A goal programming model for incomplete interval multiplicative preference relations and its application in group decision-making

In decision making problems, there may be the cases where the decision makers express their judgements by using preference relations with incomplete information. Then one of the key issues is how to estimate the missing preference values. In this paper, we introduce an incomplete interval multiplicative preference relation and give the definitions of consistent and acceptable incomplete ones, respectively. Based on the consistency property of interval multiplicative preference relations, a goal programming model is proposed to complement the acceptable incomplete one. A new algorithm of obtaining the priority vector from incomplete interval multiplicative preference relations is given. The goal programming model is further applied to group decision-making (GDM) where the experts evaluate their preferences as acceptable incomplete interval multiplicative preference relations. An interval weighted geometric averaging (IWGA) operator is proposed to aggregate individual preference relations into a social one. Furthermore, the social interval multiplicative preference relation owns acceptable consistency when every individual one is acceptably consistent. Two numerical examples are carried out to show the efficiency of the proposed goal programming model and the algorithms.     

Extending decision support systems: The integration of data,knowledge, and model management

The proliferation of desktop computing has once again rekindled the interest in making computerized tools available to managers and other decision makers. This paper elaborates on a model that integrates data, knowledge, and model management and shows how decision support systems (DSSs) can be extended to support managers in a truly novel way. The model, the Knowledge/Data Model (KDM), is explained and the significance of its applicability to the management of data, knowledge, and models is illustrated through several examples. KDM continues to evolve and is being applied to domains from computer chip design to production and inventory management systems.     

Duality,efficiency computations and interpretations in imprecise DEA

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) has proven to be a useful tool for assessing efficiency or productivity of organizations which is of vital practical importance in managerial decision making. While DEA assumes exact input and output data, the development of imprecise DEA (IDEA) broadens the scope of applications to efficiency evaluations involving imprecise information which implies various forms of ordinal and bounded data possibly or often occurring in practice. The primary purpose of this article is to characterize the variable efficiency in IDEA. Since DEA describes a pair of primal and dual models, also called envelopment and multiplier models, we can basically consider two IDEA models: One incorporates imprecise data into envelopment model and the other includes the same imprecise data in multiplier model. The issues of rising importance are thus the relationships between the two models and how to solve them. The groundwork we will make includes a duality study, which makes it possible to characterize the efficiency solutions from the two models and link with the efficiency bounds and classifications that some of the published IDEA studies have done. The other purposes are to present computational aspects of the efficiency bounds and how to interpret the efficiency solutions. The computational method developed here extends the previous IDEA method to effectively incorporate a more general form of strict ordinal data and partial orders in its framework, which in turn overcomes some drawbacks of the previous approaches. The interpretation of the resulting efficiency is also important but we have never seen it before.     

Decision making under uncertainty with fuzzy targets

This paper discusses the issue of how to use fuzzy targets in the target-based model for decision making under uncertainty. After introducing a target-based interpretation of the expected value on which it is shown that this model implicitly assumes a neutral behavior on attitude about the target, we examine the issue of using fuzzy targets considering different attitudes about the target selection of the decision maker. We also discuss the problem for situations on which the decision maker’s attitude about target may change according to different states of nature. Especially, it is shown that the target-based approach can provide an unified way for solving the problem of fuzzy decision making with uncertainty about the state of nature and imprecision about payoffs. Several numerical examples are given for illustration of the discussed issues.     

Reservoir operations optimization via fuzzy criterion decision processes

In this paper, we propose the treatment of complex reservoir operation problems via our newly developed tool of fuzzy criterion decision processes. This novel approach has been shown to be a more flexible and useful analysis tool especially when it is desirable to incorporate an expert’s knowledge into the decision models. Additionally, it has been demonstrated that this form of decision models will usually result in an optimal solution, which guarantees the highest satisfactory degree. We provide a practical exemplification procedure for the models presented as well as an application example.     

