| 基于Vague集距离与灰色关联的区域产业技术供需协同发展评价研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 骆琪,何喜军.基于Vague集距离与灰色关联的区域产业技术供需协同发展评价研究[J].运筹与管理,2021,30(5):193-199. |
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| 作者姓名： | 骆琪 何喜军 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京工业大学 经济与管理学院,北京 100124 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金面上项目(71974009);北京市社会科学基金资助项目(15JGB124);北京市自然科学基金资助项目(9172002) |
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| 摘 要： | 技术供需有效协同是实现产业中高端发展的重要驱动,本文综合考虑产业技术供需子系统发展水平、供需子系统间耦合作用及协同效应等因素,将Vague集相似性度量与距离协同模型结合,运用灰色关联分析计算技术供需子系统间的灰色关联度,建立了基于Vague集距离与灰色关联的区域高技术产业技术供需复合系统的综合协同发展模型,并利用该模型对2009年至2016年京津冀地区高技术产业技术供需协同水平数据进行了实证分析。实证分析结果表明,京津冀地区技术供需协同发展处于高协同低发展阶段,综合协同发展水平增速缓慢;供需子系统间相互作用关系显著;北京和天津的技术供给发展较快,需求相对不足,而河北需求旺盛,但供给不足。因此,兼顾技术供需高质量发展与区域技术供需协同匹配是创新引领产业发展的有效路径。
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| 关 键 词： | 协同发展模型 技术供需协同 Vague集距离 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019-05-21 |
Research on the Synergy Development of Regional Industrial Technology Supply and Demand Based on Vague Sets Distance and Grey Incidence Theory |
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| LUO Qi,HE Xi-jun.Research on the Synergy Development of Regional Industrial Technology Supply and Demand Based on Vague Sets Distance and Grey Incidence Theory[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2021,30(5):193-199. |
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| Authors: | LUO Qi HE Xi-jun |
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| Affiliation: | College of Economics & Management,Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China |
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| Abstract: | Effective synergy of technology supply and demand (TSD) is an important driving force for the high-end development of industry. The paper considers the development level, coupling and synergistic effect of industrial TSD subsystem, combining vague set similarity measure with distance cooperative model, measures relative degree of development of TSD subsystem in high-tech industry, application of grey incidence analysis to calculate the grey incidence between TSD Subsystems, and constructs the synergy development model of regional industrial TSD based on vague set distance and grey incidence theory. Empirical analysis is made by using the data of TSD synergy level of high-tech industries in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(Jing-Jin-Ji) region from 2009 to 2016.The empirical analysis results show that: the synergy development of the three regions is in the stage of low developed and high synergy, and the comprehensive synergy development level is in slow growth. The interaction between supply and demand subsystem is significant. The technology demand development of Beijing and Tianjin is faster and the demand is insufficient, but the demand of Hebei is strong and the supply is insufficient. Therefore, it is an effective way to lead the industrial development by taking into account the high quality development and synergy matching of the regional TSD. |
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| Keywords: | synergy development model synergy of technology supply and demand vague set distance |
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