Results of a round-robin exercise on read-across

A round-robin exercise was conducted within the CALEIDOS LIFE project. The participants were invited to assess the hazard posed by a substance, applying in silico methods and read-across approaches. The exercise was based on three endpoints: mutagenicity, bioconcentration factor and fish acute toxicity. Nine chemicals were assigned for each endpoint and the participants were invited to complete a specific questionnaire communicating their conclusions. The interesting aspect of this exercise is the justification behind the answers more than the final prediction in itself. Which tools were used? How did the approach selected affect the final answer?     

Using chemical categories to fill data gaps in hazard assessment

Hazard assessments of chemicals have been limited by the availability of test data and the time needed to evaluate the test data. While available data may be inadequate for the majority of industrial chemicals, the body of existing knowledge for most hazards is large enough to permit reliable estimates to be made for untested chemicals without additional animal testing. We provide a summary of the growing use by regulatory agencies of the chemical categories approach, which groups chemicals based on their similar toxicological behaviour and fills in the data gaps in animal test data such as genotoxicity and aquatic toxicity. Although the categories approach may be distinguished from the use of quantitative structure–activity relationships (QSARs) for specific hazard endpoints, robust chemical categories are founded on quantifying the chemical structure with parameters that control chemical behaviour in conventional hazard assessment. The dissemination of the QSAR Application Toolbox by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) is an effort to facilitate the use of the categories approach and reduce the need for additional animal testing.     

Development of a read-across workflow for skin irritation and corrosion predictions

We developed a read-across workflow using the OECD QSAR Toolbox for the prediction of skin irritation and corrosion. In the workflow, we gathered analogues using an improved profiler for skin irritation and corrosion to define valid categories. In addition, we refined categories by removing chemicals based on melting points and structural features. Finally, prediction results were obtained using our self-determined rule for read-across. In this rule, we decided the number of analogues from which the read-across is performed, analogue selection criteria (i.e. high similarity vs. near log P_ow) and prediction rule (i.e. majority vs. unanimity). We created a program for the optimization of read-across workflows. We applied this program to 313 chemicals in the training set and sought the optimized workflows among >1000 possible choices of profilers and ways of subcategorization and data gap filling. Use of the optimized workflows provided highly accurate, unbiased, user-independent and reproducible read-across predictions. The prediction results obtained from read-across workflows can be used for the selection of in vitro test methods or as part of the weight-of-evidence approaches in the Integrated Approach on Testing and Assessment for skin irritation and corrosion. Moreover, these results can be used for screening purposes and/or preliminary hazard assessment.     

The prospects for using (Q)SARs in a changing political environment--high expectations and a key role for the European Commission's joint research centre

Recent policy developments in the European union (EU) and within the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) have placed increased emphasis on the use of structure-activity relationships (SARs) and quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSARs), collectively referred to as (Q)SARs, within various regulatory programmes for the assessment of chemicals and products. The most significant example within the EU is the European commission's proposal (of 29 October 2003) to introduce a new system for managing chemicals (called REACH), which calls for an increased use of (Q)SARs and other non-animal methods, especially for the assessment of low production volume chemicals. Another development within the EU is the Seventh Amendment to the Cosmetics Directive, which foresees the phasing out of animal testing on cosmetics, combined with the imposition of marketing bans on cosmetics that have been tested on animals after certain deadlines. At the same time, the Existing Chemicals programme within the OECD is investigating ways of increasing the use of chemical category approaches, which depend heavily on the use of (Q)SARs, activity-activity relationships and read-across. Such developments are placing an enormous challenge on industry, regulatory bodies, and on the European commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC), which is responsible for providing independent scientific advice to policy makers in the European Commission and the Member States. This paper reviews the different scientific and regulatory purposes for which reliable (Q)SARs could be used, and describes the current work of the JRC in providing scientific support for the development, validation and implementation of (Q)SARs.     

A conceptual framework for predicting the toxicity of reactive chemicals: modeling soft electrophilicity

Although the literature is replete with QSAR models developed for many toxic effects caused by reversible chemical interactions, the development of QSARs for the toxic effects of reactive chemicals lacks a consistent approach. While limitations exit, an appropriate starting-point for modeling reactive toxicity is the applicability of the general rules of organic chemical reactions and the association of these reactions to cellular targets of importance in toxicology. The identification of plausible "molecular initiating events" based on covalent reactions with nucleophiles in proteins and DNA provides the unifying concept for a framework for reactive toxicity. This paper outlines the proposed framework for reactive toxicity. Empirical measures of the chemical reactivity of xenobiotics with a model nucleophile (thiol) are used to simulate the relative rates at which a reactive chemical is likely to bind irreversibly to cellular targets. These measures of intrinsic reactivity serve as correlates to a variety of toxic effects; what's more they appear to be more appropriate endpoints for QSAR modeling than the toxicity endpoints themselves.     