Note on “Some models for deriving the priority weights from interval fuzzy preference relations”

Deriving accurate interval weights from interval fuzzy preference relations is key to successfully solving decision making problems. Xu and Chen (2008) proposed a number of linear programming models to derive interval weights, but the definitions for the additive consistent interval fuzzy preference relation and the linear programming model still need to be improved. In this paper, a numerical example is given to show how these definitions and models can be improved to increase accuracy. A new additive consistency definition for interval fuzzy preference relations is proposed and novel linear programming models are established to demonstrate the generation of interval weights from an interval fuzzy preference relation.     

采购量分配决策模糊规划模型

供应商对形成企业的竞争力起着关键性的作用。采购决策中,采购商需要决策两方面的问题:应该选择哪些供应商以及在每一供应商应该采购多少。本文考虑了多目标性和目标的模糊性,同时为供应商选择和采购量分配提出了一个集成的决策模型。最后,通过一个算例阐释了该模型。     

Some models for deriving the priority weights from interval fuzzy preference relations

Interval fuzzy preference relation is a useful tool to express decision maker’s uncertain preference information. How to derive the priority weights from an interval fuzzy preference relation is an interesting and important issue in decision making with interval fuzzy preference relation(s). In this paper, some new concepts such as additive consistent interval fuzzy preference relation, multiplicative consistent interval fuzzy preference relation, etc., are defined. Some simple and practical linear programming models for deriving the priority weights from various interval fuzzy preference relations are established, and two numerical examples are provided to illustrate the developed models.     

Graph-based multi-agent decision making

In lots of practical multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) problems, there exist various and changeable relations among the criteria which cannot be handled well by means of the existing methods. Considering that graphic or netlike structures can be used to describe the relationships among several individuals, we first introduce the graphic structure into MCDM and formalize the relations among criteria. Then, we develop a new tool, called graph-based multi-agent decision making (GMADM) model, to deal with a kind of MCDM problems with the interrelated criteria. In the model, the graphic structure is paid sufficient attention to in two main aspects: (1) how the graphic structure has influence on the benefits of agents (or the criteria values); and (2) the relation between the graphic structure and the importance weights of agents (criteria). In this case, we can select the best plan(s) (or alternative(s)) according to the overall benefits (the overall criteria values) resulting from the model. Moreover, a fuzzy graph-based multi-agent decision making (FGMADM) method is developed to solve a common kind of situations where the graphic structure of agents is uncertain (confidential or false). Three examples are used to illustrate the feasibility of these two developed methods.     

Piecewise lexicographic programming: A new model for practical decision problems

A new model for practical decision problems is presented. It allows one to consider lexicographic preference structures by introducing the new class of piecewise lexicographic functions which impose a total order in the objective-and-constraint space. In this way, the concepts of objective and constraints are merged into a new unified notion of co-objective. Moreover, the lexicographic preference structure may be applied not only among different coobjectives, but also among different ranges of the same decision variable. The main merits of this model appear to be its versatility (it is able to deal with different types of multiobjective optimization situations without requiring user interaction) and its compactness (it does not require one to increase the original number of decision variables and constraints). A linear version of the model is investigated in more detail.     

Application of robust optimization to automated test assembly

In automated test assembly (ATA), 0-1 linear programming (0-1 LP) methods are applied to select questions (items) from an item bank to assemble an optimal test. The objective in this 0-1 LP optimization problem is to assemble a test that measures, in as precise a way as possible, the ability of candidates. Item response theory (IRT) is commonly applied to model the relationship between the responses of candidates and their ability level. Parameters that describe the characteristics of each item, such as difficulty level and the extent to which an item differentiates between more and less able test takers (discrimination) are estimated in the application of the IRT model. Unfortunately, since all parameters in IRT models have to be estimated, they do have a level of uncertainty to them. Some of the other parameters in the test assembly model, such as average response times, have been estimated with uncertainty as well. General 0-1 LP methods do not take this uncertainty into account, and overestimate the predicted level of measurement precision. In this paper, alternative robust optimization methods are applied. It is demonstrated how the Bertsimas and Sim method can be applied to take this uncertainty into account in ATA. The impact of applying this method is illustrated in two numerical examples. Implications are discussed, and some directions for future research are presented.     

