| 基于灰色关联模型的高校R&D影响因素分析与时滞测度 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘勇,杜俊良,赵焕焕.基于灰色关联模型的高校R&D影响因素分析与时滞测度[J].运筹与管理,2020,29(2):150-156. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘勇 杜俊良 赵焕焕 |
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| 作者单位： | 江南大学商学院;无锡职业技术学院管理学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社科后期资助一般项目(19FGLB031);国家自然科学基金项目(71503103);教育部人文社科基金项目(17YJC640223);江苏省自然科学基金项目(BK20150157);江苏省软科学(BR2018005);江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究重点项目(2017ZDIXM034);江苏省高校自然科学基金面上项目(18KJB120010);江苏省社会科学基金项目(19TQD006);中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金(2019JDZD06)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 高校科技和经济发展“两张皮”的问题普遍比较突出,如何提取影响高校R&D绩效的关键因素,测度其时滞长度,对于生成用于指导或辅助决策的“深层知识”、促进高校科技成果转化具有重要的意义。根据2005~2015年的高校统计年鉴的相关数据,针对高校R&D投入产出的滞后性和发展趋势不一致性,利用正切函数构建了一种时滞灰色关联分析模型,并以江苏高校为例利用所构建的模型研究其不同发展阶段R&D活动绩效的影响因素和时滞长度。结果表明,各阶段影响因素均对江苏高校R&D绩效具有较强的影响和作用,并随着滞后年份的延长呈现降低的趋势;高校R&D机构当年投入人数和高校R&D机构当年支出经费是知识产出阶段R&D绩效的重要影响因素,而R&D全时人才、基础研究经费、应用研究经费是制约其绩效提升的关键因素;R&D成果应用及科技服务全时人员和经费分别是成果转化阶段R&D绩效的重要影响因素和瓶颈制约因素。
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| 关 键 词： | 知识产出 成果转化 影响因素 灰色关联分析 时滞 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018-06-16 |
Analysis and Time Lag Measurement of the Influencing Factors on Universities R&D Based on Grey Incidence Model |
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| LIU Yong,DU Jun-liang,ZHAO Huan-huan.Analysis and Time Lag Measurement of the Influencing Factors on Universities R&D Based on Grey Incidence Model[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2020,29(2):150-156. |
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| Authors: | LIU Yong DU Jun-liang ZHAO Huan-huan |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of Business, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China;2. College of management Wuxi Institute of Technology, Wuxi 214121 China |
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| Abstract: | The“two skin”problem between universities’technology and economic development is generally more prominent,so that how to extract the important factors on R&D performance of universities and measure their time lag has a great significance for generating the“deep knowledge”to guide or assist the decision and promote the transformation of science and technological achievements.According to the Compilation of Science and Tech-nology Statistics of Higher Education"from 2005 to 2015,with respect to the hysteresis and inconsistent develop-ment trend of R&D input and output,a novel grey incidence analysis model with time lag is established by using the tangent function,and then it is utilized to analyze the influencing factors and measure their time lags in uni-versities from Jiangsu province.The results show that the influencing factors in each stage have strong influence and effect on the R&D performance,and the trend is decreasing with the extension of the lagging year;the num-ber of year investment talents and the current year expenditure for the university R&D institutions are the impor-tant influencing factors of R&D performance in the stage of knowledge output,the R&D full-time talents,and basic research funds and applied research funds are the key factors restricting its performance improvement;while the full time staff and funds of achievement application and technology service are the important influencing factors and bottleneck factors of R&D performance in the process of achievement transformation,respectively. |
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| Keywords: | knowledge output achievement transformation influencing factors grey incidence analysis time lag |
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