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大数据背景下基于5S的城市交通拥堵评价模型研究
引用本文:熊励,杨淑芬,张芸.大数据背景下基于5S的城市交通拥堵评价模型研究[J].运筹与管理,2018,27(1):117-124.
作者姓名:熊励  杨淑芬  张芸
作者单位:上海大学 管理学院,上海 200444
基金项目:上海市教委科研创新项目:大数据时代城市智能交通信息服务社会民生发展研究(14ZS085);教育部人文社科项目:带有不确定时间窗的项目资源主动型均衡方法研究(15YJCZH077)
摘    要:近几年来,城市交通拥堵问题日益突出,极大制约了城市发展。在大数据背景下,为了准确掌握交通实时拥堵状况,改善城市交通,便利市民出行,本文深入挖掘城市交通拥堵的影响因素,构建了基于交通5S要素的城市拥堵理论模型,运用径向基函数神经网络方法工具,以上海静安寺、上海站、陆家嘴周围三大拥堵路段的交通数据集为例,验证了该模型的有效性。实验结果表明,由该模型获得的城市交通拥堵预测值与上海实际交通路况具有较好的拟合效果,表明交通5S模型与方法能够准确有效地评价城市交通拥堵。

关 键 词:城市交通拥堵  评价模型  深度挖掘  5S理论  
收稿时间:2015-03-21

Research on the Urban Traffic Congestion Evaluation Model Based on 5S Theory
XIONG Li,YANG Shu-fen,ZHANG Yun.Research on the Urban Traffic Congestion Evaluation Model Based on 5S Theory[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2018,27(1):117-124.
Authors:XIONG Li  YANG Shu-fen  ZHANG Yun
Affiliation:School of Management, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China
Abstract:In recent years, the urban traffic congestion problem is more and more serious so that it greatly restricts the city development. In the background of big data, in order to accurately predict the real-time status of urban traffic congestion and improve urban traffic conditions to make public travel convenient, this paper makes a study of factors of urban traffic congestions. Then we build a urban traffic congestion evaluation model based on the theory of 5S. Lastly, we use a radial basis function neural network to verify the model with traffic data set of Jingan Temple, Shanghai Station, and Lujiazui in Shanghai. The result indicates that the predictive value obtained by the urban traffic congestion evaluation model has a good fitting effect on the Shanghai real road traffic. It shows that the model can accurately evaluate urban traffic congestion effectively.
Keywords:urban traffic congestion  evaluation model  deep mining  5S theory  
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