Fuzzy multi-choice goal programming

Goal programming as a well known technique has been widely used for solving multi objective decision making problems. However, in some practical cases, there may exist situations where the decision maker is interested in setting multi aspiration levels for objectives that may not be expressed in a precise manner. In this paper, a novel formulation of fuzzy multi-choice goal programming (FMCGP) is presented. The proposed approach not only improves the applicability of goal programming in real world situations but also provides useful insight about the solution of a new class of problems. To illustrate and clarify the proposed approach, a numerical example is presented.     

Model and extended Kuhn–Tucker approach for bilevel multi-follower decision making in a referential-uncooperative situation

When multiple followers are involved in a bilevel decision problem, the leader’s decision will be affected, not only by the reactions of these followers, but also by the relationships among these followers. One of the popular situations within this bilevel multi-follower issue is where these followers are uncooperatively making their decisions while having cross reference to decision information of the other followers. This situation is called a referential-uncooperative situation in this paper. The well-known Kuhn–Tucker approach has been previously successfully applied to a one-leader-and-one-follower linear bilevel decision problem. This paper extends this approach to deal with the above-mentioned linear referential-uncooperative bilevel multi-follower decision problem. The paper first presents a decision model for this problem. It then proposes an extended Kuhn–Tucker approach to solve this problem. Finally, a numerical example illustrates the application of the extended Kuhn–Tucker approach.     

The Advantages of Fuzzy Optimization Models in Practical Use

Classical mathematical programming models require well-defined coefficients and right hand sides. In order to avoid a non satisfying modeling usually a broad information gathering and processing is necessary. In case of real problems some model parameters can be only roughly estimated. While in case of classical models the vague data is replaced by "average data", fuzzy models offer the opportunity to model subjective imaginations of the decision maker as precisely as a decision maker will be able to describe it. Thus the risk of applying a wrong model of the reality and selecting solutions which do not reflect the real problem can be clearly reduced. The modeling of real problems by means of deterministic and stochastic models requires extensive information processing. On the other hand we know that an optimum solution is finally defined only by few restrictions. Especially in case of larger systems we notice afterwards that most of the information is useless. The dilemma of data processing is due to the fact that first we have to calculate the solution in order to define, whether the information must be well-defined or whether vague data may be sufficient. Based on multicriteria programming problems it should be demonstrated that the dilemma of data processing in case of real programming problems can be handled adequately by modeling them as fuzzy system combined with an interactive problem-solving. Describing the real problem by means of a fuzzy system first of all only the available information or such information which can be achieved easily will be considered. Then we try to develop an optimum solution. With reference to the cost-benefit relation further information can be gathered in order to describe the solution more precisely. Furthermore it should be pointed out that some interactive fuzzy solution algorithms, e.g. FULPAL provide the opportunity to solve mixed integer multicriteria programming models as well.     

Raising the bar: strategic multi-criteria decision analysis

This paper discusses the use of multi-criteria decision analysis for supporting strategic decision making in organisations. It begins by exploring the notions of strategic decisions and the strategic decision-making process. We suggest that structuring strategic objectives, dealing with high levels of uncertainty about the future, as well as considering the interconnectedness of strategic options and their long-term consequences are key aspects of strategic decision making support. We then consider the discursive nature of the processes within which strategic decisions are created and negotiated. Our exploration of these concepts leads us to propose a number of adaptations to the standard multi-criteria decision analysis approach, if it were to provide effective strategic decision support, particularly in strategy workshops. We make suggestions on how to implement these proposals, and illustrate their potential with examples drawn from real-world interventions in which we have provided strategic decision support.     

