Stackelberg solutions for fuzzy random two-level linear programming through probability maximization with possibility

This paper considers Stackelberg solutions for decision making problems in hierarchical organizations under fuzzy random environments. Taking into account vagueness of judgments of decision makers, fuzzy goals are introduced into the formulated fuzzy random two-level linear programming problems. On the basis of the possibility and necessity measures that each objective function fulfills the corresponding fuzzy goal, together with the introduction of probability maximization criterion in stochastic programming, we propose new two-level fuzzy random decision making models which maximize the probabilities that the degrees of possibility and necessity are greater than or equal to certain values. Through the proposed models, it is shown that the original two-level linear programming problems with fuzzy random variables can be transformed into deterministic two-level linear fractional programming problems. For the transformed problems, extended concepts of Stackelberg solutions are defined and computational methods are also presented. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the proposed methods.     

An interval approach based on expectation optimization for fuzzy random bilevel linear programming problems

This paper considers a class of bilevel linear programming problems in which the coefficients of both objective functions are fuzzy random variables. The main idea of this paper is to introduce the Pareto optimal solution in a multi-objective bilevel programming problem as a solution for a fuzzy random bilevel programming problem. To this end, a stochastic interval bilevel linear programming problem is first introduced in terms of α-cuts of fuzzy random variables. On the basis of an order relation of interval numbers and the expectation optimization model, the stochastic interval bilevel linear programming problem can be transformed into a multi-objective bilevel programming problem which is solved by means of weighted linear combination technique. In order to compare different optimal solutions depending on different cuts, two criterions are given to provide the preferable optimal solutions for the upper and lower level decision makers respectively. Finally, a production planning problem is given to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed approach.     

A portfolio selection model using fuzzy returns

We study a static portfolio selection problem, in which future returns of securities are given as fuzzy sets. In contrast to traditional analysis, we assume that investment decisions are not based on statistical expectation values, but rather on maximal and minimal potential returns resulting from the so-called α-cuts of these fuzzy sets. By aggregating over all α-cuts and assigning weights for both best and worst possible cases we get a new objective function to derive an optimal portfolio. Allowing for short sales and modelling α-cuts in ellipsoidal shape, we obtain the optimal portfolio as the unique solution of a simple optimization problem. Since our model does not include any stochastic assumptions, we present a procedure, which turns the data of observable returns as well as experts’ expectations into fuzzy sets in order to quantify the potential future returns and the investment risk.     

Strong Formulations of Robust Mixed 0–1 Programming

We introduce strong formulations for robust mixed 0–1 programming with uncertain objective coefficients. We focus on a polytopic uncertainty set described by a ``budget constraint' for allowed uncertainty in the objective coefficients. We show that for a robust 0–1 problem, there is an α–tight linear programming formulation with size polynomial in the size of an α–tight linear programming formulation for the nominal 0–1 problem. We give extensions to robust mixed 0–1 programming and present computational experiments with the proposed formulations.     

Probability maximization models for portfolio selection under ambiguity

This paper considers several probability maximization models for multi-scenario portfolio selection problems in the case that future returns in possible scenarios are multi-dimensional random variables. In order to consider occurrence probabilities and decision makers’ predictions with respect to all scenarios, a portfolio selection problem setting a weight with flexibility to each scenario is proposed. Furthermore, by introducing aspiration levels to occurrence probabilities or future target profit and maximizing the minimum aspiration level, a robust portfolio selection problem is considered. Since these problems are formulated as stochastic programming problems due to the inclusion of random variables, they are transformed into deterministic equivalent problems introducing chance constraints based on the stochastic programming approach. Then, using a relation between the variance and absolute deviation of random variables, our proposed models are transformed into linear programming problems and efficient solution methods are developed to obtain the global optimal solution. Furthermore, a numerical example of a portfolio selection problem is provided to compare our proposed models with the basic model.     

