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Effect of incubation period on epidemic spreading in complex networks
Authors:Huang Wei  Jiang Rui  Hu Mao-Bin and Wu Qing-Song
Affiliation:School of Engineering Science, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
Abstract:We study the effect of incubation period on epidemic spreading in the Barabasi--Albert scale-free network and the Watts--Strogatz small world network by using a Suspectable-Incubated-Infected-Suspectable model. Our analytical investigations show that the epidemic threshold is independent of incubation period in both networks, which is verified by our large-scale simulation results. We also investigate the effect of incubation period on the epidemic dynamics in a supercritical regime. It is found that with the increase of incubation period ${\it\Omega} $, a damped oscillation evolution of $\rho_T$ (the ratio of persons in incubated state) appears and the time needed to reach a saturation value increases. Moreover, the steady value of $\rho _T $ increases and approaches to an asymptotic constant with the value of ${\it\Omega} $ increasing. As a result, the infected ratio $\rho _I$ decreases with the increase of ${\it\Omega}$ according to a power law.
Keywords:epidemic spreading  incubation period  complex network
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