A conceptual framework for predicting the toxicity of reactive chemicals: modeling soft electrophilicity

Although the literature is replete with QSAR models developed for many toxic effects caused by reversible chemical interactions, the development of QSARs for the toxic effects of reactive chemicals lacks a consistent approach. While limitations exit, an appropriate starting-point for modeling reactive toxicity is the applicability of the general rules of organic chemical reactions and the association of these reactions to cellular targets of importance in toxicology. The identification of plausible “molecular initiating events” based on covalent reactions with nucleophiles in proteins and DNA provides the unifying concept for a framework for reactive toxicity. This paper outlines the proposed framework for reactive toxicity. Empirical measures of the chemical reactivity of xenobiotics with a model nucleophile (thiol) are used to simulate the relative rates at which a reactive chemical is likely to bind irreversibly to cellular targets. These measures of intrinsic reactivity serve as correlates to a variety of toxic effects; what's more they appear to be more appropriate endpoints for QSAR modeling than the toxicity endpoints themselves.     

Experiences with the Application of QSAR in the Routine of the Notification Procedure

Abstract

On behalf of the Umweltbundesamt the Fraunhofer Gesellschaft has developed a software system (SAR-system) comprising more than 90 estimation models for endpoints relevant in environmental risk assessment. These estimation models are based on the approach of quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSAR). All models were checked for their validity and application range. In the last months the Umweltbundesamt started to test the applicability of some models concerning the endpoints fish acute toxicity, daphnia acute toxicity and ready (i.e., ultimate) biodegradability in the daily routine of the notification procedure. For testing these models the corresponding confidential data given in the dossiers of substances notified 1993 in Germany, were used. We were able to make calculations for 36% of the notified substances. For the remaining 64% of the chemicals it was impossible to accomplish SAR estimations due to several reasons, e.g., ionic structure of the compounds. Different results for the applicability of the mentioned endpoints are obtained. The predictions of the fish and Daphnia toxicity are in sufficient agreement with the experimental results, in case of the fish toxicity we receive 58% agreement, for the Daphnia toxicity 56% The corresponding values which were obtained in the US EPA/E.C. Joint Project on the evaluation of (quantitative) structure activity relationships were 82.3% and 70.9% About 300 different models were used for the calculations of these endpoints within the framework of the EPA/EC project. The SAR-system presented here contains 8 models for estimating the fish toxicity and 6 models for the Daphnia toxicity. For the prediction of the biodegradability the results obtained with the SAR-system are rather poor and have to be improved. Meanwhile the SAR-system is commercially available and can be ordered at the Fraunhofer Institute for Environmental Chemistry and Ecotoxicology, Schmallenberg (Germany).     

In silico modelling of hazard endpoints: current problems and perspectives

Major scientific hurdles in the acceptance of quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSAR) for regulatory purposes have been identified. First, when quantifying important features of chemical structure complexities of molecular structure have often been ignored. More mechanistic modelling of chemical structure should proceed on two fronts: by developing a more in-depth understanding and representation of the multiple states possible for a single chemical by achieving greater rigor in understanding of conformational flexibility of chemicals; and, by considering families of activated metabolites that are derived in biological systems from an initial chemical substrate. Second, QSAR research is severely limited by the lack of systematic databases for important risk assessment endpoints, and despite many decades of research, the ability to cluster reactive chemicals by common toxicity pathways is in its infancy. Finally, computational tools are lacking for defining where a specific QSAR is applicable within the domain (universe) of chemical structures that are to be regulated. This paper describes some of the approaches being taken to address these needs. Applications of some of these new approaches are demonstrated for the prediction of chemical mutagenicity, where considerations of both molecular flexibility and metabolic activation improved the QSAR predictability and interpretations. Lastly, the applicability domain for a specific QSAR predicting estrogen receptor binding is presented in the context of a mechanistically-defined chemical structure space for large heterogeneous chemical datasets of regulatory concern. A strategic approach is discussed to selecting chemicals for model improvement and validation until regulatory acceptance criteria for risk assessment applications are met.     

Toward molecular design for hazard reduction—fundamental relationships between chemical properties and toxicity

The relationship of in-silico predicted physical/chemical properties and human toxicity is analyzed for a statistically significant sample size of chemical compounds. Results for compounds with known toxicity endpoints, as designated by EPA's Toxic Release Inventory (TRI), are compared to a series of commercial chemicals that are not regulated under TRI. Physical properties for all compounds are predicted using Schrodinger's QikProp, an established tool for predicting adsorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) characteristics. The results of this analysis indicate that the physical/chemical property distributions of TRI chemicals are statistically significantly different from those of bulk commercial chemicals, particularly related to properties associated with bioavailability. Using a partitioning analysis, several key physical/chemical properties and ranges are identified that can be used to readily differentiate TRI chemical characteristics from those of bulk commercial chemicals.     