Acceptable optimality in linear fractional programming with fuzzy coefficients

Based on the specified grades of satisfaction, we propose two new concepts of (α, β)-acceptable optimal solution and (α, β)-acceptable optimal value of a fuzzy linear fractional programming problem with fuzzy coefficients, and develop a method to compute them. An example is provided to demonstrate the method.     

Solving the sum-of-ratios problem by a stochastic search algorithm

In spite of the recent progress in fractional programming, the sum-of-ratios problem remains untoward. Freund and Jarre proved that this is an NP-complete problem. Most methods overcome the difficulty using the deterministic type of algorithms, particularly, the branch-and-bound method. In this paper, we propose a new approach by applying the stochastic search algorithm introduced by Birbil, Fang and Sheu to a transformed image space. The algorithm then computes and moves sample particles in the q − 1 dimensional image space according to randomly controlled interacting electromagnetic forces. Numerical experiments on problems up to sum of eight linear ratios with a thousand variables are reported. The results also show that solving the sum-of-ratios problem in the image space as proposed is, in general, preferable to solving it directly in the primal domain.     

随机模糊的等比例-最小方差投资组合优化研究

Markowitz的均值-方差模型在投资组合优化中得到了广泛的运用和拓展,其中多数拓展模型仅局限于对随机投资组合或模糊投资组合的研究,而忽略了实际问题同时包含了随机信息和模糊信息两个方面。本文首先定义随机模糊变量的方差用以度量投资组合的风险,提出具有阀值约束的最小方差随机模糊投资组合模型,基于随机模糊理论,将该模型转化为具有线性等式和不等式约束的凸二次规划问题。为了提高上述模型的有效性,本文以投资者期望效用最大化为压缩目标对投资组合权重进行压缩,构建等比例-最小方差混合的随机模糊投资组合模型,并求解该模型的最优解。最后,运用滚动实际数据的方法,比较上述两个模型的夏普比率以验证其有效性。     

On the cutting stock problem under stochastic demand

This paper addresses the one-dimensional cutting stock problem when demand is a random variable. The problem is formulated as a two-stage stochastic nonlinear program with recourse. The first stage decision variables are the number of objects to be cut according to a cutting pattern. The second stage decision variables are the number of holding or backordering items due to the decisions made in the first stage. The problem’s objective is to minimize the total expected cost incurred in both stages, due to waste and holding or backordering penalties. A Simplex-based method with column generation is proposed for solving a linear relaxation of the resulting optimization problem. The proposed method is evaluated by using two well-known measures of uncertainty effects in stochastic programming: the value of stochastic solution—VSS—and the expected value of perfect information—EVPI. The optimal two-stage solution is shown to be more effective than the alternative wait-and-see and expected value approaches, even under small variations in the parameters of the problem.     

Conditioning of convex piecewise linear stochastic programs

 In this paper we consider stochastic programming problems where the objective function is given as an expected value of a convex piecewise linear random function. With an optimal solution of such a problem we associate a condition number which characterizes well or ill conditioning of the problem. Using theory of Large Deviations we show that the sample size needed to calculate the optimal solution of such problem with a given probability is approximately proportional to the condition number. Received: May 2000 / Accepted: May 2002-07-16 Published online: September 5, 2002 RID="★" The research of this author was supported, in part, by grant DMS-0073770 from the National Science Foundation Key Words. stochastic programming – Monte Carlo simulation – large deviations theory – ill-conditioned problems     

Chance constrained programming models for refinery short-term crude oil scheduling problem

