| 异质预期下双寡头企业碳减排决策的复杂性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵刘威,金帅,姜鸿运,彭振革.异质预期下双寡头企业碳减排决策的复杂性分析[J].运筹与管理,2022,31(12):46-54. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵刘威 金帅 姜鸿运 彭振革 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.江苏理工学院 管理学院,江苏 常州 213001;2.江苏大学 管理学院,江苏 镇江 202013 |
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| 基金项目： | 基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究项目(21YJCZH236);国家自然科学基金资助项目(71974081,71901108);江苏省商业会计学会研究项目(2022JSSYKJ336) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对碳减排环境下的政府碳配额分配和企业产量与减排研发决策问题,基于古诺双寡头垄断模型,建立了考虑有限理性和异质性预期的碳排放依赖型企业碳减排决策模型,从市场复杂性演化的内部视角出发,分析市场竞争波动的内在机制;并通过非线性动力学理论探讨企业不同的响应速度对于市场稳定性的影响。结果表明,技术减排成本系数、碳交易价格对低碳产品的偏好系数是影响两企业竞争策略的关键因素,两个因素的取值不同甚至会彻底改变均衡状态下两企业相对的减排投资力度和相对的盈利能力及市场的稳定性。针对市场竞争出现的波动现象,通过时滞反馈控制方法高效、快速的控制动力系统的不稳定行为,使得市场迅速恢复稳定、有序的状态,为决策者有效解决市场不稳定现象提供了科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 碳减排 Cournot竞争 异质预期 复杂性分析 |
| 收稿时间： | 2020-05-19 |
Complexity Analysis of Duopoly Enterprise’s Emission Reduction Decision under Heterogeneous Expectation |
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| ZHAO Liu-wei,JIN Shuai,JIANG Hong-yun,PENG Zhen-ge.Complexity Analysis of Duopoly Enterprise’s Emission Reduction Decision under Heterogeneous Expectation[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2022,31(12):46-54. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Liu-wei JIN Shuai JIANG Hong-yun PENG Zhen-ge |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of Management, Jiangsu University of Technology, Changzhou 213001, China;2. School of Management, Jiangsu University, Zhengjiang 212013, China |
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| Abstract: | As it has become a worldwide concern how to reduce carbon emissions effectively, more and more firms take low-carbon operations into account when producing and selling eco-friendly products. At present, in China, the reform of carbon-emission-trading provides firms with new opportunities to develop the market, which is to study the government carbon quota allocation and enterprise production and emission reduction research and development decision-making problems under the low-carbon environment. This paper will focus on the study of two carbon emission manufacturing firms with limited rationality and heterogeneity expectation in the oligopoly market. From the internal perspective of market complexity evolution, this paper analyzes the internal mechanism of market competition fluctuation, and discusses the influence of different corresponding speed of enterprises on market stability through the nonlinear dynamics theory. The results show that the cost coefficient of technology emission reduction and the preference coefficient of carbon trading price for low-carbon products are the key factors affecting the competitive strategy of the two enterprises. The difference of the two factors will even change the relative investment intensity of emission reduction and the relative profitability and market stability of the two enterprises in the equilibrium state. In addition, the numerical analysis shows that the time-delay feedback control method could control the unstable behavior of the dynamic system efficiently and quickly, and make the market quickly back into a stable and orderly state, which provides a scientific basis for decision makers to effectively solve the market instability. |
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| Keywords: | carbon reduction cournot competition heterogeneous expectations complexity analysis |
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