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The improved local linear prediction of chaotic time series
Authors:Meng Qing-Fang  Peng Yu-Hua and Sun Jia
Affiliation:School of Information Science and Engineering, Shandong University, Jinan 250100, China
Abstract:Based on the Bayesian information criterion, this paper proposes the improved local linear prediction method to predict chaotic time series. This method uses spatial correlation and temporal correlation simultaneously. Simulation results show that the improved local linear prediction method can effectively make multi-step and one-step prediction of chaotic time series and the multi-step prediction performance and one-step prediction accuracy of the improved local linear prediction method are superior to those of the traditional local linear prediction method.
Keywords:local linear prediction  Bayesian information criterion  state space reconstruction  chaotic time series
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