A new approach to tactical and strategic planning in production-distribution networks

Today the most important concern of the managers is to make their firms viable in the competitive trade world. Managers are looking for effective tools for decision making in the complex business world. This paper presents a new mathematical model for strategic and tactical planning in a multiple-echelon, multiple-commodity production-distribution network. In the proposed model, different time resolutions are considered for strategic and tactical decisions. Also expansion of the network is planned based on cumulative net incomes. To illustrate applications of the proposed model as well as its performance based on the solution times, some hypothetical numerical examples have been generated and solved by CPLEX. Results show that in small and medium scale of instances, high quality solutions can be obtained using this solver, but for larger instances, some heuristics has to be designed to reduce solution time.     

基于“奖优罚劣”的区间数多指标决策的TOPSIS方法

针对区间数多指标系统的决策特点,对指标数据初始化处理时,利用"奖优罚劣"原则,提出了一种易于计算且实用的[-1,1]线性变换算子,然后定义正、负理想方案,给出了区间数多指标决策问题的TOPS IS方法.该模型为区间数多指标决策提供了一种科学、实用的方法,并利用现有的实例来证实此方法的科学性与可行性.     

Cost,Revenue and Profit Efficiency Models in Generalized Fuzzy Data Envelopment Analysis

One of the most important information given by data envelopment analysis models is the cost, revenue and profit efficiency of decision making units (DMUs). Cost efficiency is defined as the ratio of minimum costs to current costs, while revenue efficiency is defined as the ratio of maximum revenue to current revenue of the DMU. This paper presents a framework where data envelopment analysis (DEA) is used to measure cost, revenue and profit efficiency with fuzzy data. In such cases, the classical models cannot be used, because input and output data appear in the form of ranges. When the data are fuzzy, the cost, revenue and profit efficiency measures calculated from the data should be uncertain as well. Fuzzy DEA models emerge as another class of DEA models to account for imprecise inputs and outputs for DMUs. Although several approaches for solving fuzzy DEA models have been developed, numerous deficiencies including the $\alpha$-cut approaches and types of fuzzy numbers must still be improved. This scheme embraces evaluation method based on vector for proposed fuzzy model. This paper proposes generalized cost, revenue and profit efficiency models in fuzzy data envelopment analysis. The practical application of these models is illustrated by a numerical example.     

“奖优罚劣”的区间数多指标决策的关联分析法

针对区间数多指标系统的决策特点,对指标数据初始化处理时,利用“奖优罚劣”原则,提出了一种易于计算且实用的[-1,1]线性变换算子,然后定义正、负理想方案,结合灰色关联分析方法,建立一种新的区间数多指标的灰色关联决策模型.该模型为区间数多指标决策提供了一种科学、实用的方法,并利用现有的实例来证实此方法的科学性与可行性.     

Using multiple objectives to approximate normative models

This paper discusses the rationale for the use of additive models involving multiple objectives as approximations to normative analyses. Experience has shown us that organizations often evaluate important decisions with multiple objective models rather than reducing all aspects of the problem to a single criterion, dollars, as many normative economic models prescribe. We justify this practice on two grounds: managers often prefer to think about a problem in terms of several dimensions and a multiple objective model may provide an excellent approximation to the more complex normative model. We argue that a useful analysis based on a multiple objective model will fulfill both conditions—it will provide insights for the decision maker as well as a good approximation to the normative model. We report several real-world examples of managers using multiple objective models to approximate such normative models as the risk-adjusted net present value and the value of information models. The agreement between the approximate models and the normative models is shown to be quite good. Next, we cite a portion of the behavioral decision theory literature which establishes that linear models of multiple attributes provide quite robust approximations to individual decision-making processes. We then present more general theoretical and empirical results which support our contention that linear multiple attribute models can provide good approximations to more complex models.