Improving confidence in (Q)SAR predictions under Canada’s Chemicals Management Plan – a chemical space approach$

Abstract

One of the key challenges of Canada’s Chemicals Management Plan (CMP) is assessing chemicals with limited/no empirical hazard data for their risk to human health. In some instances, these chemicals have not been tested broadly for their toxicological potency; as such, limited information exists on their potential to induce human health effects following exposure. Although (quantitative) structure activity relationship ((Q)SAR) models are able to generate predictions to address data gaps for certain toxicological endpoints, the confidence in predictions also needs to be addressed. One way to address this issue is to apply a chemical space approach. This approach uses international toxicological databases, for example, those available in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) QSAR Toolbox. The approach,assesses a model’s ability to predict the potential hazards of chemicals that have limited hazard data that require assessment under the CMP when compared to a larger, data-rich chemical space that is structurally similar to chemicals of interest. This evaluation of a model’s predictive ability makes (Q)SAR analysis more transparent and increases confidence in the application of these predictions in a risk-assessment context. Using this approach, predictions for such chemicals obtained from four (Q)SAR models were successfully classified into high, medium and low confidence levels to better inform their use in decision-making.     

Multivariate Analysis of the First 10 MEIC Chemicals

Abstract

Nonlinear mapping coupled to powerful graphical tools was used to compare the texicological responses of 32 in vivo and in vitro test systems to the first 10 MEIC chemicals. The obtained results clearly underline the usefulness of our methodological approach for the comparison of the different endpoints and the selection of a battery of in vitro toxicity tests allowing to estimate the possible harmful effects of chemicals in vivo.     

Decision tree SAR models for developmental toxicity based on an FDA/TERIS database

Humans are exposed to thousands of environmental chemicals for which no developmental toxicity information is available. Structure-activity relationships (SARs) are models that could be used to efficiently predict the biological activity of potential developmental toxicants. However, at this time, no adequate SAR models of developmental toxicity are available for risk assessment. In the present study, a new developmental database was compiled by combining toxicity information from the Teratogen Information System (TERIS) and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) guidelines. We implemented a decision tree modeling procedure, using Classification and Regression Tree software and a model ensemble approach termed bagging. We then assessed the empirical distributions of the prediction accuracy measures of the single and ensemble-based models, achieved by repeating our modeling experiment many times by repeated random partitioning of the working database. The decision tree developmental SAR models exhibited modest prediction accuracy. Bagging tended to enhance the accuracy of prediction. Also, the model ensemble approach reduced the variability of prediction measures compared to the single model approach. Further research with data derived from animal species- and endpoint-specific components of an extended and refined FDA/TERIS database has the potential to derive SAR models that would be useful in the developmental risk assessment of the thousands of untested chemicals.     

Decision tree SAR models for developmental toxicity based on an FDA/TERIS database

Humans are exposed to thousands of environmental chemicals for which no developmental toxicity information is available. Structure-activity relationships (SARs) are models that could be used to efficiently predict the biological activity of potential developmental toxicants. However, at this time, no adequate SAR models of developmental toxicity are available for risk assessment. In the present study, a new developmental database was compiled by combining toxicity information from the Teratogen Information System (TERIS) and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) guidelines. We implemented a decision tree modeling procedure, using Classification and Regression Tree software and a model ensemble approach termed bagging. We then assessed the empirical distributions of the prediction accuracy measures of the single and ensemble-based models, achieved by repeating our modeling experiment many times by repeated random partitioning of the working database. The decision tree developmental SAR models exhibited modest prediction accuracy. Bagging tended to enhance the accuracy of prediction. Also, the model ensemble approach reduced the variability of prediction measures compared to the single model approach. Further research with data derived from animal species- and endpoint-specific components of an extended and refined FDA/TERIS database has the potential to derive SAR models that would be useful in the developmental risk assessment of the thousands of untested chemicals.     

Development of a chronic fish toxicity model for predicting sub-lethal NOEC values for non-polar narcotics

To comply with the REACH (Registration, Evaluation, Authorisation and restriction of Chemicals) regulations, the generation of chronic fish toxicity data is required for chemicals produced or imported within or into the EU in quantities greater than 100 tonnes per year. This comes at a great cost to industry and consumers alike and requires the sacrifice of many vertebrates. In acknowledgment of these issues the REACH regulations encourage the use of non-testing methods (NTM). These include read-across, weight-of-evidence and QSAR (quantitative structure–activity relationship) techniques. There are many QSAR tools available to generate predictive values for a number of physico-chemical properties, as well as human and environmental health end points; however, close analysis of the currently available chronic fish models identified room for improvement in both the selection of data used and in its application in model creation. In light of this a model was developed using only sub-lethal no-observed-effect concentration (NOEC) end-point data according to best practice QSAR development. Only the lowest value was taken for each compound, in line with the conservative approach taken by the European Chemicals Agency (ECHA). The model developed meets the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) principles, has strong internal and external validation statistics, and can reliably predict sub-lethal chronic NOEC values for fish within its defined applicability domain.