The main objective of this work is to put forward chance constrained mixed-integer nonlinear stochastic and fuzzy programming models for refinery short-term crude oil scheduling problem under demands uncertainty of distillation units. The scheduling problem studied has characteristics of discrete events and continuous events coexistence, multistage, multiproduct, nonlinear, uncertainty and large scale. At first, the two models are transformed into their equivalent stochastic and fuzzy mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) models by using the method of Quesada and Grossmann [I. Quesada, I E. Grossmann, Global optimization of bilinear process networks with multicomponent flows, Comput. Chem. Eng. 19 (12) (1995) 1219–1242], respectively. After that, the stochastic equivalent model is converted into its deterministic MILP model through probabilistic theory. The fuzzy equivalent model is transformed into its crisp MILP model relies on the fuzzy theory presented by Liu and Iwamura [B.D. Liu, K. Iwamura, Chance constrained programming with fuzzy parameters, Fuzzy Sets Syst. 94 (2) (1998) 227–237] for the first time in this area. Finally, the two crisp MILP models are solved in LINGO 8.0 based on scheduling time discretization. A case study which has 267 continuous variables, 68 binary variables and 320 constraints is effectively solved with the solution approaches proposed.     

On fuzzy covering properties

The purpose of this paper is to introduce properties of the notion of α-compactness for fuzzy topological spaces. Moreover, α _c-compact spaces are introduced and properties of them are also discussed for fuzzy topological spaces.      

Virtual control regularization of state constrained linear quadratic optimal control problems

A numerical method for linear quadratic optimal control problems with pure state constraints is analyzed. Using the virtual control concept introduced by Cherednichenko et al. (Inverse Probl. 24:1–21, 2008) and Krumbiegel and R?sch (Control Cybern. 37(2):369–392, 2008), the state constrained optimal control problem is embedded into a family of optimal control problems with mixed control-state constraints using a regularization parameter α>0. It is shown that the solutions of the problems with mixed control-state constraints converge to the solution of the state constrained problem in the L ² norm as α tends to zero. The regularized problems can be solved by a semi-smooth Newton method for every α>0 and thus the solution of the original state constrained problem can be approximated arbitrarily close as α approaches zero. Two numerical examples with benchmark problems are provided.     

Fuzzy profit measures for a fuzzy economic order quantity model

Changing economic conditions make the selling price and demand quantity more and more uncertain in the market. The conventional inventory models determine the selling price and order quantity for a retailer’s maximal profit with exactly known parameters. This paper develops a solution method to derive the fuzzy profit of the inventory model when the demand quantity and unit cost are fuzzy numbers. Since the parameters contained in the inventory model are fuzzy, the profit value calculated from the model should be fuzzy as well. Based on the extension principle, the fuzzy inventory problem is transformed into a pair of two-level mathematical programs to derive the upper bound and lower bound of the fuzzy profit at possibility level α. According to the duality theorem of geometric programming, the pair of two-level mathematical programs is transformed into a pair of conventional geometric programs to solve. By enumerating different α values, the upper bound and lower bound of the fuzzy profit are collected to approximate the membership function. Since the profit of the inventory problem is expressed by the membership function rather than by a crisp value, more information is provided for making decisions.     

Jump Lq-Optimal Control For Discrete-Time Markovian Systems With Stochastic Inputs

In this paper we consider the discrete-time LQ-optimal control problem for the class of linear systems with Markovian jump parameters and additive l ₂-stochastic input. The state-space of the Markov chain is assumed to be a countably infinite set. The controller has access to both the state-variable and jump-variable. It is shown that the optimal control law is characterized by a feedback term plus a term defined by the:l ₂-stochastic input and Markov chain. An application to the optimal control of a failure prone manufacturing system subject to a random demand for a single type of item is presented.     

Optimal design and sensitivity of large scale plane frames for the case of uncertainty

This paper deals with the optimal design and the robustness of large scale plane frames in dependence of their height. Using the first collapse theorem, the necessary and sufficient survival conditions of an elasto-plastic structure consist of the yield condition and the equilibrium condition. The basis for our consideration is provided by a plane n-storey frame which will be increased successively, and which is affected by applied random forces and moments. Taking into account these random applied loads, we get a stochastic structural optimization problem which cannot be solved using the traditional methods. Instead of that, an appropriate (deterministic) substitute problem is formulated. First, the recourse problem will be formulated in general and in the standard form of stochastic linear programming (SLP), and after the formulation of the stochastic optimization problem, the Recourse Problem based on Discretization (RPD) is introduced as a representative of substitute problems. The resulting (large scale) linear program (LP) can be solved efficiently by means of usual LP-solvers. (© 2010 Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Two storage inventory model in a mixed environment

