censored data case. We propose a statistic that treats the two approximate scores rank statistics in a symmetric manner. Under equal censoring distributions the symmetric rank tests are efficient when the score function corresponds to the underlying model distribution. For unequal censoring distributions we derive a useable expression for the asymptotic variance of our symmetric rank statistics.     

The likelihood ratio tests for the dimensionality of regression coefficients

In this paper we give a unified derivation of the likelihood ratio (LR) statistics for testing the hypothesis on the dimensionality of regression coefficients under a usual MANOVA model. We also derive the LR statistics under a general MANOVA model and study their asymptotic null and nonnull distributions. Further it is shown that the test statistic used by Bartlett [4] for testing the hypothesis that the last p?k canonical correlations are all zero is the LR statistic.     

A test of uniformity on shape spaces

A test of uniformity on the shape space Σ_m^k is presented, together with modifications of the test statistic which bring its null distribution close to the large-sample asymptotic distribution. The asymptotic distribution under suitable local alternatives to uniformity is given. A family of distributions on Σ_m^k is proposed, which is suitable for modelling shapes given by landmarks which are almost collinear.     

Bivariate Sign Tests Based on the Sup, L 1 and L 2 Norms

The bivariate location problem is considered. The sup, L ₁ and L ₂ norms are used to construct bivariate sign tests from the univariate sign statistics computed on the projected observations on all lines passing through the origin. The tests so obtained are affine-invariant and distribution-free under the null hypothesis. The sup-norm gives rise to Hodges' test. A class of tests derived from the L ₂-norm, with Blumen's test as a member, is seen to be related to a class proposed by Oja and Nyblom (1989, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 84, 249-259). The L ₁-norm gives rise to a new test. Its asymptotic null distribution is seen to be the same as that of the L ₁-norm of a certain normal process related to the standard Wiener process. An explicit expression of its cumulative distribution function is given. A simulation study will examine the merits of the three approaches.     

Permutation Tests for Reflected Symmetry

The paper presents a permutation procedure for testing reflected (or diagonal) symmetry of the distribution of a multivariate variable. The test statistics are based in empirical characteristic functions. The resulting permutation tests are strictly distribution free under the null hypothesis that the underlying variables are symmetrically distributed about a center. Furthermore, the permutation tests are strictly valid if the symmetric center is known and are asymptotic valid if the center is an unknown point. The equivalence, in the large sample sense, between the tests and their permutation counterparts are established. The power behavior of the tests and their permutation counterparts under local alternative are investigated. Some simulations with small sample sizes (?20) are conducted to demonstrate how the permutation tests works.     

Tests for sphericity under correlated multivariate regression equations model

Summary In this paper, the authors investigated the asymptotic distribution theory connected with the likelihood ratio test (LRT)-like test statistic for sphericity under correlated multivariate regression equations (CMRE) model. An asymptotic expression is obtained for the null distribution of the above test statistic. Asymptotic nonnull distribution of the above test statistic under fixed alternatives is also derived. The above results are derived when the underlying distribution is multivariate normal. It was also shown that the above results are valid even when the joint distribution of the observations is elliptically symmetric. The authors also derived the asymptotic null distribution of the LRT-like test statistic when the observations on each variable are elliptically symmetric. This work was supported by the Air Force Office of Scientific Research under Contract F49620-82-K-0001. Reproduction in whole or in part is permitted for any purpose of the United States Government.     

Asymptotic distribution of rank statistics under dependencies with multivariate application

By modifying the method of projection, the results of Hajek and Huskova are extended to show the asymptotic normality of signed and linear rank statistics under general alternatives for dependent random variables that can be expressed as independent vectors of fixed equal length. The score function is twice differentiable; the regression constants are arbitrary; and the distribution functions are continuous, but arbitrary. As an application, a rank transform statistic is proposed for the one-sample multivariate location model. The ranks of the absolute values of the observations are calculated without regard to component membership, and the scored ranks are substituted in place of the observed values. The limiting distribution of the proposed test statistic is shown to be χ² divided by the degrees of freedom under the null hypothesis, and noncentral χ² divided by the degrees of freedom under the sequence of Pitman alternatives.     

股票价格序列中随机跳跃存在性的一种检验方法

提出股票价格序列跳跃的一种检验方法.假设价格具有连续样本路径,建立一个关于股票价格样本观察的统计量,利用中心极限定理求得该统计量的极限分布为正态分布,这样,当该统计量超出基于极限分布算出的临界水平时,可以拒绝原假设,认为样本中存在跳跃.用此方法来应用于中国股市沪深股票指数,得到了中国股市存在随机跳跃的直接证据.提出的跳跃检验方法无需对连续部分的波动率形式作过多的假设,克服了波动率模型对检验准确性的影响.结果对金融资产的定价、投资和风险管理都具有积极的意义.