Multi-item inventory models with two storage facility and bulk release pattern are developed with linearly time dependent demand in a finite time horizon under crisp, stochastic and fuzzy-stochastic environments. Here different inventory parameters—holding costs, ordering costs, purchase costs, etc.—are assumed as probabilistic or fuzzy in nature. In particular cases stochastic and crisp models are derived. Models are formulated as profit maximization principle and three different approaches are proposed for solution. In the first approach, fuzzy extension principle is used to find membership function of the objective function and then it’s Graded Mean Integration Value (GMIV) for different optimistic levels are taken as equivalent stochastic objectives. Then the stochastic model is transformed to a constraint multi-objective programming problem using Stochastic Non-linear Programming (SNLP) technique. The multi-objective problems are transferred to single objective problems using Interactive Fuzzy Satisfising (IFS) technique. Finally, a Region Reducing Genetic Algorithm (RRGA) based on entropy has been developed and implemented to solve the single objective problems. In the second approach, the above GMIV (which is stochastic in nature) is optimized with some degree of probability and using SNLP technique model is transferred to an equivalent single objective crisp problem and solved using RRGA. In the third approach, objective function is optimized with some degree of possibility/necessity and following this approach model is transformed to an equivalent constrained stochastic programming problem. Then it is transformed to an equivalent single objective crisp problem using SNLP technique and solved via RRGA. The models are illustrated with some numerical examples and some sensitivity analyses have been presented.     

Second order duality in minmax fractional programming with generalized univexity

In this paper, the concept of second order generalized α-type I univexity is introduced. Based on the new definitions, we derive weak, strong and strict converse duality results for two second order duals of a minmax fractional programming problem.     

On the cohomology of flows of stochastic and random differential equations

We consider the flow of a stochastic differential equation on d-dimensional Euclidean space. We show that if the Lie algebra generated by its diffusion vector fields is finite dimensional and solvable, then the flow is conjugate to the flow of a non-autonomous random differential equation, i.e. one can be transformed into the other via a random diffeomorphism of d-dimensional Euclidean space. Viewing a stochastic differential equation in this form which appears closer to the setting of ergodic theory, can be an advantage when dealing with asymptotic properties of the system. To illustrate this, we give sufficient criteria for the existence of global random attractors in terms of the random differential equation, which are applied in the case of the Duffing-van der Pol oscillator with two independent sources of noise. Received: 25 May 1999 / Revised version: 19 October 2000 / Published online: 26 April 2001     

An Optimization Model for Stochastic Project Networks with Cash Flows

Project networks – or PERT networks – can be characterized by random completion times of activities and positive or negative cash flows throughout the project. In these cases the decision maker’s problem consists of determining a feasible activities schedule, to maximize the project financial value, where the financial value is measured by the net present value (npv) of cash flows.The analysis of these networks is a difficult computational task for the following reason. First, suppose that a schedule is fixed using a heuristic rule. Then the expected npv is calculated. But, due to stochastic job completion times, this problem belongs to the ♯-P complete difficulty class, e.g. problems that involve finding all the Hamiltonian cycles in a network. The problem is such that evaluating one project alone is not sufficient, but the optimal one has to be selected. This involves a further increase in computational time.This paper proposes a stochastic optimization model to determine a heuristic scheduling rule, that provides an approximate solution to finding the optimal project npv. A feature of this approach is that the scheduling rule is completely deterministic and defined when the project begins. Therefore an upper bound of the expected npv, that is an optimistic estimate, can be calculated through linear programming and a lower bound, that is a pessimistic estimate, can be calculated using simulation before the project begins.